Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Jun 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever

The Phoenix Mercury square off against the Indiana Fever at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with tip-off scheduled for 19:30 on Wednesday, June 24.

The Fever are available at odds of -114 when it comes to backing them against the spread. The -7.5 line could be covered with ease against the Mercury and this looks like a value bet.

Fever Have 7 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Indiana Fever and Phoenix Mercury met two nights ago, with Fever coming away with a 86-77 win. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in seven Fever victories.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
6  Fever	28	16	4222	3979	243	15-7	13-9	1L
10  Mercury	16	28	3712	3854	-142	7-15	9-13	1L

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Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

We are confident that the favorites will cover the spread in this WNBA contest. -7.5 seems a generous line and you can get -114 that Fever will win by a bigger margin.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our basketball picks. We combine this insight with up-to-date WNBA stats for sharper predictions.

Key Mercury vs Fever stats:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by Fever in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Fever in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Fever -7.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 53.2% prospect of winning. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this WNBA wager.

Buying and selling points with a sportsbook gives you the opportunity to choose different lines. The former will mean shorter odds, while a sell leads to a bigger potential return.

Before you bet, make sure to check out the latest offers. Our guide is packed with the best welcome bonuses from leading sportsbooks.

Our Game Prediction

Fever -7.5 @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jun 24, 00:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 Assists -130

Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) can be wagered to total Over 2.5 assists at -130. We feel pretty confident that she will be able to cover the Player Assists total which looks generous.

Latest Kelsey Mitchell Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-123

Under 19.5

-105

Assists

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

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Natasha Mack Under 7.5 Rebounds -102

Natasha Mack (Mercury) is available at -102 to have Under 7.5 rebounds. The total looks reasonably high and we anticipate she will fall short of the line when it comes to the Player Rebounds.

Latest Natasha Mack Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-115

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-125

Under 7.5

-103

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 80 - 92 Fever

There are stacks of correct score lines available and we’re looking at the Fever to achieve a winning scoreline of 92-80 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Indiana Fever odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -455 betting favorites to land victory in this WNBA game which means a 82% chance of winning. Phoenix Mercury are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +330.

The current spread is 9.5 and the total points line is 176.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you’re going for Under 176.5, this outcome can be backed at -112.

If you’re betting on women's basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting sites and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Mercury

+330

Fever

-455

Point Spread

Mercury +9.5

-118

Fever -9.5

-104

Total Points

Under 176.5

-112

Over 176.5

-108

The favorite to hit the most buckets is Caitlin Clark. Odds of -114 can be found for her scoring Over 21.5 points and there are the same odds for her to go Under.

Caitlin Clark (Fever)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)

Over 19.5

-123

Under 19.5

-105

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 18.5

-130

Under 18.5

-100

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 16.5

+102

Under 16.5

-132

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-108

Under 14.5

-120

Sophie Cunningham (Fever)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Natasha Mack (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-115

Lexi Held (Mercury)

Over 8.5

+102

Under 8.5

-132

Lexie Hull (Fever)

Over 5.5

+107

Under 5.5

-139

Caitlin Clark (Fever)

Over 8.5

-118

Under 8.5

-110

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-104

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-169

Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 9.5

+112

Under 9.5

-145

Natasha Mack (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-125

Under 7.5

-103

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-156

Under 6.5

+120

Caitlin Clark (Fever)

Over 4.5

+109

Under 4.5

-141

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+126

Under 3.5

-164

Sophie Cunningham (Fever)

Over 3.5

+158

Under 3.5

-208

Lexie Hull (Fever)

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-135

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Indiana Fever Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 164.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 157.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 175.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 175.5 on the Road: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.40 pts and allowed 85.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.80 pts and allowed 80.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 181.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 186.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 175.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 175.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 91.50 pts and allowed 90.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 97.20 pts and allowed 89.70 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	11	3997	3681	316	15-7	18-4	1W
2  Valkyries	32	12	3615	3305	310	17-5	15-7	1W
3  Aces	31	13	4025	3776	249	15-7	16-6	7W
4  Dream	30	14	4019	3717	302	15-7	15-7	5W
5  Mystics	28	16	3696	3640	56	15-7	13-9	4W
6  Fever	28	16	4222	3979	243	15-7	13-9	1L
7  Wings	27	17	3933	3751	182	16-6	11-11	1W
8  Liberty	26	18	3941	3802	139	14-8	12-10	2L
9  Fire	17	27	3794	4005	-211	9-13	8-14	1W
10  Mercury	16	28	3712	3854	-142	7-15	9-13	1L
11  Sky	16	28	3818	3989	-171	11-11	5-17	1L
12  Sparks	16	28	3830	4018	-188	8-14	8-14	2L
13  Tempo	11	33	3769	4152	-383	7-15	4-18	8L
14  Sun	11	33	3470	3875	-405	8-14	3-19	1W
15  Storm	8	36	3616	3913	-297	6-16	2-20	5L

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