Packers vs Patriots Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Nov 2026

Packers vs Patriots Predictions

Best Bet

Patriots -3 @ -110

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There’s a generous line of -3 when it comes to the Patriots when they clash with the Packers. The -110 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

Our Packers vs Patriots betting picks highlight our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Head further down the page for detailed analysis and the reasoning behind the plays.

Packers vs Patriots Preview

The Green Bay Packers square off against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, November 8.

Green Bay Packers won their previous game which was at home. It was a 27-19 triumph at Lambeau Field against Carolina Panthers. The Packers moved the ball for 354 yards, with 288 through the air and 66 on the ground. The offense managed 21 first downs and found the end zone 4 times.

New England Patriots have won three straight home games. In their last appearance, they won on the road, beating Miami Dolphins 24-19 at Hard Rock Stadium. The Patriots totaled 313 yards, with 182 through the air and 131 on the ground. They converted for 16 first downs and scored 3 touchdowns in total, with 2 through the air and one rushing TD.

H2H: Overtime Win for Pack in Last H2H

The Pack had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At Lambeau Field, they recorded a 27-24 (OT) win over the Pats.

Quarterbacks

Jordan Love

276.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Drake Maye

230.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

Bet on the Patriots against the spread, with an attractive line of -3 that the favorites get the job done. There are odds of -110 that are currently on offer for this NFL battle.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The -3 line has been covered by Patriots in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -3 line has been covered by Patriots in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -3 line has been covered by Patriots in 3 consecutive games at home.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible NFL picks. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key numbers that truly make a difference.

Pats -3 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

As a wagering alternative, you can choose to buy or sell points when it comes to your spread pick. Buy if you want a safer bet and sell to get more juice from the line.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Patriots -3 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Drake Maye Over 230.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Drake Maye (Pats) at -114 to accumulate over 230.5 passing yards. We believe it makes sense to stick with him on the Over and bettors can be confident in this QB Passing Yards pick.

Latest Drake Maye Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+340

First

+1600

Passing Yards

Over 230.5

-114

Under 230.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Packers 17 - 23 Patriots

There are many different ways to back the Pats on the correct score betting and something like 23-17 in their favor might be along the right lines at huge odds.

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Packers vs Patriots Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 63% chance of securing victory, New England Patriots are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -167. Green Bay Packers are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +140.

3 is where the spread lies, with total points being 44.5 right now. NFL bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you’re going for Under 44.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

There are hundreds of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on the National Football League and we recommend visiting the best sportsbooks to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Packers

+140

Patriots

-167

Point Spread

Packers +3

-110

Patriots -3

-110

Total Points

Under 44.5

-110

Over 44.5

-110

The First Touchdown Scorer favorite is Rhamondre Stevenson at +500. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the final TD.

Touchdown

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-120

Josh Jacobs (Packers)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-115

Matthew Golden (Packers)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+185

Christian Watson (Packers)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+175

Eli Raridon (Patriots)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+200

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+200

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+200

Efton Chism III (Patriots)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+240

Tucker Kraft (Packers)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+240

Corey Kiner (Patriots)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+290

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+260

Drake Maye (Patriots)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+340

Kyle Williams (Patriots)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+420

Savion Williams (Packers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+460

Pierre Strong Jr. (Packers)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+600

MarShawn Lloyd (Packers)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+600

Jordan Love (Packers)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1000

Mark Redman (Packers)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Lan Larison (Patriots)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Jonnu Smith (Packers)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1200

Ryan Miller (Patriots)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1600

Bo Melton (Packers)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1700

Tanner Arkin (Patriots)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1700

Cameron Latu (Patriots)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1600

J. Michael Sturdivant (Packers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Josh Whyle (Packers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Coleman Owen (Packers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Receiving Yards

Christian Watson (Packers)

Over 72.5

-114

Under 72.5

-114

Matthew Golden (Packers)

Over 67.5

-114

Under 67.5

-114

Tucker Kraft (Packers)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Josh Jacobs (Packers)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Savion Williams (Packers)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 54.5

-114

Under 54.5

-114

Josh Jacobs (Packers)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Corey Kiner (Patriots)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

MarShawn Lloyd (Packers)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Jordan Love (Packers)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-130

Passing Yards

Jordan Love (Packers)

Over 276.5

-114

Under 276.5

-114

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 230.5

-114

Under 230.5

-114

Pats Keep Cashing In at Home

The Patriots have put together six straight wins at Gillette Stadium. They have nine wins and one loss in the last 10 home games, putting up 28.80 points per contest and giving up 15.50.

The Pack own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 games away from home, putting up 20.60 points per contest and giving up 23.70.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O44.5	U44.5
Patriots Home Stats		9-1	44.30	28.80	15.50	6	4
Packers Away Stats		4-6	44.30	20.60	23.70	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
• U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Green Bay Packers Stats

New England Patriots Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 41.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.10 pts and allowed 21.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.60 pts and allowed 23.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 40.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 43.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.70 pts and allowed 19.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.70 pts and allowed 16.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 319.50 Yds. Allowed 332.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 71.20 Yds. Allowed 111.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 248.30 Yds. Allowed 221.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.70. Allowed 21.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.20. Committed by opponents 5.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 70.30 Yds. Gained 51.50 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 347.50 Yds. Allowed 299.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.50 Yds. Allowed 96.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 227.00 Yds. Allowed 203.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 0.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.40. Allowed 17.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.80. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 6.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 50.40 Yds. Gained 52.90 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 316.80 Yds. Allowed 350.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 106.20 Yds. Allowed 116.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 210.60 Yds. Allowed 233.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.00. Allowed 21.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.70. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 67.20 Yds. Gained 52.70 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 377.90 Yds. Allowed 266.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 145.20 Yds. Allowed 98.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 232.70 Yds. Allowed 167.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.30 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.10. Allowed 17.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.70. Committed by opponents 5.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.90 Yds. Gained 43.10 Yds

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