Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Aug 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury

The Washington Mystics go up against the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, August 27.

We’re forecasting that the Mystics and the Mercury will produce a significant combined points total. Therefore, our prediction is to take the -110 that there are Over 166.5 points.

94-84 Win for Mystics in Pair’s Last Meeting

Phoenix Mercury and Washington Mystics met two nights ago, with Mystics winning 94-84. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Mercury winning six times.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
7  Mystics	23	15	3151	3160	-9	13-7	10-8	2W
12  Mercury	13	25	3193	3341	-148	5-13	8-12	3L

View Full Standings

Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Get set for Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re expecting Over 166.5 points to be scored by the two teams combined. There’s an attractive -110 for our pick and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over in this WNBA game.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant WNBA stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball predictions.

Key Mystics vs Mercury stats:

• The 166.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Mystics games.
• The 166.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Mystics games.
• The 166.5 line has been covered in the last 5 Mercury games.
• The 166.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Mercury games.
• The 166.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Mercury games.
• The 166.5 line has been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Over 166.5 Probability

If you go by the top basketball sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

It’s possible to increase the odds on your Over bet by combining it with other picks. A Bet Builder allows you to place multiple wagers from the same game into one single parlay.

Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.

Our Game Prediction

Over 166.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 27, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Natasha Mack Under 7.5 Rebounds -116

Natasha Mack (Mercury) is available at -116 to rack up Under 7.5 rebounds. We think she might fall short of the mark when it comes to this Player Rebounds bet.

Latest Natasha Mack Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 9.5

-103

Under 9.5

-125

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-111

Under 7.5

-116

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Alyssa Thomas Over 14.5 Points +102

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to record Over 14.5 points at +102. We are going to choose a Player Points prop bet which will hopefully see her cover the line.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

+102

Under 14.5

-132

Assists

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-115

Rebounds

Over 8.5

+115

Under 8.5

-149

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mystics 90 - 84 Mercury

Should you want a bet that can land a monster return, then look no further than the correct score lines. Back the Mystics to win 90-84 and leverage a huge payout if this happens.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Washington Mystics are -189 favorites and that means a 65% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Phoenix Mercury are trading at +152.

4.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 166.5 right now. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Over 166.5, then the odds are -110.

If you’re planning to place a women's hoops wager, visit the best basketball sportsbooks and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Mystics

-189

Mercury

+152

Point Spread

Mystics -4.5

-106

Mercury +4.5

-114

Total Points

Under 166.5

-110

Over 166.5

-110

The favorite to land the most baskets is Kahleah Copper. Odds of -114 can be found for her scoring Over 19.5 points and there are the same odds for her to go Under.

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Shakira Austin (Mystics)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Sonia Citron (Mystics)

Over 16.5

-108

Under 16.5

-120

Kiki Iriafen (Mystics)

Over 14.5

-120

Under 14.5

-108

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

+102

Under 14.5

-132

Kelsey Plum (Mercury)

Over 12.5

-120

Under 12.5

-108

Natasha Mack (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-103

Under 9.5

-125

Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-130

Georgia Amoore (Mystics)

Over 6.5

-116

Under 6.5

-111

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-115

Sonia Citron (Mystics)

Over 5.5

+113

Under 5.5

-147

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 2.5

+136

Under 2.5

-179

Shakira Austin (Mystics)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-109

Shakira Austin (Mystics)

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-100

Kiki Iriafen (Mystics)

Over 9.5

+103

Under 9.5

-133

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

+115

Under 8.5

-149

Natasha Mack (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-111

Under 7.5

-116

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-154

Sonia Citron (Mystics)

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-102

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Mystics Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 171.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 161.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 166.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 166.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.80 pts and allowed 84.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 80.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 178.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 170.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 166.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 166.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.00 pts and allowed 91.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.10 pts and allowed 85.90 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	31	8	3571	3248	323	14-6	17-2	1L
2  Valkyries	26	11	3051	2824	227	15-5	11-6	1W
3  Aces	26	13	3531	3388	143	12-7	14-6	2W
4  Dream	25	13	3460	3246	214	12-6	13-7	4W
5  Fever	25	14	3769	3547	222	13-6	12-8	1W
6  Liberty	23	15	3448	3329	119	13-5	10-10	1W
7  Mystics	23	15	3151	3160	-9	13-7	10-8	2W
8  Wings	23	16	3463	3343	120	13-6	10-10	3W
9  Fire	15	23	3293	3473	-180	8-11	7-12	3L
10  Sky	15	24	3401	3502	-101	10-10	5-14	2L
11  Sparks	13	25	3316	3516	-200	6-13	7-12	1L
12  Mercury	13	25	3193	3341	-148	5-13	8-12	3L
13  Tempo	11	26	3229	3467	-238	7-13	4-13	1L
14  Sun	10	27	2932	3214	-282	7-12	3-15	1W
15  Storm	7	31	3150	3360	-210	5-13	2-18	3L

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