Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Jun 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries
The Phoenix Mercury square off against the Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, June 9.
Our best prediction is that the Valkyries will have the edge over the Mercury. This leads us to back the favorites against the spread at -110, with the -8.5 line offering plenty of appeal.
Phoenix Mercury won their previous game by a 78-72 scoreline. It was on the road against Portland Fire at Moda Center.
Golden State Valkyries were beaten last game and this was on the road at Michelob Ultra Arena. Las Vegas Aces claimed a 84-79 win.
Head-to-Head Statistics
These two teams last met at Chase Center, with the Valkyries claiming the win. Beating the Mercury by a 95-79 scoreline. In the past 5 games between the teams, the Mercury have won four.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
Valkyries
|
6 | 5 | 944 | 885 | 59 | 4-2 | 2-3 | 2L |
13
Mercury
|
4 | 8 | 980 | 1019 | -39 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2W |
Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction & Picks
Get the edge with our Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, key player prop picks and an expert-crafted bet builder.
Game Prediction
Valkyries should secure a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward in this WNBA showdown. Back our pick off -8.5 to cover the line at -110.
The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our basketball picks. We combine this insight with up-to-date WNBA stats for sharper predictions.
Key Mercury vs Valkyries stats:
Valkyries -8.5 Probability
Looking at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this WNBA wager.
If you’re hunting for tastier odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.
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Player Prop Picks
Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) can be backed to score Over 13.5 points at -104. We have a strong conviction that she is able to cover the total when it comes to betting on Player Points.
Latest Janelle Salaun Player Prop Odds
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to rack up Over 7.5 assists at -133. The total is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and we’re confident of landing a return.
Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Valkyries -8.5 on the spread, Under 161.5 and Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) to score Over 13.5 points.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same basketball game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
72
-
84
Valkyries
Should you wish to go for a speculative wager, try the Valkyries to win 84-72 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun bet which could potentially yield a big return.
Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Golden State Valkyries are regarded as having a 79% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -385. The market suggests that Phoenix Mercury are least likely to win at +290.
There is a spread of 8.5 and total points has a line of 161.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Under 161.5, then the odds are -108.
There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on women's basketball and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.
Kahleah Copper is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -122 can be found for her scoring Over 17.5 points and there is -109 for her to go Under.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Golden State Valkyries Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 166.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 160.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 161.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 85.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.30 pts and allowed 80.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 165.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 158.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 161.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 80.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.70 pts and allowed 76.50 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
9 | 2 | 993 | 862 | 131 | 4-2 | 5-0 | 7W |
2
Aces
|
8 | 3 | 992 | 940 | 52 | 2-2 | 6-1 | 4W |
3
Dream
|
7 | 3 | 858 | 793 | 65 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 1W |
4
Wings
|
7 | 3 | 894 | 830 | 64 | 3-2 | 4-1 | 4W |
5
Liberty
|
8 | 4 | 1048 | 986 | 62 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 5W |
6
Fever
|
6 | 5 | 970 | 942 | 28 | 4-2 | 2-3 | 1W |
|
7
Valkyries
|
6 | 5 | 944 | 885 | 59 | 4-2 | 2-3 | 2L |
8
Tempo
|
6 | 5 | 973 | 966 | 7 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 1W |
9
Fire
|
6 | 7 | 1057 | 1113 | -56 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
10
Sparks
|
5 | 6 | 976 | 1002 | -26 | 2-5 | 3-1 | 1W |
11
Mystics
|
4 | 6 | 827 | 869 | -42 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2L |
12
Sky
|
4 | 7 | 887 | 945 | -58 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1L |
|
13
Mercury
|
4 | 8 | 980 | 1019 | -39 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2W |
14
Storm
|
3 | 10 | 991 | 1083 | -92 | 2-4 | 1-6 | 6L |
15
Sun
|
2 | 11 | 991 | 1146 | -155 | 1-4 | 1-7 | 3L |
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