Portland Fire vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 16 Aug 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Portland Fire vs Phoenix Mercury

The Portland Fire face the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Sunday, August 16.

Our best wager is the Fire at +5.5 on the spread. A win or narrow defeat against the Mercury would mean our bet at odds of -108 lands a return.

Portland Fire triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Seattle Storm were beaten 84-82 at Climate Pledge Arena.

Phoenix Mercury won last time out by a 94-87 scoreline. It was on the road against Los Angeles Sparks at Crypto.com Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Mercury claim a 78-72 win over the Fire at Moda Center.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
9  Fire	17	27	3794	4005	-211	9-13	8-14	1W
10  Mercury	16	28	3712	3854	-142	7-15	9-13	1L

View Full Standings

Portland Fire vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

This Portland Fire vs Phoenix Mercury betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Game Prediction

Fire are capable of staying close to the favorites in this WNBA contest, so we’ll take a chance and wager the underdogs against the spread. There’s an attractive +5.5 available which is priced at -108.

We keep a close eye on team news and our expert WNBA handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Fire vs Mercury stats:

• The +5.5 line has been covered by Fire in 5 consecutive games.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by Fire in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by Fire in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games at home.

Fire +5.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 51.8% prospect of winning. Based on our in-depth research, our analysts calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. This allows you to shoot for a franchise to perform better than expected by the sportsbooks.

Make the most of your next wager by unlocking the best betting offers along with the latest sign-up bonuses and promotions.

Our Game Prediction

Fire +5.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 15, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Megan DiLeo Over 14.5 Points -111

Megan DiLeo (Fire) can be backed to total Over 14.5 points at -111. She looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and we’re confident with this wager.

Latest Megan DiLeo Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-111

Under 14.5

-119

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+118

Under 4.5

-161

---

Carla Leite Over 7.5 Assists +113

Carla Leite (Fire) is available at +113 to total Over 7.5 assists. We feel pretty confident that she will be able to cover the Player Assists total which looks generous.

Latest Carla Leite Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-115

Under 16.5

-112

Assists

Over 7.5

+118

Under 7.5

-154

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Fire 84 - 87 Mercury

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Mercury to enjoy a 87-84 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.

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Portland Fire vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this WNBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Phoenix Mercury are -204 favorites to win and that means a 67% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +164 about Portland Fire.

5.5 is the spread and 178.5 is the total points line. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you’re going for Under 178.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.

Consider every angle when placing your women's hoops wagers. The best basketball betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Fire

+164

Mercury

-204

Point Spread

Fire +5.5

-118

Mercury -5.5

-104

Total Points

Under 178.5

-108

Over 178.5

-112

The favorite to hit the most buckets is Kahleah Copper. Odds of -115 can be found for her scoring Over 21.5 points and there is -112 for her to go Under.

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 21.5

-115

Under 21.5

-112

Carla Leite (Fire)

Over 16.5

-115

Under 16.5

-112

Bridget Carleton (Fire)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-102

Under 16.5

-127

Megan DiLeo (Fire)

Over 14.5

-111

Under 14.5

-119

Megan Gustafson (Fire)

Over 13.5

-130

Under 13.5

+101

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 11.5

-111

Under 11.5

-116

Emily Engstler (Fire)

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-103

Noemie Brochant (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Valeriane Ayayi (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-101

Under 6.5

-128

Natasha Mack (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-135

Under 5.5

+104

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-167

Under 8.5

+128

Carla Leite (Fire)

Over 7.5

+118

Under 7.5

-154

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 2.5

+152

Under 2.5

-200

Bridget Carleton (Fire)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-164

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 2.5

+158

Under 2.5

-208

Emily Engstler (Fire)

Over 2.5

+122

Under 2.5

-159

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-115

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-100

Bridget Carleton (Fire)

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-149

Megan DiLeo (Fire)

Over 4.5

+118

Under 4.5

-161

Megan Gustafson (Fire)

Over 4.5

+109

Under 4.5

-141

Emily Engstler (Fire)

Over 4.5

-119

Under 4.5

-109

Natasha Mack (Mercury)

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-101

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-135

Carla Leite (Fire)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Noemie Brochant (Mercury)

Over 2.5

+144

Under 2.5

-189

Valeriane Ayayi (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+118

There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Portland Fire Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 182.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 183.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 176.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 176.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 90.90 pts and allowed 91.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 89.60 pts and allowed 94.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 173.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 170.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 176.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 176.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 87.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.40 pts and allowed 84.80 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	11	3997	3681	316	15-7	18-4	1W
2  Valkyries	32	12	3615	3305	310	17-5	15-7	1W
3  Aces	31	13	4025	3776	249	15-7	16-6	7W
4  Dream	30	14	4019	3717	302	15-7	15-7	5W
5  Mystics	28	16	3696	3640	56	15-7	13-9	4W
6  Fever	28	16	4222	3979	243	15-7	13-9	1L
7  Wings	27	17	3933	3751	182	16-6	11-11	1W
8  Liberty	26	18	3941	3802	139	14-8	12-10	2L
9  Fire	17	27	3794	4005	-211	9-13	8-14	1W
10  Mercury	16	28	3712	3854	-142	7-15	9-13	1L
11  Sky	16	28	3818	3989	-171	11-11	5-17	1L
12  Sparks	16	28	3830	4018	-188	8-14	8-14	2L
13  Tempo	11	33	3769	4152	-383	7-15	4-18	8L
14  Sun	11	33	3470	3875	-405	8-14	3-19	1W
15  Storm	8	36	3616	3913	-297	6-16	2-20	5L

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