Texas vs Purdue Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Mar 2026
NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Betting Preview: Texas vs Purdue
The No. 11 Texas Longhorns look to continue their surprising tournament run as they take on the No. 2 Purdue Boilermakers in this NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 West Region matchup at the SAP Center in San Jose, with tip-off scheduled for 18:10 on Thursday, March 26.
We recommend laying the 7.5 points with Purdue in their matchup against Texas. We’re locked in on this number at -105 and expect the Boilermakers to show their class and handle the spread comfortably.
After a dismal 1–5 finish to the regular season, Texas (21-14, 10th in SEC) have completely flipped the script. The Longhorns March makeover began with a First Four survival over NC State and has since evolved into a giant-killing spree, following back-to-back upsets over No. 6 BYU and No. 3 Gonzaga.
Purdue (29-8, 6th in Big Ten) is coming off a historic postseason surge, highlighted by its 2026 Big Ten Tournament title.
After entering the NCAA Tournament as a No. 2 seed, the Boilermakers punched their ticket to the Sweet 16 by routining Queens 104-71 in the opening round and outlasting Miami 79-69 in the Second Round.
Head-to-Head Statistics
While Purdue took the most recent meeting with an 81–71 victory, Texas haven't been intimidated by the Boilermakers lately. In fact, the Longhorns have claimed two of the last three matchups between these programs.
| NCAAB Regular Season | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Purdue
|
27-8 | 2858 | 2455 | 403 | 16-5 | 11-3 | 4W |
Texas
|
18-14 | 2681 | 2458 | 223 | 13-7 | 5-7 | 3L |
Texas vs Purdue Prediction & Picks
Explore our top Texas vs Purdue betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a same game parlay ready to use.
Game Prediction
Lay the 7.5 points with the favorites in this high-stakes NCAA Tournament showdown. We’re confident in this play and are backing Purdue at -105 to handle the spread and secure a convincing win.
Our expert basketball picks always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable college hoops stats to uncover the insights that matter most.
Key Texas vs Purdue stats:
Purdue -7.5 Probability
The best betting apps make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many to sell until you are happy with the juice available.
Looking for the best betting promos? Our expert guide includes a wide range of welcome bonuses just for you.
Player Prop Picks
Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue) is available at -125 to rack up Over 18.5 points. It makes sense to bet on him to cover the line when it comes to this Player Points wager.
Latest Trey Kaufman-Renn Player Prop Odds
Dailyn Swain (Texas) can be backed to have Over 4.5 assists at +109. We’re tempted to back him to cover the Player Assists line, with plenty of juice on offer.
Latest Dailyn Swain Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Purdue -7.5 on the spread, Over 147.5 and Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue) to score Over 18.5 points.
A same game parlay allows bettors to place a multiple wager on the same basketball game. You can go through the available betting lines and select the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each pick are then combined together.
Correct Score Prediction
70
-
82
Purdue
Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where the Boilermakers can be backed speculatively to achieve a 82-70 victory.
Texas vs Purdue Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Oddsmakers have Purdue as the clear favorites to come out on top in this Sweet 16 matchup and the -400 about the Boilermakers winning means a 80% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Texas Longhorns, you will find +310 about the underdogs.
The current spread is 7.5 and the total points line is 147.5. The Totals offers basketball fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Over 147.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.
The good news is that you’ll find a strong selection of game lines and team props for most college contests. The best basketball betting sites provide a wide range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.
The favorite to hit the most buckets is Trey Kaufman-Renn. Odds of -130 can be found for him scoring Over 18.5 points and there is -100 for him to go Under.
Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Texas Stats
Purdue Stats
- Game Totals: An average of 157.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Over 147.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.20 pts and allowed 80.40 pts in the last 10 games
NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season
| Big Ten | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan
|
31-3 | 2952 | 2353 | 599 | 19-2 | 12-1 | 1L |
Nebraska
|
26-6 | 2473 | 2119 | 354 | 19-3 | 7-3 | 1L |
Michigan State
|
25-7 | 2526 | 2189 | 337 | 17-3 | 8-4 | 2L |
|
Purdue
|
27-8 | 2858 | 2455 | 403 | 16-5 | 11-3 | 4W |
Illinois
|
24-8 | 2700 | 2234 | 466 | 15-6 | 9-2 | 1L |
Wisconsin
|
24-10 | 2822 | 2581 | 241 | 16-2 | 8-8 | 1L |
UCLA
|
23-11 | 2643 | 2414 | 229 | 18-3 | 5-8 | 1L |
Ohio State
|
21-12 | 2633 | 2402 | 231 | 15-5 | 6-7 | 1L |
Iowa
|
21-12 | 2482 | 2177 | 305 | 17-3 | 4-9 | 1L |
Indiana
|
18-14 | 2501 | 2309 | 192 | 15-6 | 3-8 | 2L |
USC
|
18-14 | 2515 | 2494 | 21 | 11-7 | 7-7 | 8L |
Washington
|
16-17 | 2545 | 2430 | 115 | 11-6 | 5-11 | 1L |
Minnesota
|
15-17 | 2241 | 2193 | 48 | 13-8 | 2-9 | 1L |
Northwestern
|
15-19 | 2487 | 2447 | 40 | 11-9 | 4-10 | 1L |
Rutgers
|
14-19 | 2329 | 2479 | -150 | 11-7 | 3-12 | 1L |
Oregon
|
12-20 | 2267 | 2366 | -99 | 10-10 | 2-10 | 1L |
Penn State
|
12-20 | 2358 | 2539 | -181 | 10-10 | 2-10 | 3L |
Maryland
|
12-21 | 2300 | 2527 | -227 | 9-8 | 3-13 | 1L |
| Southeastern | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida
|
26-7 | 2864 | 2376 | 488 | 18-3 | 8-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
26-8 | 3058 | 2723 | 335 | 20-3 | 6-5 | 5W |
Vanderbilt
|
26-8 | 2936 | 2557 | 379 | 15-3 | 11-5 | 1L |
Alabama
|
23-9 | 2935 | 2671 | 264 | 15-6 | 8-3 | 1L |
Georgia
|
22-10 | 2874 | 2533 | 341 | 15-6 | 7-4 | 1L |
Tennessee
|
22-11 | 2622 | 2289 | 333 | 16-5 | 6-6 | 1L |
Texas A&M
|
21-11 | 2807 | 2546 | 261 | 14-5 | 7-6 | 1L |
Missouri
|
20-12 | 2549 | 2411 | 138 | 15-4 | 5-8 | 3L |
Kentucky
|
21-13 | 2746 | 2510 | 236 | 16-6 | 5-7 | 1L |
|
Texas
|
18-14 | 2681 | 2458 | 223 | 13-7 | 5-7 | 3L |
Oklahoma
|
19-15 | 2813 | 2621 | 192 | 13-5 | 6-10 | 1L |
Auburn
|
17-16 | 2730 | 2620 | 110 | 14-6 | 3-10 | 1L |
LSU
|
15-17 | 2606 | 2512 | 94 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 4L |
Ole Miss
|
15-20 | 2656 | 2664 | -8 | 9-9 | 6-11 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
13-19 | 2484 | 2618 | -134 | 9-10 | 4-9 | 6L |
South Carolina
|
13-19 | 2398 | 2447 | -49 | 11-8 | 2-11 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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