Jets vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Nov 2026

Jets vs Chiefs Predictions

Best Bet

Under 47.5 Points @ -110

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Let’s shoot for a total bet between the Chiefs and the Jets, with Under 47.5 available at -110. This betting prediction has lots of juice in the price.

Our preferred Jets vs Chiefs wagers include our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Read on for detailed analysis of each pick.

Jets vs Chiefs Preview

The New York Jets square off against the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, November 8.

New York Jets have lost in their previous three outings. In a recent home game at MetLife Stadium, they were turned over 38-33 by Las Vegas Raiders. The Jets totaled 439 yards, with 273 through the air and 166 on the ground. The offense converted for 26 first downs along with 3 touchdowns.

Kansas City Chiefs have won their last three home games. Most recently, they lost 28-24 on the road at Empower Field at Mile High against Denver Broncos. The Chiefs moved the ball for 399 yards, split between 309 passing and 90 rushing yards. The offense picked up 22 first downs along with 3 touchdowns.

H2H: Chiefs Overcame Jets in Last H2H

The Chiefs had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At MetLife Stadium, they recorded a 23-20 win over the Jets.

Quarterbacks

Geno Smith

211.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Patrick Mahomes

245.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -110 that there are Under 47.5 points in this NFL showdown.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Jets games on the road.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 4 Jets games on the road this season.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Jets games on the road.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Chiefs games at home.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Chiefs games at home.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert NFL picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate predictions possible.

Under 47.5 Probability

According to the best NFL sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

It’s all about getting the best odds and one way of maximising your Unders bet is by combining it with the winner on the Result & Total lines.

Fuel your next bet with the hottest betting offers, welcome promos, and free bets featured in our straightforward bonus guide.

Under 47.5 Points @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 6, 19:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Geno Smith Under 211.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Geno Smith (Jets) to end with fewer than 211.5 passing yards are -114. The line looks too high and we’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards total.

Latest Geno Smith Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+1200

First

+6000

Passing Yards

Over 211.5

-114

Under 211.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 6.5

-102

Under 6.5

-128

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Emmett Johnson Under 12.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Emmett Johnson (Jets) at -114 to finish with fewer than 12.5 rushing yards. If you agree with our verdict that the line is too high, this Player Rushing Yards wager is worth backing.

Latest Emmett Johnson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+350

First

+1900

Receiving Yards

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Jets 17 - 21 Chiefs

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 21-17 win for the Chiefs. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

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Jets vs Chiefs Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Kansas City Chiefs have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -556 favorites for this game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 85% chance of winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, New York Jets are trading at +420.

The current spread is 9.5 and total points is 47.5. NFL fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 47.5, there are odds of -110.

You can find a huge selection of game lines and team props for every National Football League showdown, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your wagers.

Moneyline

Jets

+420

Chiefs

-556

Point Spread

Jets +9.5

-100

Chiefs -9.5

-120

Total Points

Under 47.5

-110

Over 47.5

-110

Those interested in Kenneth Walker III to score a touchdown at anytime are able to get -238. There is an opportunity to back the favorite to get the first TD at odds of +320.

Touchdown

Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs)

First TD

+320

Anytime TD

-238

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+125

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+145

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+180

Breece Hall (Jets)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+185

Braelon Allen (Jets)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+250

Garrett Wilson (Jets)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+220

Emmett Johnson (Chiefs)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+350

Adonai Mitchell (Jets)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+280

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+380

Cyrus Allen (Chiefs)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+440

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

Omar Cooper Jr. (Jets)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+320

Mason Taylor (Jets)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+390

Jalen Royals (Chiefs)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+850

Kenyon Sadiq (Jets)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+500

Tim Patrick (Jets)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+800

Andrew Armstrong (Chiefs)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1000

Geno Smith (Jets)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1200

Jake Briningstool (Chiefs)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1700

Jared Wiley (Chiefs)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1700

Isaiah Williams (Jets)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1200

Jeremy Ruckert (Jets)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1500

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1900

Andrew Beck (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Ben VanSumeren (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Kene Nwangwu (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Jaydn Ott (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Malik McClain (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Jelani Woods (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Isaiah Davis (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Receiving Yards

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

Over 59.5

-114

Under 59.5

-114

Omar Cooper Jr. (Jets)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Adonai Mitchell (Jets)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Mason Taylor (Jets)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Kenyon Sadiq (Jets)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Breece Hall (Jets)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Emmett Johnson (Chiefs)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Cyrus Allen (Chiefs)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Tim Patrick (Jets)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs)

Over 90.5

-114

Under 90.5

-114

Breece Hall (Jets)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Braelon Allen (Jets)

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-114

Emmett Johnson (Chiefs)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Geno Smith (Jets)

Over 6.5

-102

Under 6.5

-128

Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 245.5

-114

Under 245.5

-114

Geno Smith (Jets)

Over 211.5

-114

Under 211.5

-114

Chiefs Tough to Crack at Home

The Chiefs are riding three consecutive victories at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. They have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games at home, averaging 23.40 points on offense and surrendering 14.60 on defense.

The Jets have suffered three defeats in a row away from home. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games on the road, putting up 17.50 points on average and giving up 29.00.

When the teams last met at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs beat the Jets 35-9.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
Chiefs Home Stats		7-3	38.00	23.40	14.60	1	9
Jets Away Stats		2-8	46.50	17.50	29.00	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
• U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Jets Stats

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 18.80 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.50 pts and allowed 29.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 39.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 38.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.10 pts and allowed 19.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.40 pts and allowed 14.60 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 298.90 Yds. Allowed 345.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 107.40 Yds. Allowed 135.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 191.50 Yds. Allowed 209.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.20. Allowed 22.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.30. Committed by opponents 5.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 59.50 Yds. Gained 42.60 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 312.20 Yds. Allowed 311.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 115.60 Yds. Allowed 108.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 196.60 Yds. Allowed 203.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.80. Allowed 19.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.10. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.80 Yds. Gained 44.90 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 281.40 Yds. Allowed 374.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 110.20 Yds. Allowed 132.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 171.20 Yds. Allowed 242.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.40. Allowed 23.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 3.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.20 Yds. Gained 33.50 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 370.40 Yds. Allowed 253.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 133.90 Yds. Allowed 81.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 236.50 Yds. Allowed 172.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.70. Allowed 14.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 51.90 Yds. Gained 52.10 Yds

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