UConn vs Duke Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Mar 2026
NCAA Tournament Elite Eight Betting Preview: UConn vs Duke
No. 2 UConn Huskies square off against No. 1 Duke Blue Devils in this NCAA Tournament Elite Eight East Region matchup at the Capital One Arena in Washington, DC, with tip-off scheduled for 17:05 on Sunday, March 29.
The Over stands out as a strong play with the total for UConn and Duke set at 133.5. Both teams have the offensive firepower to push well past that mark. We’re expecting a much higher score than the current line suggests and you can grab the Over at -115.
The UConn Huskies (32-5, 2nd in Big East) continue their pursuit of a third consecutive title following a 67-63 Sweet 16 victory over the Michigan State Spartans. The defending champions opened their tournament run with an 82-71 win against the Furman Paladins before securing a 73-57 Second Round victory over the UCLA Bruins.
The Duke Blue Devils (35-2, 1st in ACC) secured their spot in the Elite Eight after a hard-fought 80-75 Sweet 16 victory over the St. John's Red Storm. The Blue Devils opened their tournament run by fending off a resilient Siena squad 71-65, followed by a dominant 81-58 Second Round performance against the TCU Horned Frogs.
| NCAAB Regular Season | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
2-0 | 197 | 102 | 95 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
UConn
|
2-0 | 171 | 123 | 48 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
UConn vs Duke Prediction & Picks
Get ready for UConn vs Duke with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to player props and a custom same game parlay.
Game Prediction
We’re taking the Over 133.5 when these two teams face off. The current line feels too low and we’re expecting the total score to clear this mark with ease. You can currently get the Over at -115.
Injuries can influence the outcome and our college basketball handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.
Key UConn vs Duke stats:
Over 133.5 Probability
The top betting sites are estimating that there is a 53.5% likelihood of this pick winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you are wanting bigger odds for your Total bet, then it’s possible to move the line and get more juice. You can choose to wager Over when it comes to different levels.
Make your bet go further. Browse our updated guide packed with the best free bets, sign-up offers and betting bonuses.
Player Prop Picks
Tarris Reed Jr. (UConn) can be backed to total Over 9.5 rebounds at +103. The best bet could be to go for a Player Rebounds wager as we think he’ll cover the total.
Latest Tarris Reed Jr. Player Prop Odds
Cayden Boozer (Duke) is available at +110 to rack up Over 8.5 points. It makes sense to bet on him to cover the line when it comes to this Player Points wager.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Over 133.5, combined with Duke -5.5 on the spread and Tarris Reed Jr. (UConn) to get Over 9.5 rebounds.
The same game parlay option is awesome for bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same basketball game. It’s especially good if you have a strong opinion on the likely outcomes and the odds for each selection are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
65
-
74
Duke
If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. The Blue Devils to claim a 74-65 victory is on offer at huge betting odds.
UConn vs Duke Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this Elite Eight showdown, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline odds mean Duke are -233 favorites to win and that means a 70% chance of coming out on top. At +188, UConn are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
5.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 134.5 right now. The Totals offers basketball fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you're keen on Over 134.5, this selection is available at -110.
Whether you’re betting in-game or pre-game, the best betting apps serve up a wide range of game lines and team props to choose from. The options are nearly endless, and it’s awesome to have so much variety.
Cameron Boozer is the market leader to hit the most buckets. He is priced at -111 to score Over 21.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -116.
There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
UConn Stats
Duke Stats
- Game Totals: An average of 133.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Over 133.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.20 pts and allowed 62.00 pts in the last 10 games
NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia
|
3-0 | 277 | 204 | 73 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3W |
Pittsburgh
|
3-0 | 257 | 194 | 63 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3W |
|
Duke
|
2-0 | 197 | 102 | 95 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Syracuse
|
2-0 | 176 | 107 | 69 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Florida State
|
2-0 | 203 | 137 | 66 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Louisville
|
2-0 | 191 | 127 | 64 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Virginia Tech
|
2-0 | 184 | 121 | 63 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
North Carolina
|
2-0 | 189 | 142 | 47 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Boston College
|
2-0 | 147 | 105 | 42 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
SMU
|
2-0 | 180 | 142 | 38 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
NC State
|
2-0 | 160 | 127 | 33 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Georgia Tech
|
2-0 | 170 | 138 | 32 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Notre Dame
|
2-0 | 157 | 128 | 29 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
Clemson
|
2-0 | 167 | 145 | 22 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
California
|
2-1 | 267 | 242 | 25 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
Miami
|
1-1 | 150 | 134 | 16 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Wake Forest
|
1-1 | 134 | 136 | -2 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
| Big East | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marquette
|
2-0 | 171 | 75 | 96 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Xavier
|
2-0 | 173 | 105 | 68 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
St. John's
|
2-0 | 182 | 128 | 54 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
|
UConn
|
2-0 | 171 | 123 | 48 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
Creighton
|
2-0 | 159 | 116 | 43 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Georgetown
|
2-0 | 166 | 132 | 34 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Seton Hall
|
2-0 | 133 | 102 | 31 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
DePaul
|
2-0 | 157 | 138 | 19 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Butler
|
2-1 | 276 | 225 | 51 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Villanova
|
1-1 | 167 | 140 | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1W |
Providence
|
1-1 | 141 | 123 | 18 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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