Tennessee vs Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Tennessee vs Florida

The Tennessee Volunteers battle the Florida Gators, with tip-off scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, January 10.

We expect Florida to cover the -4.5 line on the spread. This is a really good number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -105 to overcome Tennessee.

Tennessee Volunteers previous game saw them claim a 85-71 home win over Texas Longhorns.

Florida Gators won their last game, beating Georgia Bulldogs at home. It was a 92-77 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 86-77 in favor of Florida when they last played Tennessee. Tennessee have triumphed in six of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	26-7	2864	2376	488	18-3	8-4	1L
Tennessee	22-11	2622	2289	333	16-5	6-6	1L

View Full Standings

Tennessee vs Florida Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our Tennessee vs Florida betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, key player prop picks and an expert-crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

It’s time to go for Florida against the spread, especially with an attractive -4.5 line at -105. Our pick is that the favorites can achieve a comfortable win in this college contest.

The college hoops handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball picks.

Key Tennessee vs Florida stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by Florida in 6 consecutive games at home.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Florida in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Florida in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Tennessee in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Florida -4.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 51.3% chance of winning. However, our analysts research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

A Bet Builder provides you with the chance to combine Florida against the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.

Before placing your bets, explore the latest betting offers. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of welcome bonuses to choose from.

Our Game Prediction

Florida -4.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 9, 16:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Xaivian Lee Under 3.5 Assists -161

Xaivian Lee (Florida) can be wagered to register Under 3.5 assists at -161. He’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Assists line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Xaivian Lee Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-118

Under 11.5

-110

Assists

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-161

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-115

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Boogie Fland Over 10.5 Points -135

Boogie Fland (Florida) can be wagered to score Over 10.5 points at -135. We are going to choose a Player Points prop bet which will hopefully see him cover the line.

Latest Boogie Fland Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-135

Under 10.5

-100

Assists

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-141

Rebounds

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+140

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Tennessee 69 - 78 Florida

There’s the chance to land huge betting odds when it comes to the Gators winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 78-69 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tennessee vs Florida Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 69% probability of winning this college game, Florida might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -222 Moneyline betting odds. At +180, Tennessee are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is currently 4.5, with the total points line at 151.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re going for Under 151.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

College hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Tennessee

+180

Florida

-222

Point Spread

Tennessee +4.5

-106

Florida -4.5

-114

Total Points

Under 151.5

-110

Over 151.5

-110

Ja'Kobi Gillespie is the favorite to score most points. He is priced at -100 to score Over 18.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -130.

Ja'Kobi Gillespie (Tennessee)

Over 18.5

-100

Under 18.5

-130

Thomas Haugh (Florida)

Over 17.5

-118

Under 17.5

-110

Nate Ament (Tennessee)

Over 13.5

-100

Under 13.5

-130

Xaivian Lee (Florida)

Over 11.5

-118

Under 11.5

-110

Boogie Fland (Florida)

Over 10.5

-135

Under 10.5

-100

Rueben Chinyelu (Florida)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-110

Ja'Kobi Gillespie (Tennessee)

Over 5.5

+125

Under 5.5

-161

Xaivian Lee (Florida)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-161

Boogie Fland (Florida)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-141

Thomas Haugh (Florida)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-154

Nate Ament (Tennessee)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-189

Rueben Chinyelu (Florida)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-135

Thomas Haugh (Florida)

Over 7.5

-103

Under 7.5

-125

Nate Ament (Tennessee)

Over 5.5

-116

Under 5.5

-111

Xaivian Lee (Florida)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-115

Ja'Kobi Gillespie (Tennessee)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+130

Boogie Fland (Florida)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+140

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tennessee Stats

Florida Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 141.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 153.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.10 pts and allowed 67.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 69.00 pts and allowed 72.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 155.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 153.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.10 pts and allowed 72.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.80 pts and allowed 69.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	26-7	2864	2376	488	18-3	8-4	1L
Arkansas	26-8	3058	2723	335	20-3	6-5	5W
Vanderbilt	26-8	2936	2557	379	15-3	11-5	1L
Alabama	23-9	2935	2671	264	15-6	8-3	1L
Georgia	22-10	2874	2533	341	15-6	7-4	1L
Tennessee	22-11	2622	2289	333	16-5	6-6	1L
Texas A&M	21-11	2807	2546	261	14-5	7-6	1L
Missouri	20-12	2549	2411	138	15-4	5-8	3L
Kentucky	21-13	2746	2510	236	16-6	5-7	1L
Texas	18-14	2681	2458	223	13-7	5-7	3L
Oklahoma	19-15	2813	2621	192	13-5	6-10	1L
Auburn	17-16	2730	2620	110	14-6	3-10	1L
LSU	15-17	2606	2512	94	10-9	5-8	4L
Ole Miss	15-20	2656	2664	-8	9-9	6-11	1L
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L
South Carolina	13-19	2398	2447	-49	11-8	2-11	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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