Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 May 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty
The Phoenix Mercury battle the New York Liberty at Barclays Center, with tip-off scheduled for 19:30 on Friday, May 29.
The betting line makes lots of appeal considering it’s set at +6.5 and our prediction is that the Mercury will cover this against the Liberty. There is -112 available for this outcome.
Liberty Claimed 84-74 Victory in Last H2H
When New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury clashed on Wednesday night, Liberty claimed a 84-74 win. It’s been six Mercury wins in the past 10 games between these teams.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8
Liberty
|
4 | 4 | 704 | 681 | 23 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 1W |
14
Mercury
|
2 | 6 | 685 | 693 | -8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4L |
Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks
Get the full betting picture for Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty, including a key match prediction, our best correct score selection, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
Mercury look a value play at +6.5 on the spread in this WNBA contest. They could could beat their opponents and the -112 about this pick makes plenty of appeal.
The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball predictions.
Key Mercury vs Liberty stats:
Mercury +6.5 Probability
The top betting sites are estimating that there is a 52.9% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you want a viable alternative to betting the Mercury against the spread, then the Winning Margin lines could be up your street. Choose from a wide range of options.
Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.
Player Prop Picks
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to register Under 8.5 assists at -108. There are a number of reasons that suggest she will fall short of the total when it comes to Player Assists.
Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds
Kahleah Copper (Mercury) can be wagered to record Over 18.5 points at -122. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.
Latest Kahleah Copper Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Mercury +6.5. We’ve also gone for Under 169.5 and Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) to get Under 8.5 assists.
The betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual game. It means that you can create a personalised basketball wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of selections.
Correct Score Prediction
81
-
83
Liberty
There are huge odds available when it comes to the Liberty landing a 83-81 win. A close game is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.
Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
New York Liberty are -222 favorites and that means a 69% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Phoenix Mercury are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +176.
The current spread is 6.5 and the total points line is 169.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you’re going for Under 169.5, this outcome can be backed at -114.
You can find a huge selection of game lines and team props for every matchup, with the best basketball betting sites creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.
Breanna Stewart is the market leader to land the most baskets. She is priced at -114 to score Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -118.
You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.
- WNBA: 28/05 2026 Mercury 74 Liberty 84
- WNBA: 20/09 2025 Liberty 73 Mercury 79
- WNBA: 18/09 2025 Mercury 86 Liberty 60
- WNBA: 14/09 2025 Liberty 76 Mercury 69
- WNBA: 31/08 2025 Liberty 63 Mercury 80
- WNBA: 26/07 2025 Mercury 76 Liberty 89
- WNBA: 28/06 2025 Liberty 91 Mercury 106
- WNBA: 20/06 2025 Mercury 89 Liberty 81
- WNBA: 27/08 2024 Liberty 84 Mercury 70
- WNBA: 19/06 2024 Liberty 93 Mercury 99
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
New York Liberty Stats
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 173.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 164.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 169.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 169.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.90 pts and allowed 88.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 82.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 168.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 159.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 169.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 169.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.70 pts and allowed 84.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.00 pts and allowed 79.30 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
5 | 2 | 628 | 575 | 53 | 2-2 | 3-0 | 3W |
2
Valkyries
|
5 | 2 | 605 | 546 | 59 | 3-1 | 2-1 | 2W |
3
Dream
|
4 | 2 | 501 | 492 | 9 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1L |
4
Fire
|
5 | 3 | 670 | 681 | -11 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 3W |
5
Wings
|
5 | 3 | 711 | 678 | 33 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 2W |
6
Fever
|
4 | 3 | 650 | 612 | 38 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 1L |
7
Aces
|
4 | 3 | 637 | 620 | 17 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 2L |
|
8
Liberty
|
4 | 4 | 704 | 681 | 23 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 1W |
9
Mystics
|
3 | 3 | 497 | 518 | -21 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 1W |
10
Sparks
|
3 | 3 | 549 | 576 | -27 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 2W |
11
Tempo
|
4 | 4 | 713 | 729 | -16 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 1W |
12
Sky
|
3 | 4 | 604 | 611 | -7 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 3L |
13
Storm
|
3 | 5 | 636 | 650 | -14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1L |
|
14
Mercury
|
2 | 6 | 685 | 693 | -8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4L |
15
Sun
|
1 | 8 | 672 | 800 | -128 | 0-3 | 1-5 | 3L |
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