Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 May 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries
The Phoenix Mercury square off against the Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center, with tip-off scheduled for 20:30 on Sunday, May 10.
The Mercury look opposable on the Moneyline, so we’re going to make the Valkyries our betting prediction. You can currently get -128 for this selection which looks value.
Phoenix Mercury won their previous game 99-66. This was a road victory at Michelob Ultra Arena against Las Vegas Aces.
Golden State Valkyries won last time out by a 91-80 scoreline. It was on the road against Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 81-72 win for the Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center when they last played the Valkyries. The Mercury have a 100% win record when it comes to the previous 4 H2H meetings.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
Valkyries
|
19 | 8 | 2211 | 2062 | 149 | 11-4 | 8-4 | 1L |
12
Mercury
|
10 | 18 | 2323 | 2423 | -100 | 4-9 | 6-9 | 2W |
Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction & Picks
Get the full betting picture for Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries, including a key match prediction, our best correct score selection, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re keeping things simple by backing Valkyries on the Moneyline. They should get the better of their opponents in this WNBA contest and our pick is available at -128.
Tracking injury updates is a big part of our analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our basketball predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important WNBA stats to get a complete picture.
Key Mercury vs Valkyries stats:
Valkyries Moneyline Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 56.2% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
If you can correctly predict that the Valkyries will win along with the number of points, then you are able to combine the two options and getting larger odds on the Match Result & Total lines.
Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.
Player Prop Picks
Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) is available at -125 to total Under 6.5 rebounds. Let’s shoot for a relatively low total and take her to go under the Player Rebounds line.
Latest Kayla Thornton Player Prop Odds
Veronica Burton (Valkyries) can be wagered to have Under 4.5 rebounds at -135. The total looks reasonably high and we anticipate she will fall short of the line when it comes to the Player Rebounds.
Latest Veronica Burton Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Valkyries on the moneyline, Over 157.5 on the total and Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) to get Under 6.5 rebounds.
There are lots of options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
80
-
83
Valkyries
We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Valkyries to win 83-80. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.
Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Moneyline odds about Golden State Valkyries triumphing is priced at -147 and you can get Phoenix Mercury at +120. According to the top WNBA sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 60%.
The current spread is 2.5 and the total points line is 158.5. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you’re wanting to back Over 158.5, the odds are -112.
The best betting sites offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to women's basketball matchups. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Kahleah Copper is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -127 that she gets Over 17.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -102.
It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Golden State Valkyries Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 166.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 160.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 161.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 85.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.30 pts and allowed 80.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 165.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 158.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 161.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 80.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.70 pts and allowed 76.50 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
22 | 6 | 2562 | 2319 | 243 | 10-4 | 12-2 | 7W |
|
2
Valkyries
|
19 | 8 | 2211 | 2062 | 149 | 11-4 | 8-4 | 1L |
3
Aces
|
18 | 8 | 2366 | 2245 | 121 | 7-5 | 11-3 | 1L |
4
Wings
|
18 | 9 | 2436 | 2327 | 109 | 8-4 | 10-5 | 1W |
5
Fever
|
17 | 10 | 2578 | 2419 | 159 | 11-5 | 6-5 | 3W |
6
Dream
|
16 | 10 | 2323 | 2217 | 106 | 9-4 | 7-6 | 3W |
7
Liberty
|
15 | 12 | 2390 | 2327 | 63 | 8-5 | 7-7 | 2W |
8
Mystics
|
14 | 12 | 2100 | 2161 | -61 | 6-6 | 8-6 | 2W |
9
Fire
|
11 | 16 | 2304 | 2446 | -142 | 6-7 | 5-9 | 2L |
10
Tempo
|
10 | 16 | 2301 | 2416 | -115 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 3L |
11
Sparks
|
10 | 16 | 2295 | 2427 | -132 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 5L |
|
12
Mercury
|
10 | 18 | 2323 | 2423 | -100 | 4-9 | 6-9 | 2W |
13
Sky
|
9 | 18 | 2363 | 2423 | -60 | 5-7 | 4-11 | 2L |
14
Sun
|
7 | 20 | 2160 | 2351 | -191 | 4-10 | 3-10 | 2L |
15
Storm
|
6 | 23 | 2375 | 2524 | -149 | 4-10 | 2-13 | 6L |
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