Toledo vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Nov 2026

Toledo vs Michigan State Predictions

Best Bet

Toledo +25.5 @ -104

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Toledo look capable of avoiding a heavy defeat against Michigan State and we’re happy to bet them against the spread. The underdogs can comfortably cover +25.5 and this can be backed at -104.

Get our preferred Toledo vs Michigan State betting predictions, highlighting our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Pick. Dive into the sections below for a closer look at the card.

Toledo vs Michigan State Preview

The Toledo Rockets battle the Michigan State Spartans, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Thursday, November 5.

Toledo Rockets were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Arkansas State Red Wolves claimed a 71-70 win.

Michigan State Spartans won their last game which was at home. It was a 96-59 triumph against Quinnipiac Bobcats.

H2H: Michigan State Landed 92-69 Victory in Previous H2H

The scoreline was 92-69 in favor of Michigan State when they last played Toledo.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan State	1-0	96	59	37	1-0	0-0	1W
Toledo	0-1	70	71	-1	0-0	0-1	1L

View Full Standings

Best Bet

Toledo can avoid a big loss in this college contest, with bettors able to back them against the spread. The underdogs should be able to cover +25.5 which have been made available at -104.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +25.5 line has been covered by Toledo in 20 consecutive games.
• The -25.5 line hasn’t been covered by MSU in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -25.5 line hasn’t been covered by MSU in 18 of their last 20 games.

We track all injuries that could impact each team before making our basketball picks. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the college hoops action.

Toledo +25.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 51% chance of winning. However, our analysts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There are lots of ways to bet on Toledo and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.

Claim bonuses and free bets before placing a wager. Our in-depth guide shows you the best current betting offers.

Toledo +25.5 @ -104 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 5, 00:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Toledo 69 - 91 Michigan State

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Spartans on the correct score lines. For example, a 91-69 victory in their favor is available at massive odds.

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Toledo vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Some sportsbooks won’t be offering Moneyline wagering for this college game considering Toledo are massive underdogs. Many bettors like to consider the Spread as an alternative, with this suiting all types of bankroll.

There is a spread of 25.5 and total points has a line of 152.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. The Over 152.5 selection is available to back at -110.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college basketball matchup, head to the top betting apps and explore the wide range of team props and game lines. Look for the lines that offer the most value.

Moneyline

Toledo

-

MSU

-

Point Spread

Toledo +25.5

-104

MSU -25.5

-118

Total Points

Under 152.5

-110

Over 152.5

-110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toledo Stats

Michigan State Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +25.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +25.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -25.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -25.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 156.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 152.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.20 pts and allowed 73.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.50 pts and allowed 78.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 153.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 152.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 72.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.50 pts and allowed 70.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Illinois	1-0	120	45	75	1-0	0-0	1W
Nebraska	1-0	106	64	42	1-0	0-0	1W
Penn State	1-0	96	57	39	1-0	0-0	1W
Michigan State	1-0	96	59	37	1-0	0-0	1W
Minnesota	1-0	85	50	35	1-0	0-0	1W
Indiana	1-0	91	57	34	1-0	0-0	1W
USC	1-0	95	63	32	1-0	0-0	1W
Maryland	1-0	96	67	29	1-0	0-0	1W
Northwestern	1-0	86	60	26	1-0	0-0	1W
Iowa	1-0	76	54	22	1-0	0-0	1W
Oregon	1-0	87	69	18	1-0	0-0	1W
Michigan	1-0	84	68	16	1-0	0-0	1W
Washington	1-0	90	76	14	1-0	0-0	1W
UCLA	1-0	84	75	9	0-0	1-0	1W
Wisconsin	1-0	75	68	7	1-0	0-0	1W
Rutgers	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Purdue	0-1	72	78	-6	0-1	0-0	1L
Ohio State	0-1	83	94	-11	0-0	0-1	1L

Mid-American	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Akron	1-0	75	61	14	0-0	1-0	1W
UMass	1-0	71	60	11	0-0	1-0	1W
Miami (OH)	1-0	86	77	9	0-0	1-0	1W
Ohio	1-0	86	77	9	0-0	1-0	1W
Central Michigan	1-0	83	78	5	0-0	1-0	1W
Bowling Green	1-0	76	73	3	0-0	1-0	1W
Eastern Michigan	1-0	71	70	1	0-0	1-0	1W
Toledo	0-1	70	71	-1	0-0	0-1	1L
Kent State	0-1	75	85	-10	0-0	0-1	1L
Ball State	0-1	55	67	-12	0-0	0-1	1L
Western Michigan	0-1	49	61	-12	0-0	0-1	1L
Buffalo	0-1	65	92	-27	0-0	0-1	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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