Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 20 Jun 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury
The Seattle Storm battle the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center, with tip-off scheduled for 15:00 on Saturday, June 20.
We think a bet on the totals provides value after finding that the line is set at a generous 160.5. Bank on the Storm and the Mercury to surpass this number at -108.
Seattle Storm lost on the road in their previous game. Portland Fire won 94-89 at Moda Center.
Phoenix Mercury were beaten 86-76 in their last game, being turned over at home to Las Vegas Aces.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Mercury have claimed back-to-back victories over the Storm. Both wins came at Climate Pledge Arena and the scorelines were 85-82 and 72-68. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Storm have won six.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13
Mercury
|
4 | 12 | 1309 | 1388 | -79 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 4L |
14
Storm
|
3 | 13 | 1235 | 1341 | -106 | 2-6 | 1-7 | 9L |
Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks
Our Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re confident that Over 160.5 is the value play at -108. We’re expecting these WNBA teams to rack up the points, so a total bet could be the way forward.
We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball picks. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key WNBA numbers that truly make a difference.
Key Storm vs Mercury stats:
Over 160.5 Probability
The top basketball sportsbooks suggest there’s a 51.8% chance of our pick landing a return. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
Want more juice from your Over wager on the Totals? Bigger odds can be found if you move the line and go for a riskier bet. You can choose from a range of options.
Claim bonuses and free bets before placing a wager. Our in-depth guide shows you the best current betting offers.
Player Prop Picks
Kahleah Copper (Mercury) can be backed to record Over 19.5 points at -102. We are going to choose a Player Points prop bet which will hopefully see her cover the line.
Latest Kahleah Copper Player Prop Odds
Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) is available at -152 to have Over 2.5 rebounds. We’re anticipating a strong performance from her, so it makes sense that she will cover the line.
Latest Natisha Hiedeman Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Over 160.5. We’ve also gone for Storm +7.5 and Kahleah Copper (Mercury) to score Over 19.5 points.
The same game parlay option is great for basketball bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Phoenix Mercury as -263 favorites for this WNBA game, implying that they are 72% likely to win. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +210 about Seattle Storm.
7.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 160.5 right now. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you're keen on Over 160.5, this selection is available at -108.
If you’re planning to place a bet on women's basketball, visit the best betting sites and check out the hundreds of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.
The favorite to land the most baskets is Kahleah Copper. Odds of -102 can be found for her scoring Over 19.5 points and there is -127 for her to go Under.
- WNBA: 04/06 2026 Mercury 72 Storm 68
- WNBA: 18/08 2025 Mercury 85 Storm 82
- WNBA: 08/06 2025 Storm 89 Mercury 77
- WNBA: 24/05 2025 Mercury 70 Storm 77
- WNBA: 18/05 2025 Storm 59 Mercury 81
- WNBA: 20/09 2024 Storm 89 Mercury 70
- WNBA: 08/09 2024 Mercury 66 Storm 90
- WNBA: 16/06 2024 Storm 78 Mercury 87
- WNBA: 05/06 2024 Mercury 62 Storm 80
- WNBA: 14/08 2023 Mercury 71 Storm 81
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Seattle Storm Stats
Phoenix Mercury Stats
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- -7.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games
- -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 161.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 160.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 160.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.00 pts and allowed 85.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.60 pts and allowed 88.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 163.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 181.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 160.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 160.5 at Home: Covered in the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.80 pts and allowed 86.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.80 pts and allowed 94.20 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
12 | 3 | 1396 | 1195 | 201 | 6-2 | 6-1 | 2W |
2
Aces
|
11 | 4 | 1349 | 1298 | 51 | 3-2 | 8-2 | 1W |
3
Liberty
|
11 | 4 | 1334 | 1235 | 99 | 6-3 | 5-1 | 8W |
4
Dream
|
10 | 4 | 1240 | 1150 | 90 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 2W |
5
Valkyries
|
10 | 5 | 1276 | 1176 | 100 | 7-2 | 3-3 | 4W |
6
Wings
|
9 | 6 | 1314 | 1241 | 73 | 5-2 | 4-4 | 1L |
7
Fever
|
9 | 6 | 1383 | 1322 | 61 | 6-3 | 3-3 | 1L |
8
Fire
|
8 | 9 | 1398 | 1497 | -99 | 6-5 | 2-4 | 1W |
9
Sparks
|
7 | 8 | 1316 | 1364 | -48 | 2-6 | 5-2 | 2L |
10
Tempo
|
7 | 8 | 1332 | 1369 | -37 | 4-3 | 3-5 | 3L |
11
Mystics
|
6 | 7 | 1065 | 1121 | -56 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1W |
12
Sky
|
4 | 10 | 1163 | 1237 | -74 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4L |
13
Mercury
|
4 | 12 | 1309 | 1388 | -79 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 4L |
14
Storm
|
3 | 13 | 1235 | 1341 | -106 | 2-6 | 1-7 | 9L |
15
Sun
|
2 | 14 | 1249 | 1425 | -176 | 1-6 | 1-8 | 6L |
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