Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Aug 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks
The Phoenix Mercury square off against the Los Angeles Sparks at Crypto.com Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, August 11.
We’re keeping our prediction simple and backing the Sparks to claim a victory. They should be able to gain the upper hand over the Mercury and the Moneyline offers a tempting -128.
Phoenix Mercury lost on the road in their previous game. Washington Mystics won 95-75 at Entertainment and Sports Arena.
Los Angeles Sparks were beaten 84-78 at Crypto.com Arena in their last game, being turned over at home to Golden State Valkyries.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Mercury had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At Crypto.com Arena, they recorded a 86-82 win over the Sparks. The Mercury have won seven of the previous 10 H2H meetings.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10
Sparks
|
12 | 19 | 2765 | 2902 | -137 | 5-10 | 7-9 | 1L |
12
Mercury
|
12 | 22 | 2841 | 2973 | -132 | 5-10 | 7-12 | 3L |
Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Picks
Dive into our full Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, top player prop bets and a bet builder designed for value.
Game Prediction
There are lots of reasons to support the pick that Sparks will win this WNBA showdown. Therefore, we’re heading to the Moneyline where you can get a juicy -128.
To deliver the best possible basketball predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date WNBA stats available.
Key Mercury vs Sparks stats:
Sparks Moneyline Probability
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 56.2% chance of winning. However, our cappers have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this WNBA bet.
If you’re looking for a wager at bigger odds, then the Sparks on the Double Result lines could be a good way forward. You need them to lead at the halfway stage and then claim a win.
Before placing your bet, explore our exclusive betting promo codes, welcome offers, and best free bets for today.
Player Prop Picks
Dearica Hamby (Sparks) is available at -154 to rack up Over 6.5 rebounds. Out of all the prop bets, we’re going Over when it comes to this Player Rebounds wager.
Latest Dearica Hamby Player Prop Odds
Ariel Atkins (Sparks) is available at +144 to secure Over 3.5 assists. There’s an opportunity to enjoy a Player Assists bet that she is able to cover an appealing line.
Latest Ariel Atkins Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Sparks on the moneyline, Over 178.5 and Dearica Hamby (Sparks) to get Over 6.5 rebounds.
The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same basketball game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored wager on the contest which interests them most.
Correct Score Prediction
90
-
95
Sparks
Rather than betting on the Sparks to win, there’s the alternative to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 95-90 victory in their favor.
Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
There are betting odds of -130 that Los Angeles Sparks land victory, with Phoenix Mercury alternatively at +106. In the eyes of the leading WNBA sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 56% likely to claim a victory.
1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 178.5 right now. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to back Over 178.5, it’s -112.
There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on women's hoops and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.
The favorite to land the most baskets is Kahleah Copper. Odds of -114 can be found for her scoring Over 22.5 points and there are the same odds for her to go Under.
- WNBA: 22/07 2026 Mercury 86 Sparks 82
- WNBA: 14/06 2026 Sparks 111 Mercury 102
- WNBA: 22/05 2026 Sparks 97 Mercury 88
- WNBA: 10/09 2025 Sparks 88 Mercury 83
- WNBA: 27/08 2025 Mercury 92 Sparks 84
- WNBA: 02/06 2025 Mercury 85 Sparks 80
- WNBA: 22/05 2025 Sparks 86 Mercury 89
- WNBA: 18/09 2024 Mercury 85 Sparks 81
- WNBA: 08/07 2024 Mercury 84 Sparks 78
- WNBA: 29/06 2024 Sparks 78 Mercury 92
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Los Angeles Sparks Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 175.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 179.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 178.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 178.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.90 pts and allowed 89.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 85.60 pts and allowed 93.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 183.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 182.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 178.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 178.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.50 pts and allowed 94.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 90.70 pts and allowed 91.60 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
27 | 7 | 3157 | 2850 | 307 | 14-5 | 13-2 | 2W |
2
Valkyries
|
23 | 9 | 2666 | 2467 | 199 | 13-4 | 10-5 | 4W |
3
Aces
|
22 | 11 | 3004 | 2891 | 113 | 9-5 | 13-6 | 2L |
5
Fever
|
20 | 12 | 3069 | 2892 | 177 | 11-6 | 9-6 | 1W |
5
Dream
|
20 | 12 | 2867 | 2752 | 115 | 12-5 | 8-7 | 1W |
6
Mystics
|
19 | 12 | 2543 | 2561 | -18 | 11-6 | 8-6 | 7W |
7
Liberty
|
20 | 13 | 2994 | 2872 | 122 | 11-5 | 9-8 | 4W |
8
Wings
|
19 | 14 | 2933 | 2846 | 87 | 9-6 | 10-8 | 3L |
9
Fire
|
13 | 19 | 2783 | 2938 | -155 | 8-9 | 5-10 | 2W |
|
10
Sparks
|
12 | 19 | 2765 | 2902 | -137 | 5-10 | 7-9 | 1L |
11
Sky
|
12 | 21 | 2911 | 2975 | -64 | 8-9 | 4-12 | 2L |
|
12
Mercury
|
12 | 22 | 2841 | 2973 | -132 | 5-10 | 7-12 | 3L |
13
Tempo
|
10 | 22 | 2804 | 3012 | -208 | 6-11 | 4-11 | 9L |
14
Sun
|
8 | 23 | 2470 | 2692 | -222 | 5-10 | 3-13 | 1W |
15
Storm
|
7 | 28 | 2918 | 3102 | -184 | 5-11 | 2-17 | 1W |
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