South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 04 Oct 2026

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks Predictions

Best Bet

Illawarra +2.5 @ -114

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Our best wager is Illawarra against the spread. The +2.5 line at -114 look generous and we’re happy to back the underdogs with this advantage against South East Melbourne.

Our experts have identified their Best Bet for South East Melbourne vs Illawarra, along with a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Scroll down for the full breakdown and reasoning behind each pick.

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks Preview

South East Melbourne Phoenix host Illawarra Hawks, with tip-off set for 00:00 on Sunday 4 October.

South East Melbourne Phoenix were beaten last game and this was on the road. Perth Wildcats claimed a 92-88 win.

Illawarra Hawks previous game saw them claim a 114-92 home win over Adelaide 36ers.

H2H: Phoenix Claimed Overtime Win in Last H2H

South East Melbourne beat Illawarra in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 124-113 (OT) scoreline. The H2H over the past 10 games have seen five wins for both teams.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
7  SEM Phoenix	1	3	340	353	-13	0-1	1-2	3L
8  Illawarra Hawks	1	3	390	411	-21	1-0	0-3	1W

View Full Standings

Best Bet

Let’s back Illawarra in this NBL game. They have been given a generous +2.5 on the spread. We think -114 can be taken with confidence that the underdogs cover the line.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by SEM Phoenix in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by SEM Phoenix in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by SEM Phoenix in 3 consecutive games.

The NBL experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Hawks +2.5 Probability

According to the best basketball betting sites, our pick has a 53.2% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

A Bet Builder provides you with the chance to combine Illawarra against the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.

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Illawarra +2.5 @ -114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 3, 05:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

SEM Phoenix 96 - 100 Illawarra Hawks

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score pick being a 100-96 win for Illawarra Hawks. There are huge odds available when it comes to this selection.

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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The South East Melbourne Phoenix odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -147 betting favorites to land victory in this NBL game which means a 60% chance of winning. Illawarra Hawks are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +118.

2.5 is the spread and 191.5 is the total points line. A wager on the Totals allows bettors to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you’re going for Over 191.5, then the odds are -111.

If you’re wagering on the NBL, we recommend heading to one of our recommended betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of game lines and team props. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

SEM Phoenix

-147

Illawarra

+118

Point Spread

SEM Phoenix -2.5

-111

Illawarra +2.5

-114

Total Points

Under 191.5

-112

Over 191.5

-111

If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for NBL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

SEM Phoenix Stats

Illawarra Hawks Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 190.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 204.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 191.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 191.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 95.60 pts and allowed 95.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 105.00 pts and allowed 99.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 198.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 194.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 191.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 191.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 98.10 pts and allowed 100.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 97.90 pts and allowed 96.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

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NBL Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Perth Wildcats	3	1	366	378	-12	3-1	0-0	3W
2  Sydney Kings	3	0	325	268	57	3-0	0-0	3W
3  NZ Breakers	2	2	371	341	30	2-0	0-2	1W
4  Adelaide 36ers	2	2	369	376	-7	1-0	1-2	1L
5  JackJumpers	2	1	267	266	1	2-0	0-1	1W
6  Brisbane Bullets	2	1	269	273	-4	2-0	0-1	1L
7  SEM Phoenix	1	3	340	353	-13	0-1	1-2	3L
8  Illawarra Hawks	1	3	390	411	-21	1-0	0-3	1W
9  Cairns Taipans	1	3	327	379	-52	1-0	0-3	2L
10  Melbourne United	1	2	263	242	21	0-1	1-1	1L

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