Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Jun 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries

The Phoenix Mercury square off against the Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, June 9.

Our best prediction is that the Valkyries will have the edge over the Mercury. This leads us to back the favorites against the spread at -110, with the -8.5 line offering plenty of appeal.

Phoenix Mercury won their previous game by a 78-72 scoreline. It was on the road against Portland Fire at Moda Center.

Golden State Valkyries were beaten last game and this was on the road at Michelob Ultra Arena. Las Vegas Aces claimed a 84-79 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Chase Center, with the Valkyries claiming the win. Beating the Mercury by a 95-79 scoreline. In the past 5 games between the teams, the Mercury have won four.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  Valkyries	21	9	2488	2313	175	13-4	8-5	2W
11  Mercury	12	20	2694	2803	-109	5-10	7-10	1L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, key player prop picks and an expert-crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

Valkyries should secure a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward in this WNBA showdown. Back our pick off -8.5 to cover the line at -110.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our basketball picks. We combine this insight with up-to-date WNBA stats for sharper predictions.

Key Mercury vs Valkyries stats:

• The -8.5 line has been covered by Valkyries in 9 of their last 20 games at home.

Valkyries -8.5 Probability

Looking at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this WNBA wager.

If you’re hunting for tastier odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Discover the best value in betting. Our expert guide lists today’s top free bets, promo codes and new customer bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Valkyries -8.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jun 9, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Janelle Salaun Over 13.5 Points -104

Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) can be backed to score Over 13.5 points at -104. We have a strong conviction that she is able to cover the total when it comes to betting on Player Points.

Latest Janelle Salaun Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-109

Under 13.5

-122

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+115

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Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Assists -133

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to rack up Over 7.5 assists at -133. The total is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and we’re confident of landing a return.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-111

Under 15.5

-119

Assists

Over 7.5

-135

Under 7.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

-101

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 72 - 84 Valkyries

Should you wish to go for a speculative wager, try the Valkyries to win 84-72 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun bet which could potentially yield a big return.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Golden State Valkyries are regarded as having a 76% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -323. The market suggests that Phoenix Mercury are least likely to win at +250.

There is a spread of 7.5 and total points has a line of 162.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Under 162.5, then the odds are -108.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on women's basketball and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Mercury

+250

Valkyries

-323

Point Spread

Mercury +7.5

-106

Valkyries -7.5

-114

Total Points

Under 162.5

-108

Over 162.5

-112

Kahleah Copper is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -118 can be found for her scoring Over 17.5 points and there is -114 for her to go Under.

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 17.5

-118

Under 17.5

-114

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-111

Under 15.5

-119

Gabby Williams (Valkyries)

Over 14.5

-118

Under 14.5

-112

Janelle Salaun (Valkyries)

Over 13.5

-109

Under 13.5

-122

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 12.5

-105

Under 12.5

-127

Natasha Mack (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-103

Kayla Thornton (Valkyries)

Over 9.5

-119

Under 9.5

-111

Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries)

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

+102

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-135

Under 7.5

-100

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 6.5

+108

Under 6.5

-147

Gabby Williams (Valkyries)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+105

Natasha Mack (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+107

Under 9.5

-147

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

-101

Kayla Thornton (Valkyries)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-119

Gabby Williams (Valkyries)

Over 4.5

+124

Under 4.5

-169

Janelle Salaun (Valkyries)

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+115

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-161

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-118

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Golden State Valkyries Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 166.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 160.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 161.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 85.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.30 pts and allowed 80.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 165.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 158.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 161.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 80.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.70 pts and allowed 76.50 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	25	6	2874	2584	290	12-4	13-2	10W
2  Aces	21	9	2760	2598	162	9-5	12-4	1W
3  Valkyries	21	9	2488	2313	175	13-4	8-5	2W
4  Dream	19	11	2686	2578	108	11-5	8-6	1W
5  Fever	19	11	2895	2720	175	11-5	8-6	1L
6  Wings	19	12	2767	2649	118	9-5	10-7	1L
7  Liberty	19	13	2883	2801	82	10-5	9-8	3W
8  Mystics	17	12	2369	2412	-43	9-6	8-6	5W
9  Sky	12	19	2737	2788	-51	8-8	4-11	1W
10  Sparks	11	18	2598	2736	-138	5-9	6-9	1L
11  Mercury	12	20	2694	2803	-109	5-10	7-10	1L
12  Fire	11	19	2586	2762	-176	6-9	5-10	5L
13  Tempo	10	20	2626	2808	-182	6-11	4-9	7L
14  Sun	7	23	2395	2620	-225	4-10	3-13	5L
15  Storm	6	27	2728	2914	-186	4-11	2-16	10L

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