Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 May 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries

The Phoenix Mercury square off against the Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center, with tip-off scheduled for 20:30 on Sunday, May 10.

The Mercury look opposable on the Moneyline, so we’re going to make the Valkyries our betting prediction. You can currently get -128 for this selection which looks value.

Phoenix Mercury won their previous game 99-66. This was a road victory at Michelob Ultra Arena against Las Vegas Aces.

Golden State Valkyries won last time out by a 91-80 scoreline. It was on the road against Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 81-72 win for the Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center when they last played the Valkyries. The Mercury have a 100% win record when it comes to the previous 4 H2H meetings.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Mercury	1	0	99	66	33	0-0	1-0	1W
4  Valkyries	1	0	91	80	11	0-0	1-0	1W

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction & Picks

Step into Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline and a custom-built bet builder. Dive into each section below for the latest insights.

Game Prediction

We’re keeping things simple by backing Valkyries on the Moneyline. They should get the better of their opponents in this WNBA contest and our pick is available at -128.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our basketball predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important WNBA stats to get a complete picture.

Key Mercury vs Valkyries stats:

• Valkyries have won 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• Valkyries have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Mercury have lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Valkyries Moneyline Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 56.2% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you can correctly predict that the Valkyries will win along with the number of points, then you are able to combine the two options and getting larger odds on the Match Result & Total lines.

Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.

Our Game Prediction

Valkyries Moneyline @ -128 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 10, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 80 - 83 Valkyries

We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Valkyries to win 83-80. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

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Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Moneyline odds about Golden State Valkyries triumphing is priced at -123 and you can get Phoenix Mercury at +102. According to the top WNBA sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 55%.

The current spread is 1.5 and the total points line is 157.5. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you’re wanting to back Over 157.5, the odds are -110.

The best betting sites offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to women's basketball matchups. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Mercury

+102

Valkyries

-123

Point Spread

Mercury +1.5

-108

Valkyries -1.5

-112

Total Points

Under 157.5

-110

Over 157.5

-110

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Golden State Valkyries Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 167.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 164.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 155.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 155.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.40 pts and allowed 82.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.40 pts and allowed 80.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 150.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 147.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 155.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 155.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.90 pts and allowed 74.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.00 pts and allowed 70.90 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Mercury	1	0	99	66	33	0-0	1-0	1W
2  Liberty	1	0	106	75	31	1-0	0-0	1W
3  Sky	1	0	98	83	15	0-0	1-0	1W
4  Wings	1	0	107	104	3	0-0	1-0	1W
4  Valkyries	1	0	91	80	11	0-0	1-0	1W
6  Mystics	1	0	68	65	3	0-0	1-0	1W
7  Dream	1	0	91	90	1	0-0	1-0	1W
8  Lynx	0	1	90	91	-1	0-1	0-0	1L
9  Fever	0	1	104	107	-3	0-1	0-0	1L
10  Tempo	0	1	65	68	-3	0-1	0-0	1L
11  Storm	0	1	80	91	-11	0-1	0-0	1L
12  Fire	0	1	83	98	-15	0-1	0-0	1L
13  Sun	0	1	75	106	-31	0-0	0-1	1L
14  Aces	0	1	66	99	-33	0-1	0-0	1L
15  Sparks	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

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