Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Liverpool

Chelsea host Liverpool in this highly anticipated Premier League meeting at Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Expect a Tight Affair

The way forward could be to back Chelsea with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -127 against Liverpool. This means our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, which allows us to land a return with a draw.

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Chelsea Won 3-1 in Teams’ Last Encounter

Chelsea were beaten 3-1 at Stamford Bridge in their last Premier League game. This loss at home to Brighton was their second straight league defeat. The Blues enjoyed 58% possession and managed three shots on target, with Enzo Fernández scoring while Trevoh Chalobah was sent off early in the second half.

Four days ago, Chelsea won 1-0 when hosting Benfica in the Champions League.

Table-topping Liverpool were defeated in their previous Premier League game. On their travels, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park. The Merseyside team boasted an impressive 72% of possession and recorded four shots on goal, with Federico Chiesa finding the net.

On Tuesday night, Liverpool suffered a 1-0 Champions League defeat when visiting Galatasaray.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Chelsea who were victorious when they last faced Liverpool. At Stamford Bridge, a 3-1 home triumph was recorded. In the previous 10 games between these teams, we’ve witnessed six draws, three Liverpool victories and Chelsea getting one win.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Liverpool	10	6	0	4	18	14	4	18:14	18
7	Chelsea	10	5	2	3	18	11	7	18:11	17

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. Chelsea have had 55.6% possession, 482.2 passes and 6.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.1 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts, while being awarded 4.7 corners.

Top scorer Enzo Fernandez has found the net 4 times, with Trevoh Chalobah, Cole Palmer, Moises Caicedo and Joao Pedro getting 2 goals each. Leading assistor is Joao Pedro with 3, while goalkeeper Robert Sanchez has 4 clean sheets.

Liverpool have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 4.3 shots on goal, 14.7 attempts and 1.8 goals. Arne Slot's men average 61.6% possession, 523.8 passes, 5.7 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 12.3 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Hugo Ekitike and Mohamed Salah top the team’s scoring charts on 3 goals, with Federico Chiesa on 2. Cody Gakpo has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Alisson Becker has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Chelsea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Reece James, Josh Acheampong, Benoit Badiashile, Marc Cucurella, Malo Gusto, Moises Caicedo, Pedro Neto, Enzo Fernandez, Alejandro Garnacho, Joao Pedro.

Liverpool confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Giorgi Mamardashvili (GK), Conor Bradley, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Mohamed Salah, Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo, Alexander Isak.

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Chelsea vs Liverpool, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

Chelsea look capable of winning this Premier League encounter and we’ll take the Blues on the Asian Handicap. Back them at -127 with a +0.25 goal start, with confidence high that they can perform well.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Premier League form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

Key Chelsea vs Liverpool league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Chelsea in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Chelsea in 18 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Chelsea in 8 of their last 10 games against Liverpool.

Chelsea +0.25 Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 55.9% prospect of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are several options available including selling goals. If you want more juice from your wager, then you can go down this route and take your own view.

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Our Match Prediction

Chelsea Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -127 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 2 - 1 Liverpool

Chelsea are available to back at +850 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pedro Neto Under 0.5 Shots On Target -143

Pedro Neto (Chelsea) hasn’t had a shot on goal in four consecutive Premier League games. We think that he will fail to cover the Shots on Target Line and betting odds of -143 are available for this wager.

Latest Pedro Neto Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+295

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-156

Shots

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

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Hugo Ekitike to Score +200

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool) has scored three goals in his past five Premier League games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +200 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Hugo Ekitike Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-100

Shots

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -128

There has been seven straight Chelsea matches where 9.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 10.00 corners in the previous five Liverpool games. There’s a chance to go over the Total Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -128 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Chelsea

Total

10.70 6.00 4.70

Home

11.40 7.70 3.70

Away

9.60 5.40 4.20

Liverpool

Total

9.30 5.70 3.60

Home

10.30 6.70 3.60

Away

9.80 6.20 3.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-102

Chelsea Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Liverpool Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

+120

X

+600

2

-108

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Chelsea vs Liverpool Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest a Tight Affair

The bookmakers have Liverpool at +130 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 43% chance of winning this Premier League clash based on the betting odds. For those wanting to back Chelsea, you will find +190 about this outsider.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Liverpool at -149 and Chelsea at +110.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -233.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Premier League match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+190

X

+265

2

+130

Half-Time Result

1

+225

X

+150

2

+165

Double Chance

1X

-167

12

-357

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

+110

2

-149

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-122

2 Hcp -0.25

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+155

Over 2.5

-200

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-233

No

+170

Mohamed Salah is the First Goalscorer Favourite

There is -213 available that Mohamed Salah finds the net at any stage. He is available at +190 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

First

-213

Anytime

+190

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+138

Anytime

+400

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

First

+165

Anytime

+450

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+265

Anytime

+750

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+295

Anytime

+800

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+350

Anytime

+1050

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

First

+390

Anytime

+1050

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Treymaurice Nyoni (Liverpool)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

+138

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+132

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-100

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-119

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-119

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-133

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-156

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-161

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-167

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-179

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-175

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-192

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-204

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-233

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-250

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Treymaurice Nyoni (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-238

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-270

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-370

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-833

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-104

Under 2.5

-

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Treymaurice Nyoni (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Last Ten Chelsea Home Matches Have Led to Six Wins

Chelsea have managed six victories, two draws and two losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

Liverpool have finished with four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

When the teams previously met at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea defeated Liverpool 3-1. The previous 7 H2H meetings at Stamford Bridge have resulted in three draws and two wins apiece.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Chelsea Home Stats		6-2-2	2.10	1.30	0.80	4	6	4	6
Liverpool Away Stats		4-2-4	3.40	1.70	1.70	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Chelsea vs Liverpool Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Chelsea vs Liverpool team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League together with updated injury news.

Chelsea Team Page Liverpool Team Page