Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 02 Jul 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury
The Seattle Storm face the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, July 2.
There could be plenty of baskets when the Storm clash with the Mercury, with our prediction being Over 168.5 points in total. Odds of -104 look worth taking for this outcome.
Seattle Storm won their previous game, beating Atlanta Dream at home. It was a 105-90 win at Climate Pledge Arena.
Phoenix Mercury got the win in their last game. A 89-80 triumph occurred on the road at Coca-Cola Coliseum when meeting Toronto Tempo.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last matchup between the Mercury and the Storm saw the former win. It was a 93-73 scoreline. It’s been three victories on the bounce for the Mercury when playing the Storm. On the head-to-head front, they have won 5 of the past 10.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12
Mercury
|
7 | 13 | 1679 | 1736 | -57 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 2W |
14
Storm
|
5 | 15 | 1622 | 1724 | -102 | 4-7 | 1-8 | 2W |
Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks
Our Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.
Game Prediction
These teams are capable of scoring more than 168.5 points in this WNBA contest. Therefore, we’re going Over the total line and expect a payout at -104.
Incoming team news often impacts the betting lines and odds in significant ways. Our handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each basketball prediction.
Key Storm vs Mercury stats:
Over 168.5 Probability
According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 51% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This WNBA bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
There’s a chance to secure bigger odds when you bet on the Totals. The top sportsbooks allow you to move the line for an Over pick until you’re happy with the potential return.
Make your bet go further. Browse our updated guide packed with the best free bets, sign-up offers and betting bonuses.
Player Prop Picks
Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) can be wagered to record Over 4.5 assists at -109. We can back her when it comes to a Player Assists bet and hope that Overs comes in.
Latest Natisha Hiedeman Player Prop Odds
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be wagered to record Over 14.5 points at -128. We are happy to back Overs when it comes to her Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.
Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Over 168.5, Mercury -3.5 on the spread and Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) to get Over 4.5 assists.
The same game parlay option is great for basketball bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
83
-
89
Mercury
We’re going for the Mercury to win by a 89-83 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.
Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Phoenix Mercury are regarded as having a 63% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -172. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +140 about Seattle Storm.
The current spread is 3.5 and total points is 168.5. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 168.5 at -104.
Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on women's hoops, the top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many alternatives.
Kahleah Copper is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -123 that she gets Over 18.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -104.
- WNBA: 20/06 2026 Storm 73 Mercury 93
- WNBA: 04/06 2026 Mercury 72 Storm 68
- WNBA: 18/08 2025 Mercury 85 Storm 82
- WNBA: 08/06 2025 Storm 89 Mercury 77
- WNBA: 24/05 2025 Mercury 70 Storm 77
- WNBA: 18/05 2025 Storm 59 Mercury 81
- WNBA: 20/09 2024 Storm 89 Mercury 70
- WNBA: 08/09 2024 Mercury 66 Storm 90
- WNBA: 16/06 2024 Storm 78 Mercury 87
- WNBA: 05/06 2024 Mercury 62 Storm 80
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Seattle Storm Stats
Phoenix Mercury Stats
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 176.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 164.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 168.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 168.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.80 pts and allowed 90.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.20 pts and allowed 87.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 170.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 180.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 168.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 168.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.90 pts and allowed 85.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.50 pts and allowed 93.40 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
15 | 4 | 1719 | 1507 | 212 | 6-3 | 9-1 | 2W |
2
Aces
|
14 | 5 | 1723 | 1641 | 82 | 5-3 | 9-2 | 2W |
3
Valkyries
|
13 | 7 | 1655 | 1557 | 98 | 10-3 | 3-4 | 3W |
4
Dream
|
12 | 7 | 1678 | 1593 | 85 | 6-2 | 6-5 | 3L |
5
Liberty
|
12 | 8 | 1756 | 1670 | 86 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 2L |
6
Wings
|
11 | 8 | 1680 | 1627 | 53 | 6-3 | 5-5 | 2L |
7
Fever
|
11 | 8 | 1785 | 1710 | 75 | 8-4 | 3-4 | 1W |
8
Mystics
|
9 | 9 | 1492 | 1552 | -60 | 3-4 | 6-5 | 1W |
9
Tempo
|
9 | 10 | 1725 | 1746 | -21 | 5-4 | 4-6 | 1L |
10
Sparks
|
8 | 10 | 1598 | 1697 | -99 | 3-6 | 5-4 | 2L |
11
Fire
|
8 | 12 | 1693 | 1846 | -153 | 6-5 | 2-7 | 3L |
|
12
Mercury
|
7 | 13 | 1679 | 1736 | -57 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 2W |
13
Sky
|
6 | 13 | 1642 | 1701 | -59 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1L |
|
14
Storm
|
5 | 15 | 1622 | 1724 | -102 | 4-7 | 1-8 | 2W |
15
Sun
|
4 | 15 | 1506 | 1646 | -140 | 3-7 | 1-8 | 2W |
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