Bills vs Vikings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Nov 2026

Bills vs Vikings Predictions

Best Bet

Vikings +3 @ -105

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We wouldn’t be surprised to see the Vikings win and it makes sense to take +3 on the spread at -105 when they go up against the Bills.

Our Bills vs Vikings betting guide covers our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Lock in the full card in the dedicated sections below.

Bills vs Vikings Preview

The Buffalo Bills square off against the Minnesota Vikings at US Bank Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Monday, November 9.

Buffalo Bills made it three consecutive wins after a 36-10 home success over Baltimore Ravens at Highmark Stadium. The Bills generated 426 yards, including 280 passing and 146 rushing yards. They moved the chains 24 times and produced 4 touchdowns.

Minnesota Vikings have won their last three home games. Most recently, they lost 19-15 on the road at Ford Field against Detroit Lions. The Vikings generated 266 yards, including 185 passing and 81 rushing yards. The offense moved the chains 15 times along with two touchdowns.

H2H: Vikes Overtime Victory in Last H2H

It was a 33-30 (OT) win for the Vikes at Highmark Stadium when they last played the Bills.

Best Bet

A spread of +3 looks a great number for the Vikings in this NFL matchup. Take the odds of -105 that this generous line gets covered.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +3 line has been covered by Vikings in 7 consecutive games at home.
• The +3 line has been covered by Vikings in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +3 line has been covered by Vikings in 17 of their last 20 games at home.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert picks, our NFL handicappers also analyze the latest stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Vikes +3 Probability

Based on the odds from the top NFL betting sites, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. However, our in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is the option to move the line. Consider the odds and whether each betting line can be covered.

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Vikings +3 @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 8, 02:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kyler Murray Over 213.5 Passing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Kyler Murray (Vikes) at -114 to surpass 213.5 passing yards. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest Kyler Murray Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+600

First

+2700

Passing Yards

Over 213.5

-114

Under 213.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bills 23 - 27 Vikings

The Vikes are available at huge odds to secure a 27-23 win and they might have the edge. This should be a close battle and there won’t be much between the teams.

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Bills vs Vikings Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Buffalo Bills are -179 favorites and that means a 64% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to back Minnesota Vikings, you will find +150 about the underdogs.

The spread is 3 and the total points line is currently 44.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. The Over 44.5 selection is available to back at -110.

There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to the National Football League and we recommend heading to the top betting apps to find the bet that matches your view on the matchup.

Moneyline

Bills

-179

Vikings

+150

Point Spread

Bills -3

-115

Vikings +3

-105

Total Points

Under 44.5

-110

Over 44.5

-110

James Cook is the First Touchdown Scorer favorite at +500. Alternatively, there’s the chance to simply back him to score a TD anytime at -110.

Touchdown

James Cook (Bills)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-110

Josh Allen (Bills)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-120

Justin Jefferson (Vikings)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+155

Jordan Mason (Vikings)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+200

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+210

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+270

DJ Moore (Bills)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+270

Dalton Kincaid (Bills)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+300

Jordan Addison (Vikings)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+250

Khalil Shakir (Bills)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+320

Keon Coleman (Bills)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+420

Tai Felton (Vikings)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+500

Kyler Murray (Vikings)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Jauan Jennings (Vikings)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+600

Dawson Knox (Bills)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+750

Ben Yurosek (Vikings)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+800

Skyler Bell (Bills)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+1000

Myles Price (Vikings)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+800

Carson Wentz (Vikings)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1200

Gavin Bartholomew (Vikings)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1400

Ty Johnson (Bills)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+850

Ray Davis (Bills)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1200

Jackson Hawes (Bills)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1200

Keleki Latu (Bills)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Demond Claiborne (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Greg Dortch (Bills)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

DeeJay Dallas (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Max Bredeson (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Receiving Yards

Justin Jefferson (Vikings)

Over 77.5

-114

Under 77.5

-114

DJ Moore (Bills)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Jordan Addison (Vikings)

Over 39.5

-114

Under 39.5

-114

Khalil Shakir (Bills)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Dalton Kincaid (Bills)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Keon Coleman (Bills)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Ty Johnson (Bills)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

James Cook (Bills)

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-128

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Dawson Knox (Bills)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Jauan Jennings (Vikings)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Skyler Bell (Bills)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Ben Yurosek (Vikings)

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-120

Rushing Yards

James Cook (Bills)

Over 82.5

-114

Under 82.5

-114

Jordan Mason (Vikings)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Josh Allen (Bills)

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

Kyler Murray (Vikings)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Carson Wentz (Vikings)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Ray Davis (Bills)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Passing Yards

Josh Allen (Bills)

Over 237.5

-114

Under 237.5

-114

Kyler Murray (Vikings)

Over 213.5

-114

Under 213.5

-114

Carson Wentz (Vikings)

Over 209.5

-114

Under 209.5

-114

Vikes Rolling at Home

The Vikings have reeled off six straight victories at US Bank Stadium. They have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games at home, averaging 24.60 points scored and 13.90 points allowed.

The Bills have put together three straight wins away from home. They own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 games away from home, scoring 27.90 points per contest and conceding 26.30.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O44.5	U44.5
Vikings Home Stats		7-3	38.50	24.60	13.90	4	6
Bills Away Stats		7-3	54.20	27.90	26.30	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
• U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bills Stats

Minnesota Vikings Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 57.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 54.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.50 pts and allowed 24.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.90 pts and allowed 26.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 31.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 38.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.50 pts and allowed 11.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.60 pts and allowed 13.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 401.10 Yds. Allowed 329.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 151.20 Yds. Allowed 97.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 249.90 Yds. Allowed 232.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.80 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 24.50. Allowed 21.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.60. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 66.10 Yds. Gained 49.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 272.00 Yds. Allowed 239.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.60 Yds. Allowed 114.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 151.40 Yds. Allowed 125.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.00. Allowed 14.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 7.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.40 Yds. Gained 60.10 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 366.10 Yds. Allowed 339.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 149.60 Yds. Allowed 125.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 216.50 Yds. Allowed 213.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.20 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.40. Allowed 21.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 5.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 59.70 Yds. Gained 53.30 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 305.60 Yds. Allowed 256.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 131.60 Yds. Allowed 103.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 174.00 Yds. Allowed 153.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.10. Allowed 14.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.00 Yds. Gained 51.60 Yds

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