Aston Villa vs Bologna Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Apr 2026

Europa League Betting Preview: Aston Villa vs Bologna

Premier League club Aston Villa host Italian Serie A side Bologna in the second leg of this Europa League quarter-final at Villa Park, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 16 April. Villa won the first leg 3-1.

We really like Aston Villa at odds of -156 with BetMGM to beat Bologna, with this Full-Time Result bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.

Aston Villa played out a 1-1 draw in the Premier League at the weekend. This was away from home at City Ground against Nottingham Forest. The Villans boasted 59% possession and had five shots on target, with a Murillo own goal on the scoresheet for the Birmingham side.

Bologna claimed a 2-0 Serie A home win over Lecce at Stadio Renato Dell'Ara on Sunday. I Rossoblù racked up five shots on goal and enjoyed 65% possession, while Remo Freuler and Riccardo Orsolini found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa won 3-1 away at Bologna in the first leg. The hosts had 58% possession, while the shots on target finished 4-4, with Jonathan Rowe finding the net for Bologna and Ollie Watkins (2) and Ezri Konsa on the scoresheet for Villa.

Europa League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Aston Villa	8	7	0	1	14	6	8	14:6	21
10	Bologna	8	4	3	1	14	7	7	14:7	15

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. Villa have had 53.6% possession, 457.4 passes and 4.7 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.5 corners.

Ollie Watkins leads the way with 4 goals, John McGinn has 2, with Ezri Konsa and two others on 1. Youri Tielemans and Jadon Sancho have been top assistors on 2, with goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez keeping 4 clean sheets.

Bologna have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.4 goals from 14.6 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 56.3% possession, 473.3 passes, 5.4 corners in their favour and 4.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 9.8 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Jonathan Rowe is top scorer on 4, with Joao Mario and Federico Bernardeschi next on 2. Juan Miranda and Jonathan Rowe have been top assists providers with 2, while Lukasz Skorupski has kept 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Amadou Onana, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins.

Bologna confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Federico Ravaglia (GK), Juan Miranda, Martin Vitik, Nicolo Casale, Joao Mario, Remo Freuler, Nikola Moro, Federico Bernardeschi, Lewis Ferguson, Jonathan Rowe, Santiago Castro.

Aston Villa vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Aston Villa vs Bologna with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice, key player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s a strong chance that we’ll see Aston Villa record a victory and they are priced at -156 to win this Europa League quarter-final. We think that the latest odds offer bettors plenty of value.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Europa League verdict is reached.

Key Aston Villa vs Bologna Europa League & league stats:

• Villa have won 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• Villa have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Villa have won 2 consecutive games at home.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 61% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

You can choose an alternative if you want bigger odds about a win for Villa. The Double Result market allows you to wager on them to lead at the halfway stage too.

Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Aston Villa To Win @ -156 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 14, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Aston Villa 2 - 0 Bologna

The Villans can be backed to win 2-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +600 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Santiago Castro Over 2.5 Shots -115

Santiago Castro (Bologna) has fired over 2.5 shots in his past two matches away from home. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -115 are now available.

Latest Santiago Castro Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+900

Shots

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-

---

John McGinn to Score +420

John McGinn (Villa) has registered four goals in his past five games on home soil. There are odds of +420 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest John McGinn Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+1100

Shots

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Bologna Under 4.5 Corners -128

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Bologna in their past six away games, while Aston Villa have conceded 4.20 corners on average in their last 10 home matches. On this evidence, we can take odds of -128 that this Bologna Team Corners wager falls short of the line.

Europa League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Aston Villa

Total

9.20 4.70 4.50

Home

10.10 5.90 4.20

Away

8.80 4.10 4.70

Bologna

Total

9.50 5.40 4.10

Home

9.80 6.70 3.10

Away

9.30 4.00 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-133

Under 9.5

-106

Aston Villa Corners

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-127

Bologna Corners

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-179

X

+650

2

+180

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Aston Villa vs Bologna Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Aston Villa are the skinniest price to succeed in this Europa League clash, with the favourites afforded a 65% probability based on their -185 betting odds with the bookies. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +500 about Bologna.

If Villa beat Bologna by two or more goals, then you would get paid out on the Asian Handicap -1 pick at -108. A one-goal victory would mean you get your stake fully refunded.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -137.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Europa League matches. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-185

X

+320

2

+500

Half-Time Result

1

+106

X

+143

2

+430

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-455

X2

+138

Draw No Bet

1

-526

2

+300

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-108

2 Hcp +1

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+114

Over 2.5

-143

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

-100

Favourite Ollie Watkins is now available at +340 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+120

Anytime

+340

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+140

Anytime

+400

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

First

+180

Anytime

+500

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Ross Barkley (Villa)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Santiago Castro (Bologna)

First

+310

Anytime

+900

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Villa)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Leon Bailey (Villa)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Federico Bernardeschi (Bologna)

First

+460

Anytime

+1200

Thijs Dallinga (Bologna)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Jonathan Rowe (Bologna)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+575

Anytime

+1700

Nicolo Cambiaghi (Bologna)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Jens Odgaard (Bologna)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Tommaso Pobega (Bologna)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Simon Sohm (Bologna)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Ezri Konsa (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Lamare Bogarde (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Lucas Digne (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Pau Torres (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Lewis Ferguson (Bologna)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Victor Lindelöf (Villa)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Tyrone Mings (Villa)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Castro (Bologna)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Jens Odgaard (Bologna)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Nicolo Cambiaghi (Bologna)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Thijs Dallinga (Bologna)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Federico Bernardeschi (Bologna)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Jonathan Rowe (Bologna)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Villa)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Ross Barkley (Villa)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Tommaso Pobega (Bologna)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Simon Sohm (Bologna)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Leon Bailey (Villa)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Ferguson (Bologna)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Latest Europa League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Aston Villa Stats

Bologna Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 53.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 58.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 56.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 51.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Aston Villa vs Bologna Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Villa vs Bologna team news before wagering. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Europa League and all current injury news.

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