Rams vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Nov 2026

Rams vs Commanders Predictions

Best Bet

Commanders +4.5 @ -105

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There’s a good opportunity to back the Commanders against the spread considering the underdogs should perform well against the Rams. Snap up the -105 when it comes to them covering the +4.5.

Our Rams vs Commanders predictions feature our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Pick. Dig into the analysis behind the card in the sections below.

Rams vs Commanders Preview

The Los Angeles Rams battle the Washington Commanders at Northwest Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, November 8.

Los Angeles Rams claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 24-9 triumph against Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium made it back-to-back wins. The Rams put up 281 yards, including 152 passing and 129 rushing yards. The offense picked up 16 first downs and crossed the goal line 3 times.

Washington Commanders won their last game, beating Philadelphia Eagles at home. It was a 27-10 win at Northwest Stadium. The Commanders totaled 339 yards, split between 204 passing and 135 rushing yards. They converted for 16 first downs and managed 2 touchdowns, splitting them between the run and the pass.

H2H: Rams Claimed 28-20 Win in Previous H2H

The Rams had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At SoFi Stadium, they recorded a 28-20 win over the Commanders.

Quarterbacks

Matthew Stafford

246.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Jayden Daniels

211.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

There’s some excellent value on the spread for this NFL showdown and we like the Commanders +4.5. We’re very happy to take the underdogs with this advantage at -105.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Commanders in 3 of their last 4 games at home this season.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Commanders in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Commanders in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Rams in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Rams in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

Our expert NFL predictions always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Commanders +4.5 Probability

The best betting apps are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you’re in pursuit of bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be a way forward. Take the Commanders to cover the line with additional selections until you’re satisfied with the price.

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Commanders +4.5 @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matthew Stafford Under 246.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Matthew Stafford (Rams) to finish with fewer than 246.5 passing yards are -114. We’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, as the total looks too high.

Latest Matthew Stafford Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+1500

First

+7000

Passing Yards

Over 246.5

-114

Under 246.5

-114

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Kyren Williams Anytime TD -154

Kyren Williams (Rams) can be backed at -154 to hit the end zone. All things considered, we believe the odds are appealing for betting on him in the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Kyren Williams Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-154

First

+460

Receiving Yards

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Rams 27 - 28 Commanders

There are huge odds available when it comes to the Commanders landing a 28-27 win. A close matchup is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.

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Rams vs Commanders Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Los Angeles Rams are regarded as likeliest victors for this game and the -233 about them triumphing means a 70% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Washington Commanders, you will find +194 about the underdogs.

The spread is calculated to be 4.5, while total points comes in at 47.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. Those that want to back Under 47.5 can find odds of -105 available.

There’s no shortage of betting opportunities when it comes to the National Football League. The top sportsbooks offer a wide variety of game lines and team props for each matchup, so be sure to explore both the pre-game and in-game markets before making your pick.

Moneyline

Rams

-233

Commanders

+194

Point Spread

Rams -4.5

-115

Commanders +4.5

-105

Total Points

Under 47.5

-105

Over 47.5

-115

The Anytime Touchdown betting indicates that Kyren Williams has odds of %anytime_odds%. He is available at %first_odds% to score the first TD which makes him favorite.

Touchdown

Kyren Williams (Rams)

First TD

+460

Anytime TD

-154

Puka Nacua (Rams)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

-135

Blake Corum (Rams)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+110

Rachaad White (Commanders)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+130

Stefon Diggs (Commanders)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+200

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+230

Terrance Ferguson (Rams)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+250

Colby Parkinson (Rams)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+250

Tyler Higbee (Rams)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+250

Antonio Williams (Commanders)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+240

Chig Okonkwo (Commanders)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+260

Davis Allen (Rams)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+350

Austin Ekeler (Commanders)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+340

Treylon Burks (Commanders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+390

Konata Mumpfield (Rams)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+500

Van Jefferson (Commanders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+650

Tutu Atwell (Rams)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+800

Dyami Brown (Commanders)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+750

CJ Daniels (Rams)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Jordan Whittington (Rams)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+800

John Bates (Commanders)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1200

Max Klare (Rams)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1500

Matthew Stafford (Rams)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1500

Robert Henry Jr. (Commanders)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1800

Ben Sinnott (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Alex Bachman (Rams)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Colson Yankoff (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Receiving Yards

Puka Nacua (Rams)

Over 92.5

-114

Under 92.5

-114

Antonio Williams (Commanders)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Stefon Diggs (Commanders)

Over 46.5

-114

Under 46.5

-114

Chig Okonkwo (Commanders)

Over 35.5

-114

Under 35.5

-114

Treylon Burks (Commanders)

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

Kyren Williams (Rams)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Rachaad White (Commanders)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Kyren Williams (Rams)

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Blake Corum (Rams)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Rachaad White (Commanders)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Passing Yards

Matthew Stafford (Rams)

Over 246.5

-114

Under 246.5

-114

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 211.5

-114

Under 211.5

-114

Commanders Have Dropped Six of Their Last Ten Home Games

The Commanders have three wins, six losses and one tie in the last 10 home games, putting up 25.50 points on average and giving up 28.50.

The Rams have gone 5-5 across their last 10 road games, posting 30.00 points per contest while yielding 26.30.

The last time the Rams faced the Commanders at Northwest Stadium, they won 30-10.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
Commanders Home Stats		3-6	54.00	25.50	28.50	8	2
Rams Away Stats		5-5	56.30	30.00	26.30	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
• U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Los Angeles Rams Stats

Washington Commanders Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the last 10 games
• 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 56.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.10 pts and allowed 21.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 30.00 pts and allowed 26.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.40 pts and allowed 25.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 22.70 pts and allowed 29.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 389.40 Yds. Allowed 322.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 122.90 Yds. Allowed 110.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 266.50 Yds. Allowed 211.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.00 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.40. Allowed 19.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 56.40 Yds. Gained 45.70 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 311.20 Yds. Allowed 356.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 125.70 Yds. Allowed 119.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 185.50 Yds. Allowed 237.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.50. Allowed 21.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.40. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 56.30 Yds. Gained 55.60 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 436.60 Yds. Allowed 335.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 140.20 Yds. Allowed 115.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 296.40 Yds. Allowed 220.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.60 TD. Allowed 3.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 24.30. Allowed 18.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.30 Yds. Gained 46.20 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 316.60 Yds. Allowed 398.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 126.40 Yds. Allowed 133.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 190.20 Yds. Allowed 265.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.20. Allowed 23.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.80. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 61.80 Yds. Gained 43.50 Yds

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