Southern Miss vs Troy Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Southern Miss vs Troy

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles square off against the Troy Trojans, with tip-off scheduled for 17:00 on Sunday, March 8.

Southern Miss look very easy to back at -110 considering they’ve been given a spread of +3.5. This looks a great number when squaring off against Troy.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Appalachian State Mountaineers were beaten 86-73.

Troy Trojans were winners last time out. It was a 80-65 home victory against Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Southern Miss had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. They recorded a 69-65 win over Troy. In the past 9 H2H meetings, Southern Miss have won five.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Troy	22-11	2649	2412	237	12-4	10-7	4W
Southern Miss	19-16	2615	2585	30	13-3	6-13	1L

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Southern Miss vs Troy Prediction & Picks

Prepare for Southern Miss vs Troy with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, a correct score recommendation and a well-crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

We are happy to get with Southern Miss against the spread in this college contest. -110 is available that the underdogs are able to cover +3.5 and that looks very reasonable.

We only publish our basketball picks once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every college hoops prediction we make.

Key Southern Miss vs Troy stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Southern Miss in 4 consecutive games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Southern Miss in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Southern Miss in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Troy in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Troy in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Troy in 5 of their last 9 games against Southern Miss.

Southern Miss +3.5 Probability

The best betting sites suggest there’s a 52.4% chance of our pick delivering a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Game Prediction

Southern Miss +3.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Southern Miss 75 - 74 Troy

Southern Miss are available at massive odds to register a 75-74 victory and they might have the edge. This should be a close game and there won’t be much between the teams.

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Southern Miss vs Troy Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Troy odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -256 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 72% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Southern Miss, you will find +205 about the underdogs.

There is a spread of 5.5 and total points has a line of 142.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you're keen on Over 142.5, this selection is available at -115.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball matchups, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Southern Miss

+205

Troy

-256

Point Spread

Southern Miss +5.5

-105

Troy -5.5

-115

Total Points

Under 142.5

-105

Over 142.5

-115

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Southern Miss Stats

Troy Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 149.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 143.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.10 pts and allowed 75.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 73.10 pts and allowed 76.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 135.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 142.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 143.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 67.70 pts and allowed 67.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 76.40 pts and allowed 66.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Troy	22-11	2649	2412	237	12-4	10-7	4W
South Alabama	21-11	2387	2234	153	12-5	9-6	2L
Arkansas State	20-12	2655	2471	184	11-5	9-7	1L
Appalachian State	19-13	2305	2114	191	12-5	7-8	2L
Marshall	19-13	2596	2497	99	13-5	6-8	2L
Texas State	19-13	2365	2271	94	16-3	3-10	1L
Coastal Carolina	19-13	2346	2323	23	8-6	11-7	1L
Georgia Southern	21-16	2994	2949	45	10-6	11-10	1L
James Madison	18-15	2460	2437	23	13-4	5-11	1L
Southern Miss	19-16	2615	2585	30	13-3	6-13	1L
Old Dominion	12-21	2514	2570	-56	8-6	4-15	1L
Louisiana	11-22	2101	2332	-231	8-8	3-14	1L
Georgia State	10-22	2253	2391	-138	7-8	3-14	4L
UL Monroe	4-28	2318	2685	-367	3-12	1-16	8L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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