Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Jul 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx
The Phoenix Mercury square off against the Minnesota Lynx at Target Center, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Monday, July 13.
We’re sweet on the Lynx who are -13.5 on the spread. The betting favorites should enjoy a big victory against the Mercury and cover the line at -105.
Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 106-58 reverse against Las Vegas Aces at Michelob Ultra Arena.
Minnesota Lynx were winners last time out. It was a 90-85 home victory against New York Liberty at Target Center.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Lynx have beaten the Mercury in their last two meetings, winning by 88-84 and 111-77 scorelines. Both matchups were played at Mortgage Matchup Center. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Lynx winning six times.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
17 | 6 | 2070 | 1861 | 209 | 7-4 | 10-2 | 2W |
12
Mercury
|
8 | 16 | 1982 | 2078 | -96 | 3-8 | 5-8 | 3L |
Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks
Our Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
We’d be very surprised if Lynx don’t exceed a -13.5 spread in this WNBA contest. That is why the bet has to be the favorites to cover the line at -105.
We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our WNBA handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.
Key Mercury vs Lynx stats:
Lynx -13.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
In the quest to secure bigger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.
Before placing a wager, see what betting offers are on the table. Our in-depth guide lists the top welcome bonuses right now.
Player Prop Picks
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to rack up Over 8.5 assists at +110. We’re happy to wager that she is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists bet making appeal.
Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds
Courtney Williams (Lynx) can be wagered to total Under 5.5 rebounds at -159. We really like this player prop so we’re going to bet on her to fall short when it comes to rebounds.
Latest Courtney Williams Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Lynx -13.5 on the spread, combined with Over 169.5 and Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) to have Over 8.5 assists.
A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same basketball game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Correct Score Prediction
79
-
97
Lynx
Let’s roll the dice and try the Lynx to enjoy a 97-79 winning scoreline here. There are massive odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.
Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
You might not get rich backing Minnesota Lynx at -833. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 89% chance of winning this WNBA game. Phoenix Mercury are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +520.
The spread is 13.5 and the total points line is currently 169.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you fancy Over 169.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.
Women's hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.
Kahleah Copper is the market leader to hit the most buckets. She is priced at -111 to score Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -116.
- WNBA: 02/06 2026 Lynx 111 Mercury 77
- WNBA: 13/05 2026 Lynx 88 Mercury 84
- WNBA: 29/09 2025 Lynx 81 Mercury 86
- WNBA: 27/09 2025 Lynx 76 Mercury 84
- WNBA: 24/09 2025 Mercury 89 Lynx 83
- WNBA: 21/09 2025 Mercury 69 Lynx 82
- WNBA: 16/07 2025 Mercury 66 Lynx 79
- WNBA: 09/07 2025 Lynx 71 Mercury 79
- WNBA: 04/06 2025 Mercury 65 Lynx 88
- WNBA: 31/05 2025 Lynx 74 Mercury 71
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Minnesota Lynx Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road
- -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 173.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 163.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 169.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 169.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.10 pts and allowed 88.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.80 pts and allowed 85.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 170.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 171.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 169.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 169.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.00 pts and allowed 82.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 91.50 pts and allowed 80.00 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Lynx
|
17 | 6 | 2070 | 1861 | 209 | 7-4 | 10-2 | 2W |
2
Aces
|
17 | 7 | 2158 | 2062 | 96 | 7-5 | 10-2 | 1L |
3
Valkyries
|
17 | 7 | 1967 | 1828 | 139 | 10-3 | 7-4 | 7W |
4
Wings
|
16 | 8 | 2147 | 2049 | 98 | 7-3 | 9-5 | 5W |
5
Fever
|
14 | 9 | 2162 | 2048 | 114 | 8-4 | 6-5 | 2W |
6
Dream
|
13 | 10 | 2018 | 1942 | 76 | 7-4 | 6-6 | 1L |
7
Liberty
|
13 | 11 | 2108 | 2027 | 81 | 7-5 | 6-6 | 3L |
8
Mystics
|
11 | 10 | 1706 | 1769 | -63 | 5-5 | 6-5 | 1W |
9
Sparks
|
10 | 11 | 1870 | 1958 | -88 | 5-7 | 5-4 | 2W |
10
Fire
|
10 | 13 | 1952 | 2098 | -146 | 6-6 | 4-7 | 1W |
11
Tempo
|
10 | 13 | 2064 | 2117 | -53 | 6-7 | 4-6 | 1W |
|
12
Mercury
|
8 | 16 | 1982 | 2078 | -96 | 3-8 | 5-8 | 3L |
13
Sky
|
7 | 16 | 1987 | 2063 | -76 | 3-7 | 4-9 | 2L |
14
Storm
|
6 | 19 | 2000 | 2128 | -128 | 4-8 | 2-11 | 2L |
15
Sun
|
5 | 18 | 1823 | 1986 | -163 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2L |
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