Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 May 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio

Athletico Paranaense clash with Grêmio, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Saturday 2 May.

We can back Athletico Paranaense at -110 to get the better of Grêmio and this looks like a standout price. The Full-Time Result market gives us the chance to grab a slice of value for this selection.

Athletico Paranaense won their last league game, beating Vitória by a 3-1 scoreline which made it five straight Série A home wins. The Hurricane had the majority of the ball enjoying 58% possession and nine shots on target, while Kevin Viveros bagged two goals and Luiz Gustavo scored the other.

Grêmio secured a home victory in their previous Série A game. A 1-0 win occurred against Coritiba. The Porto Alegre side enjoyed 56% possession and had six shots on goal, with Gabriel Mec firing the winner shortly before half-time.

Three days ago, Grêmio drew 0-0 when facing Palestino away in the Copa Sudamericana.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Grêmio have triumphed in the last two encounters against Athletico. The most recent win was 2-0 on the road and this came after a 2-0 home win. Both teams have secured five victories in the past 10 H2H matches.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Athletico PR	13	7	1	5	20	15	5	20:15	22
11	Grêmio	13	4	4	5	15	16	-1	15:16	16

View Full Table

Athletico have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. The Curitiba outfit have averaged 48.4% possession and 4.1 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.3 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 7.1 attempts and 4.5 corners.

Top scorer Kevin Viveros has found the net 7 times, Stiven Mendoza 3, with Luiz Gustavo and Julimar both scoring 2. Leading assistor is Gaston Americo Benavidez with 4.

Grêmio have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, averaging 3.9 shots on goal, 8.4 attempts and 0.9 goals. Luis Castro's team average 52.3% possession, 3.8 corners taken and 4.3 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 9.5 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.

Carlos Vinicius is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Gabriel Mec, Francis Amuzu, Juan Ignacio Nardoni and Erick Noriega have 1. Jose Enamorado has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Athletico Paranaense predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Santos (GK), Carlos Terán, Arthur Dias, Lucas Esquivel, Gastón Benavídez, Jadson, Juan Portilla, Stiven Mendoza, João Cruz, Bruninho, Kevin Viveros.

Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Weverton (GK), Cristian Pavón, Wagner Leonardo, Gustavo Martins, Pedro Gabriel, Arthur, Leonel Perez, Tetê, Gabriel Mec, José Enamorado, Martin Braithwaite.

Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

We’ll take the plunge and back Athletico Paranaense to secure victory when they line up in this Série A game. There’s plenty of confidence behind this wager and the odds of -110 look attractive.

Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the Série A experts at Sportsgambler.com. Our football betting tips are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before predictions are made.

Key Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio league stats:

• Athletico PR have won 5 consecutive games at home.
• Athletico PR have won 6 of their last 7 games at home.
• Athletico PR have won 7 of their last 13 games.
• Grêmio have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Grêmio have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There’s an opportunity to back Athletico at bigger odds on the Asian Handicap. The betting sites will create a series of lines and you can choose the one that makes the most appeal.

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Our Match Prediction

Athletico PR To Win @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 1, 01:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Athletico 2 - 1 Grêmio

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Athletico to win 2-1. The odds of +600 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kevin Viveros to Score +135

Kevin Viveros (Athletico PR) has scored in five consecutive Série A home games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +135 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Kevin Viveros Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+130

First

+350

Shots

Over 4.5

+133

Under 4.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Athletico Paranaense odds are -118 which leads to them being favourites in this Série A clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 54% prospect of securing a victory. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +300 for Grêmio.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 option is the same as a win on the 1x2 market. Athletico are -116 when it comes to this selection, with their opponents Grêmio +0.5 at -106 which means the draw is also included with this pick.

The latest Total Goals betting suggests it’s a close call between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -137.

The leading betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Série A match. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

-118

X

+260

2

+300

Half-Time Result

1

+140

X

+125

2

+335

Double Chance

1X

-435

12

-357

X2

-111

Draw No Bet

1

-270

2

+180

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-116

2 Hcp +0.5

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-115

Over 2.5

-112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

-100

There is +130 available that Kevin Viveros finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +350.

Kevin Viveros (Athletico PR)

First

+130

Anytime

+350

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno (Athletico PR)

First

+215

Anytime

+550

Stiven Mendoza (Athletico PR)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Julimar Junior (Athletico PR)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Isaac Lima (Athletico PR)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Bruno Zapelli (Athletico PR)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Juan Camilo Portilla (Athletico PR)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Jádson Alves (Athletico PR)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

João Victor Machado Cruz (Athletico PR)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Alejandro Garcia (Athletico PR)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Luiz Gustavo (Athletico PR)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Willian (Grêmio)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Lucas Esquivel (Athletico PR)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Gaston Benavidez (Athletico PR)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

'Filipinho' Costa Silva (Athletico PR)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Kevin Viveros (Athletico PR)

Over 4.5

+133

Under 4.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Stiven Mendoza (Athletico PR)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno (Athletico PR)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Isaac Lima (Athletico PR)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Juan Camilo Portilla (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Jádson Alves (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

João Victor Machado Cruz (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Garcia (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Esquivel (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Gaston Benavidez (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

'Filipinho' Costa Silva (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

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Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Athletico vs Grêmio team news before betting. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A and all current injury news.

Athletico Paranaense Team Page Grêmio Team Page

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