South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Melbourne United Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 10 Oct 2026

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Melbourne United Predictions

Best Bet

SEM Phoenix +3.5 @ -106

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

With South East Melbourne being given a line of +3.5 to overcome, our prediction is that they can cover this against Melbourne. There’s the chance to get -106 for this outcome.

Our South East Melbourne vs Melbourne betting guide brings together our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Lock in the full card in the dedicated sections below.

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Melbourne United Preview

South East Melbourne Phoenix host Melbourne United, with tip-off set for 04:30 on Saturday 10 October.

South East Melbourne Phoenix won their last game 113-96. This was a home triumph against Illawarra Hawks.

Melbourne United won their previous game 96-91. This was a road victory against Adelaide 36ers.

H2H: United Have Won 7 of Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Melbourne have won both of the most recent encounters against South East Melbourne. At home, they triumphed 95-91 before a 86-61 win on the road. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen seven Melbourne wins.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
5  Melbourne United	2	3	454	440	14	0-2	2-1	1W
6  SEM Phoenix	2	3	453	449	4	1-1	1-2	1W

View Full Standings

Best Bet

If you agree that South East Melbourne can go fairly close in this NBL contest, then bet the underdogs against the spread here. The +3.5 makes lots of appeal at -106.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by SEM Phoenix in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by SEM Phoenix in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Melbourne in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Melbourne in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our NBL experts have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the action.

Phoenix +3.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of landing a return. Based on our analysts research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this basketball bet.

If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is always the alternative to move the line. Consider the odds and whether each line can be covered.

Start your betting journey with value. Our guide features the best free bets and sign-up bonuses available today.

SEM Phoenix +3.5 @ -106 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 9, 09:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

SEM Phoenix 93 - 90 Melbourne United

We’ll roll the dice and go for SEM Phoenix to register a 93-90 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Melbourne United Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 64% chance of securing victory, Melbourne United are favorites for this NBL game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -179. South East Melbourne Phoenix are the underdogs at +143 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is 3.5 and the total points line is currently 187.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to bet Under 187.5, there are odds of -110.

Consider every angle when placing your NBL bets. The top basketball betting sites offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.

Moneyline

SEM Phoenix

+143

Melbourne

-179

Point Spread

SEM Phoenix +3.5

-106

Melbourne -3.5

-119

Total Points

Under 187.5

-110

Over 187.5

-112

There is regularly betting value to be found from wagering on the player props with the best online gambling sites. You can find lots of ways to back for or against a specific player lining up for one of the two teams.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on the NBL and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

SEM Phoenix Stats

Melbourne United Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 189.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 206.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 187.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 187.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 94.90 pts and allowed 94.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 105.60 pts and allowed 101.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 176.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 171.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 187.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 187.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.80 pts and allowed 87.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 86.00 pts and allowed 85.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Enjoy NBL live streaming on your mobile, laptop or tablet. It’s great to watch the latest games through your online sportsbook account, with customers able to access high definition streams.

Fans love the opportunity to watch thousands of sporting events per year with the best betting apps.

SEM Phoenix vs Melbourne United Live Stream Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

NBL Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  JackJumpers	4	1	498	477	21	2-0	2-1	3W
2  Cairns Taipans	3	3	531	565	-34	2-0	1-3	2W
3  NZ Breakers	3	2	462	413	49	2-0	1-2	2W
4  Adelaide 36ers	2	4	532	563	-31	1-2	1-2	3L
5  Melbourne United	2	3	454	440	14	0-2	2-1	1W
6  SEM Phoenix	2	3	453	449	4	1-1	1-2	1W
7  Perth Wildcats	3	1	366	378	-12	3-1	0-0	3W
8  Brisbane Bullets	2	3	459	479	-20	2-1	0-2	3L
9  Illawarra Hawks	1	5	598	646	-48	1-1	0-4	2L
10  Sydney Kings	3	0	325	268	57	3-0	0-0	3W

Where to Bet on Basketball Games

Top Basketball Pages