Portland Fire vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 16 Aug 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Portland Fire vs Phoenix Mercury
The Portland Fire face the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Sunday, August 16.
Our best wager is the Fire at +5.5 on the spread. A win or narrow defeat against the Mercury would mean our bet at odds of -108 lands a return.
Portland Fire triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Seattle Storm were beaten 84-82 at Climate Pledge Arena.
Phoenix Mercury won last time out by a 94-87 scoreline. It was on the road against Los Angeles Sparks at Crypto.com Arena.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last head-to-head saw the Mercury claim a 78-72 win over the Fire at Moda Center.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9
Fire
|
14 | 20 | 2948 | 3105 | -157 | 8-10 | 6-10 | 1W |
10
Mercury
|
13 | 22 | 2935 | 3060 | -125 | 5-10 | 8-12 | 1W |
Portland Fire vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks
This Portland Fire vs Phoenix Mercury betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.
Game Prediction
Fire are capable of staying close to the favorites in this WNBA contest, so we’ll take a chance and wager the underdogs against the spread. There’s an attractive +5.5 available which is priced at -108.
We keep a close eye on team news and our expert WNBA handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.
Key Fire vs Mercury stats:
Fire +5.5 Probability
The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 51.8% prospect of winning. Based on our in-depth research, our analysts calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. This allows you to shoot for a franchise to perform better than expected by the sportsbooks.
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Player Prop Picks
Megan DiLeo (Fire) can be backed to total Over 14.5 points at -111. She looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and we’re confident with this wager.
Latest Megan DiLeo Player Prop Odds
Carla Leite (Fire) is available at +113 to total Over 7.5 assists. We feel pretty confident that she will be able to cover the Player Assists total which looks generous.
Latest Carla Leite Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Fire +5.5 on the spread, Under 176.5 and Megan DiLeo (Fire) to score Over 14.5 points.
A same game parlay is a great alternative for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single basketball game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Correct Score Prediction
84
-
87
Mercury
We’ll roll the dice and go for the Mercury to enjoy a 87-84 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.
Portland Fire vs Phoenix Mercury Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this WNBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Phoenix Mercury are -222 favorites to win and that means a 69% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +176 about Portland Fire.
5.5 is the spread and 176.5 is the total points line. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you’re going for Under 176.5, this outcome can be backed at -104.
Consider every angle when placing your women's hoops wagers. The best basketball betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.
The favorite to hit the most buckets is Kahleah Copper. Odds of -130 can be found for her scoring Over 21.5 points and there is -100 for her to go Under.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Portland Fire Stats
Phoenix Mercury Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 182.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 183.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 176.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 176.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 90.90 pts and allowed 91.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 89.60 pts and allowed 94.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 173.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 170.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 176.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 176.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 87.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.40 pts and allowed 84.80 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
29 | 7 | 3334 | 3018 | 316 | 14-5 | 15-2 | 4W |
2
Valkyries
|
24 | 9 | 2757 | 2538 | 219 | 14-4 | 10-5 | 5W |
3
Aces
|
24 | 12 | 3260 | 3135 | 125 | 11-6 | 13-6 | 1L |
4
Fever
|
22 | 12 | 3273 | 3071 | 202 | 13-6 | 9-6 | 3W |
5
Dream
|
21 | 12 | 2971 | 2821 | 150 | 12-5 | 9-7 | 2W |
6
Liberty
|
22 | 14 | 3253 | 3134 | 119 | 12-5 | 10-9 | 2W |
7
Mystics
|
20 | 14 | 2775 | 2800 | -25 | 12-6 | 8-8 | 1W |
8
Wings
|
20 | 15 | 3114 | 3032 | 82 | 10-6 | 10-9 | 1L |
|
9
Fire
|
14 | 20 | 2948 | 3105 | -157 | 8-10 | 6-10 | 1W |
|
10
Mercury
|
13 | 22 | 2935 | 3060 | -125 | 5-10 | 8-12 | 1W |
11
Sky
|
12 | 22 | 2982 | 3066 | -84 | 8-9 | 4-13 | 3L |
12
Sparks
|
12 | 22 | 3003 | 3161 | -158 | 5-11 | 7-11 | 4L |
13
Tempo
|
10 | 23 | 2892 | 3106 | -214 | 6-11 | 4-12 | 10L |
14
Sun
|
8 | 25 | 2614 | 2878 | -264 | 5-12 | 3-13 | 2L |
15
Storm
|
7 | 29 | 3000 | 3186 | -186 | 5-12 | 2-17 | 1L |
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