Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Sep 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings
The Phoenix Mercury go up against the Dallas Wings at College Park Center, with tip-off scheduled for 13:00 on Saturday, September 19.
We’re confident of backing the Wings to cover the -8.5 spread when they play the Mercury. This is a more than generous line and they look a value pick at odds of -110.
Phoenix Mercury won their previous game 94-91. This was a road victory at Moda Center against Portland Fire.
Dallas Wings won their last game, beating Los Angeles Sparks at home. It was a 97-77 win at College Park Center.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Wings have beaten the Mercury in their last two meetings, winning by 97-76 and 85-70 scorelines. Both matchups were played at College Park Center. The past 10 H2H clashes have seen both teams record five wins.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
Wings
|
25 | 16 | 3657 | 3491 | 166 | 15-6 | 10-10 | 5W |
10
Mercury
|
15 | 26 | 3461 | 3581 | -120 | 6-14 | 9-12 | 2W |
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction & Picks
Our expert Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
Our pick is that Wings are going to cover the -8.5 on the spread. You can get -110 that there’s a bigger margin of victory in this WNBA showdown.
To deliver the best possible basketball predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date WNBA stats available.
Key Mercury vs Wings stats:
Wings -8.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this WNBA bet.
If you’re looking for a good alternative to betting on the Wings on the spread, then consider the Winning Margin. You can choose from a wide range of fixed intervals and odds.
Thinking about claiming free bets? Our bonus guide lists the best sign-up offers from the biggest names in betting.
Player Prop Picks
Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) can be backed to register Over 16.5 points at -106. It makes sense to bet on her to cover the line when it comes to this Player Points wager.
Latest Arike Ogunbowale Player Prop Odds
Jessica Shepard (Wings) is available at -109 to register Over 14.5 points. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.
Latest Jessica Shepard Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Wings -8.5 on the spread, Under 172.5 and Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) to score Over 16.5 points.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same basketball game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
77
-
88
Wings
The Wings might get the upper hand and it might be worth backing them to achieve a specific correct score. Try an outcome of 88-77 for a big possible return from your stake.
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Sportsbooks’ favorites Dallas Wings are regarded as likeliest victors for this WNBA game and the -357 about them triumphing means a 78% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Phoenix Mercury are least likely to win at +270.
The spread is calculated to be 8.5, while total points comes in at 172.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to bet Under 172.5, there are odds of -110.
Consider every angle when placing your women's hoops wagers. The best basketball betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.
Paige Bueckers is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -108 that she gets Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -123.
- WNBA: 12/06 2026 Mercury 70 Wings 85
- WNBA: 12/09 2025 Mercury 76 Wings 97
- WNBA: 08/07 2025 Wings 72 Mercury 102
- WNBA: 04/07 2025 Mercury 89 Wings 98
- WNBA: 12/06 2025 Wings 80 Mercury 93
- WNBA: 10/07 2024 Wings 84 Mercury 100
- WNBA: 04/07 2024 Mercury 104 Wings 96
- WNBA: 09/06 2024 Mercury 97 Wings 90
- WNBA: 26/05 2024 Wings 107 Mercury 92
- WNBA: 28/08 2023 Wings 77 Mercury 74
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Dallas Wings Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 172.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 177.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 172.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 172.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.90 pts and allowed 87.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 85.60 pts and allowed 91.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 173.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 171.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 172.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 172.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.00 pts and allowed 84.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 90.50 pts and allowed 80.70 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
31 | 9 | 3652 | 3337 | 315 | 14-6 | 17-3 | 2L |
2
Valkyries
|
29 | 11 | 3305 | 3017 | 288 | 15-5 | 14-6 | 4W |
3
Aces
|
28 | 13 | 3738 | 3538 | 200 | 13-7 | 15-6 | 4W |
4
Dream
|
27 | 14 | 3735 | 3487 | 248 | 14-7 | 13-7 | 2W |
5
Fever
|
26 | 14 | 3880 | 3638 | 242 | 14-6 | 12-8 | 2W |
6
Mystics
|
25 | 16 | 3423 | 3401 | 22 | 13-7 | 12-9 | 1W |
|
7
Wings
|
25 | 16 | 3657 | 3491 | 166 | 15-6 | 10-10 | 5W |
8
Liberty
|
24 | 16 | 3593 | 3474 | 119 | 14-6 | 10-10 | 1W |
9
Fire
|
16 | 25 | 3554 | 3736 | -182 | 8-13 | 8-12 | 2L |
|
10
Mercury
|
15 | 26 | 3461 | 3581 | -120 | 6-14 | 9-12 | 2W |
11
Sky
|
15 | 26 | 3547 | 3697 | -150 | 10-11 | 5-15 | 4L |
12
Sparks
|
15 | 26 | 3571 | 3769 | -198 | 7-13 | 8-13 | 1L |
13
Tempo
|
11 | 29 | 3449 | 3751 | -302 | 7-13 | 4-16 | 4L |
14
Sun
|
10 | 31 | 3217 | 3614 | -397 | 7-13 | 3-18 | 4L |
15
Storm
|
8 | 33 | 3391 | 3642 | -251 | 6-15 | 2-18 | 2L |
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