Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Sep 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire
The Phoenix Mercury battle the Portland Fire at Moda Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, September 17.
We’re expecting a spirited performance from the Fire which leads us to backing them against the spread when meeting the Mercury. They should be able to cover the +2.5 line where -106 can be found.
Phoenix Mercury previous game saw them claim a 101-69 home win over Toronto Tempo at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Portland Fire lost their last game, being beaten at home to Golden State Valkyries 86-69 at Moda Center.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last head-to-head saw the Fire claim a 88-85 win over the Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9
Fire
|
16 | 24 | 3463 | 3642 | -179 | 8-12 | 8-12 | 1L |
12
Mercury
|
14 | 26 | 3367 | 3490 | -123 | 6-14 | 8-12 | 1W |
Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Prediction & Picks
We bring you the complete Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
If you agree that Fire can go fairly close in this WNBA matchup, then bet the underdogs against the spread here. The +2.5 makes lots of appeal at -106.
Our basketball picks are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest WNBA team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.
Key Mercury vs Fire stats:
Fire +2.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
If you want to pimp the odds about the Fire against the spread, you might consider going down the Bet Builder route and combine this prediction with other selections.
Unlock top value before betting. Our guide lists the latest offers and welcome bonuses you won’t want to miss.
Player Prop Picks
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be wagered to register Under 8.5 assists at -102. It might well be the case that she doesn’t cover the line and this Player Assists bet is appealing.
Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds
Emily Engstler (Fire) can be wagered to record Over 2.5 assists at -147. We’re tempted to back her to cover the Player Assists line, with plenty of juice on offer.
Latest Emily Engstler Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Fire +2.5 on the spread, combined with Over 171.5 and Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) to have Under 8.5 assists.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same basketball game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
86
-
90
Fire
We’ll roll the dice and go for the Fire to enjoy a 90-86 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.
Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
You can back Portland Fire at +114 to win against Phoenix Mercury, with the latter trading at -141. The WNBA sportsbook traders give the road team a 58% probability of success.
The spread currently stands at 2.5 and the total points line is 171.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 171.5 at -114.
Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on women's basketball, the top sportsbooks let you feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, offering an impressive range of options.
Kahleah Copper is the market leader to hit the most buckets. She is priced at -109 to score Over 20.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -122.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Portland Fire Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 174.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 180.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 171.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 171.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.10 pts and allowed 88.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 87.30 pts and allowed 93.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 175.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 186.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 171.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 171.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.70 pts and allowed 88.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 91.70 pts and allowed 94.80 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
31 | 9 | 3652 | 3337 | 315 | 14-6 | 17-3 | 2L |
2
Valkyries
|
29 | 11 | 3305 | 3017 | 288 | 15-5 | 14-6 | 4W |
3
Aces
|
27 | 13 | 3624 | 3461 | 163 | 13-7 | 14-6 | 3W |
4
Dream
|
26 | 14 | 3632 | 3428 | 204 | 13-7 | 13-7 | 1W |
5
Fever
|
26 | 14 | 3880 | 3638 | 242 | 14-6 | 12-8 | 2W |
6
Liberty
|
24 | 16 | 3593 | 3474 | 119 | 14-6 | 10-10 | 1W |
7
Mystics
|
24 | 16 | 3313 | 3321 | -8 | 13-7 | 11-9 | 1L |
8
Wings
|
24 | 16 | 3560 | 3414 | 146 | 14-6 | 10-10 | 4W |
|
9
Fire
|
16 | 24 | 3463 | 3642 | -179 | 8-12 | 8-12 | 1L |
10
Sky
|
15 | 25 | 3467 | 3587 | -120 | 10-10 | 5-15 | 3L |
11
Sparks
|
15 | 25 | 3494 | 3672 | -178 | 7-13 | 8-12 | 2W |
|
12
Mercury
|
14 | 26 | 3367 | 3490 | -123 | 6-14 | 8-12 | 1W |
13
Tempo
|
11 | 29 | 3449 | 3751 | -302 | 7-13 | 4-16 | 4L |
14
Sun
|
10 | 30 | 3158 | 3511 | -353 | 7-13 | 3-17 | 3L |
15
Storm
|
8 | 32 | 3314 | 3528 | -214 | 6-14 | 2-18 | 1L |
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