Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Jul 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx

The Phoenix Mercury square off against the Minnesota Lynx at Target Center, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Monday, July 13.

We’re sweet on the Lynx who are -13.5 on the spread. The betting favorites should enjoy a big victory against the Mercury and cover the line at -105.

Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 106-58 reverse against Las Vegas Aces at Michelob Ultra Arena.

Minnesota Lynx were winners last time out. It was a 90-85 home victory against New York Liberty at Target Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lynx have beaten the Mercury in their last two meetings, winning by 88-84 and 111-77 scorelines. Both matchups were played at Mortgage Matchup Center. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Lynx winning six times.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	11	3997	3681	316	15-7	18-4	1W
10  Mercury	16	28	3712	3854	-142	7-15	9-13	1L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks

Our Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’d be very surprised if Lynx don’t exceed a -13.5 spread in this WNBA contest. That is why the bet has to be the favorites to cover the line at -105.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our WNBA handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Key Mercury vs Lynx stats:

• The -13.5 line has been covered by Lynx in 5 of their last 10 games at home.

Lynx -13.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

In the quest to secure bigger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.

Before placing a wager, see what betting offers are on the table. Our in-depth guide lists the top welcome bonuses right now.

Our Game Prediction

Lynx -13.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jul 13, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Assists +110

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to rack up Over 8.5 assists at +110. We’re happy to wager that she is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists bet making appeal.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-110

Under 13.5

-118

Assists

Over 8.5

+110

Under 8.5

-143

Rebounds

Over 7.5

+117

Under 7.5

-152

---

Courtney Williams Under 5.5 Rebounds -159

Courtney Williams (Lynx) can be wagered to total Under 5.5 rebounds at -159. We really like this player prop so we’re going to bet on her to fall short when it comes to rebounds.

Latest Courtney Williams Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-106

Under 16.5

-122

Assists

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+122

Under 5.5

-159

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 79 - 97 Lynx

Let’s roll the dice and try the Lynx to enjoy a 97-79 winning scoreline here. There are massive odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You might not get rich backing Minnesota Lynx at -625. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 86% chance of winning this WNBA game. Phoenix Mercury are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +430.

The spread is 11.5 and the total points line is currently 170.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you fancy Over 170.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.

Women's hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Mercury

+430

Lynx

-625

Point Spread

Mercury +11.5

-115

Lynx -11.5

-105

Total Points

Under 170.5

-112

Over 170.5

-108

Kahleah Copper is the market leader to hit the most buckets. She is priced at -111 to score Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -116.

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 19.5

-111

Under 19.5

-116

Olivia Miles (Lynx)

Over 19.5

+102

Under 19.5

-132

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 16.5

-106

Under 16.5

-122

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 16.5

-103

Under 16.5

-125

Natasha Howard (Lynx)

Over 15.5

-125

Under 15.5

-103

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 13.5

-110

Under 13.5

-118

Valeriane Ayayi (Mercury)

Over 10.5

-115

Under 10.5

-112

Monique Akoa Makani (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-116

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-120

Nia Coffey (Lynx)

Over 7.5

-128

Under 7.5

-101

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

+110

Under 8.5

-143

Olivia Miles (Lynx)

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

+108

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

+121

Natasha Howard (Lynx)

Over 2.5

+155

Under 2.5

-204

Nia Coffey (Lynx)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-125

Natasha Howard (Lynx)

Over 8.5

+107

Under 8.5

-139

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

+117

Under 7.5

-152

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 5.5

+122

Under 5.5

-159

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-118

Nia Coffey (Lynx)

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-130

Olivia Miles (Lynx)

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-104

Valeriane Ayayi (Mercury)

Over 4.5

+106

Under 4.5

-137

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-100

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 3.5

+109

Under 3.5

-141

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on basketball. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Minnesota Lynx Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 173.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 163.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 169.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.10 pts and allowed 88.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.80 pts and allowed 85.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 170.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 171.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 169.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.00 pts and allowed 82.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 91.50 pts and allowed 80.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	11	3997	3681	316	15-7	18-4	1W
2  Valkyries	32	12	3615	3305	310	17-5	15-7	1W
3  Aces	31	13	4025	3776	249	15-7	16-6	7W
4  Dream	30	14	4019	3717	302	15-7	15-7	5W
5  Mystics	28	16	3696	3640	56	15-7	13-9	4W
6  Fever	28	16	4222	3979	243	15-7	13-9	1L
7  Wings	27	17	3933	3751	182	16-6	11-11	1W
8  Liberty	26	18	3941	3802	139	14-8	12-10	2L
9  Fire	17	27	3794	4005	-211	9-13	8-14	1W
10  Mercury	16	28	3712	3854	-142	7-15	9-13	1L
11  Sky	16	28	3818	3989	-171	11-11	5-17	1L
12  Sparks	16	28	3830	4018	-188	8-14	8-14	2L
13  Tempo	11	33	3769	4152	-383	7-15	4-18	8L
14  Sun	11	33	3470	3875	-405	8-14	3-19	1W
15  Storm	8	36	3616	3913	-297	6-16	2-20	5L

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