Texas vs Purdue Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Mar 2026

NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Betting Preview: Texas vs Purdue

The No. 11 Texas Longhorns look to continue their surprising tournament run as they take on the No. 2 Purdue Boilermakers in this NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 West Region matchup at the SAP Center in San Jose, with tip-off scheduled for 18:10 on Thursday, March 26.

We recommend laying the 7.5 points with Purdue in their matchup against Texas. We’re locked in on this number at -105 and expect the Boilermakers to show their class and handle the spread comfortably.

After a dismal 1–5 finish to the regular season, Texas (21-14, 10th in SEC) have completely flipped the script. The Longhorns March makeover began with a First Four survival over NC State and has since evolved into a giant-killing spree, following back-to-back upsets over No. 6 BYU and No. 3 Gonzaga.

Purdue (29-8, 6th in Big Ten) is coming off a historic postseason surge, highlighted by its 2026 Big Ten Tournament title.

After entering the NCAA Tournament as a No. 2 seed, the Boilermakers punched their ticket to the Sweet 16 by routining Queens 104-71 in the opening round and outlasting Miami 79-69 in the Second Round.

Head-to-Head Statistics

While Purdue took the most recent meeting with an 81–71 victory, Texas haven't been intimidated by the Boilermakers lately. In fact, the Longhorns have claimed two of the last three matchups between these programs.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Purdue	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Texas	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

View Full Standings

Texas vs Purdue Prediction & Picks

Explore our top Texas vs Purdue betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a same game parlay ready to use.

Game Prediction

Lay the 7.5 points with the favorites in this high-stakes NCAA Tournament showdown. We’re confident in this play and are backing Purdue at -105 to handle the spread and secure a convincing win.

Our expert basketball picks always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable college hoops stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Key Texas vs Purdue stats:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by Purdue in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Purdue in 3 consecutive games.

Purdue -7.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many to sell until you are happy with the juice available.

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Our Game Prediction

Purdue -7.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 25, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Trey Kaufman-Renn Over 18.5 Points -125

Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue) is available at -125 to rack up Over 18.5 points. It makes sense to bet on him to cover the line when it comes to this Player Points wager.

Latest Trey Kaufman-Renn Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-130

Under 18.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 9.5

+109

Under 9.5

-141

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Dailyn Swain Over 4.5 Assists +109

Dailyn Swain (Texas) can be backed to have Over 4.5 assists at +109. We’re tempted to back him to cover the Player Assists line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Dailyn Swain Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-103

Under 16.5

-125

Assists

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-145

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-130

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Texas 70 - 82 Purdue

Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where the Boilermakers can be backed speculatively to achieve a 82-70 victory.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Texas vs Purdue Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Oddsmakers have Purdue as the clear favorites to come out on top in this Sweet 16 matchup and the -400 about the Boilermakers winning means a 80% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Texas Longhorns, you will find +310 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 7.5 and the total points line is 147.5. The Totals offers basketball fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Over 147.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.

The good news is that you’ll find a strong selection of game lines and team props for most college contests. The best basketball betting sites provide a wide range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Texas

+310

Purdue

-400

Point Spread

Texas +7.5

-102

Purdue -7.5

-120

Total Points

Under 147.5

-112

Over 147.5

-108

The favorite to hit the most buckets is Trey Kaufman-Renn. Odds of -130 can be found for him scoring Over 18.5 points and there is -100 for him to go Under.

Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue)

Over 18.5

-130

Under 18.5

-100

Braden Smith (Purdue)

Over 17.5

-103

Under 17.5

-125

Dailyn Swain (Texas)

Over 16.5

-103

Under 16.5

-125

Tramon Mark (Texas)

Over 15.5

-120

Under 15.5

-108

Matas Vokietaitis (Texas)

Over 15.5

-108

Under 15.5

-120

Fletcher Loyer (Purdue)

Over 14.5

+105

Under 14.5

-135

Jordan Pope (Texas)

Over 13.5

-105

Under 13.5

-123

Oscar Cluff (Purdue)

Over 10.5

-125

Under 10.5

-103

C.J. Cox (Purdue)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Braden Smith (Purdue)

Over 9.5

+109

Under 9.5

-141

Dailyn Swain (Texas)

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-145

Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue)

Over 9.5

+109

Under 9.5

-141

Oscar Cluff (Purdue)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Dailyn Swain (Texas)

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-130

Matas Vokietaitis (Texas)

Over 7.5

-116

Under 7.5

-111

Tramon Mark (Texas)

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-145

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Texas Stats

Purdue Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 147.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.20 pts and allowed 80.40 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 147.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 72.50 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Illinois	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Indiana	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Iowa	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Maryland	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Michigan State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Michigan	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Minnesota	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Nebraska	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Northwestern	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Ohio State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Oregon	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Penn State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Purdue	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Rutgers	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
USC	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
UCLA	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Washington	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Wisconsin	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Alabama	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Arkansas	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Auburn	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Florida	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Georgia	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Kentucky	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
LSU	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Ole Miss	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Mississippi State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Missouri	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Oklahoma	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
South Carolina	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Tennessee	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Texas A&M	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Texas	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Vanderbilt	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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