Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 May 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty

The Phoenix Mercury battle the New York Liberty at Barclays Center, with tip-off scheduled for 19:30 on Friday, May 29.

The betting line makes lots of appeal considering it’s set at +6.5 and our prediction is that the Mercury will cover this against the Liberty. There is -112 available for this outcome.

Liberty Claimed 84-74 Victory in Last H2H

When New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury clashed on Wednesday night, Liberty claimed a 84-74 win. It’s been six Mercury wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
6  Liberty	23	15	3448	3329	119	13-5	10-10	1W
11  Mercury	13	24	3109	3247	-138	5-12	8-12	2L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks

Get the full betting picture for Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty, including a key match prediction, our best correct score selection, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Mercury look a value play at +6.5 on the spread in this WNBA contest. They could could beat their opponents and the -112 about this pick makes plenty of appeal.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball predictions.

Key Mercury vs Liberty stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 6 of their last 10 games against Mercury.

Mercury +6.5 Probability

The top betting sites are estimating that there is a 52.9% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you want a viable alternative to betting the Mercury against the spread, then the Winning Margin lines could be up your street. Choose from a wide range of options.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Game Prediction

Mercury +6.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 29, 00:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alyssa Thomas Under 8.5 Assists -108

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to register Under 8.5 assists at -108. There are a number of reasons that suggest she will fall short of the total when it comes to Player Assists.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-130

Under 15.5

-102

Assists

Over 9.5

+105

Under 9.5

-143

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

-102

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Kahleah Copper Over 18.5 Points -122

Kahleah Copper (Mercury) can be wagered to record Over 18.5 points at -122. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.

Latest Kahleah Copper Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-127

Under 18.5

-106

Assists

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-192

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-103

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 81 - 83 Liberty

There are huge odds available when it comes to the Liberty landing a 83-81 win. A close game is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.

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Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

New York Liberty are -222 favorites and that means a 69% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Phoenix Mercury are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +176.

The current spread is 5.5 and the total points line is 170.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you’re going for Under 170.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.

You can find a huge selection of game lines and team props for every matchup, with the best basketball betting sites creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Mercury

+176

Liberty

-222

Point Spread

Mercury +5.5

-106

Liberty -5.5

-114

Total Points

Under 170.5

-108

Over 170.5

-112

Breanna Stewart is the market leader to land the most baskets. She is priced at -112 to score Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -118.

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 19.5

-112

Under 19.5

-118

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 18.5

-127

Under 18.5

-106

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-130

Under 15.5

-102

Satou Sabally (Liberty)

Over 13.5

-123

Under 13.5

-108

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 12.5

-127

Under 12.5

-105

Marine Johannes (Liberty)

Over 10.5

-125

Under 10.5

-106

Jovana Nogic (Mercury)

Over 10.5

-104

Under 10.5

-127

Natasha Mack (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-108

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+105

Under 9.5

-143

Marine Johannes (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-123

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+114

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-192

Satou Sabally (Liberty)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-110

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-135

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 7.5

-139

Under 7.5

+102

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

-102

Natasha Mack (Mercury)

Over 7.5

+103

Under 7.5

-141

Satou Sabally (Liberty)

Over 4.5

+121

Under 4.5

-164

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-103

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 173.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 164.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 169.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.90 pts and allowed 88.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 82.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 168.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 159.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 169.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.70 pts and allowed 84.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.00 pts and allowed 79.30 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	31	8	3571	3248	323	14-6	17-2	1L
2  Valkyries	26	11	3051	2824	227	15-5	11-6	1W
3  Aces	26	13	3531	3388	143	12-7	14-6	2W
4  Dream	25	13	3460	3246	214	12-6	13-7	4W
5  Fever	25	14	3769	3547	222	13-6	12-8	1W
6  Liberty	23	15	3448	3329	119	13-5	10-10	1W
7  Mystics	22	15	3057	3076	-19	13-7	9-8	1W
8  Wings	22	16	3367	3265	102	12-6	10-10	2W
9  Fire	15	22	3215	3377	-162	8-11	7-11	2L
10  Sky	15	23	3320	3415	-95	10-10	5-13	1L
11  Mercury	13	24	3109	3247	-138	5-12	8-12	2L
12  Sparks	13	25	3316	3516	-200	6-13	7-12	1L
13  Tempo	11	26	3229	3467	-238	7-13	4-13	1L
14  Sun	9	27	2845	3133	-288	6-12	3-15	2L
15  Storm	7	31	3150	3360	-210	5-13	2-18	3L

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