Texas A&M-Commerce vs UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Texas A&M-Commerce vs UT Rio Grande Valley

The Texas A&M-Commerce Lions go up against the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, with tip-off scheduled for 17:30 on Saturday, February 28.

Under 146.5 points could be on the money for this Texas A&M-Commerce vs UTRGV game. Our prediction is based on a low-scoring contest and the odds of -108 looks like a value bet.

Texas A&M-Commerce Lions were beaten 69-68 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Houston Christian Huskies.

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros lost on the road in their last game. McNeese State Cowboys won 75-68.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 77-69 in favor of Texas A&M-Commerce when they last played UTRGV. In the past 3 games between the teams, UTRGV have won two.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UTRGV	19-14	2505	2293	212	11-5	8-9	1L
Texas A&M-Commerce	11-21	2246	2385	-139	6-8	5-13	4L

View Full Standings

Texas A&M-Commerce vs UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction & Picks

Make the most of Texas A&M-Commerce vs UT Rio Grande Valley with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

The -108 about Under 146.5 points makes lots of appeal. We’re not sure that the teams can combine to reach that number for this college matchup.

Our team of college basketball handicappers track current injuries closely. Combined with recent form, this helps us identify the best value odds. A data-led approach backed by key stats and the latest team news keeps our analysis sharp.

Key Texas A&M-Commerce vs UT Rio Grande Valley stats:

• The 146.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 A&M-Commerce games on the road.
• The 146.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 A&M-Commerce games.
• The 146.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 A&M-Commerce games.
• The 146.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 UTRGV games at home.
• The 146.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 UTRGV games.
• The 146.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 UTRGV games.
• The 146.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 146.5 Probability

The best betting sites suggest there’s a 51.8% chance of our pick delivering a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you’re wanting to wager Under on the Totals, then you can aim for bigger odds. In order to do this, you simply move the line to where you feel a winning return can still be found.

Before placing your next bet, explore our complete guide to the best betting offers, promotions and welcome bonuses today.

Our Game Prediction

Under 146.5 Points @ -108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 28, 01:04). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Texas A&M-Commerce 62 - 77 UTRGV

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Vaqueros to record a 77-62 victory. There’s a huge return if we get this right.

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Texas A&M-Commerce vs UT Rio Grande Valley Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -769 with the sportsbooks, UT Rio Grande Valley are regarded as 88% likely to win this college game. The market suggests that Texas A&M-Commerce are least likely to win at +490.

The spread is currently 10.5, with the total points line at 146.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. Those expecting a low total can back Under 146.5 at -114.

Consider every angle when placing your college hoops bets. The top basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props, and it’s all about finding a wager that fits your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

A&M-Commerce

+490

UTRGV

-769

Point Spread

A&M-Commerce +10.5

-115

UTRGV -10.5

-105

Total Points

Under 146.5

-114

Over 146.5

-106

If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Texas A&M-Commerce Stats

UT Rio Grande Valley Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 151.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 146.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 67.50 pts and allowed 73.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 69.90 pts and allowed 81.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 140.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 146.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.00 pts and allowed 68.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 73.40 pts and allowed 66.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southland	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
McNeese	29-5	2711	2247	464	18-0	11-5	11W
Stephen F. Austin	28-5	2520	2176	344	16-2	12-3	1L
UTRGV	19-14	2505	2293	212	11-5	8-9	1L
Texas A&M-CC	18-16	2447	2304	143	11-5	7-11	1L
New Orleans	15-18	2459	2563	-104	6-6	9-12	1L
Nicholls State	14-19	2388	2471	-83	7-6	7-13	1L
Lamar	12-19	2167	2143	24	7-9	5-10	8L
Incarnate Word	12-19	2302	2285	17	10-7	2-12	1L
Houston Christian	12-20	2147	2309	-162	9-5	3-15	1L
Texas A&M-Commerce	11-21	2246	2385	-139	6-8	5-13	4L
Northwestern State	10-22	2185	2317	-132	8-6	2-16	3L
SE Louisiana	9-22	2016	2184	-168	5-7	4-15	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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