Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Apr 2026

Copa del Rey Final Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad meet in the Copa del Rey final at Estadio de La Cartuja in Seville, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 18 April.

Atlético Madrid and Sociedad both look capable of finding the net and we’re really taken by the -130 available when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. This means a nice return if there are goals at both ends.

Atlético Madrid progressed to the Champions League semi-finals despite a 2-1 defeat to Barcelona at Riyadh Air Metropolitano last time out (3-2 on aggregate). Diego Simeone's team had 38% possession and recorded five shots on target, while Ademola Lookman bagged the goal.

Real Sociedad drew 3-3 against Deportivo Alavés in their previous game. This was on home soil at Reale Arena in La Liga. Los Txuri-Urdin boasted 54% possession and recorded four shots on goal, with Luka Sucic, Orri Oskarsson and an Antonio Sivera own goal on the scoresheet.

In the Copa del Rey semi-finals, Atléti beat Barcelona 4-3 on aggregate, while Sociedad secured a 2-0 aggregate win over Athletic Club.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti boast an unbeaten record in the past nine games with Sociedad. In their last clash, Atléti banked a 3-2 La Liga home victory at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The previous 10 H2H matches have included six wins for Atléti, one victory for Sociedad along with three draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Atlético Madrid	38	21	6	11	62	44	18	62:44	69
10	Real Sociedad	38	11	13	14	59	61	-2	59:61	46

View Full Table

Atléti have 5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 1.7 goals from 13.0 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. Los Colchoneros have averaged 51.1% possession, 477.6 passes and 4.7 corners per game, conceding 1.7 goals and 6.1 corners from 13.5 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal.

Top scorers are Ademola Lookman and Alexander Soerloth on 3 goals, while Giuliano Simeone has racked up 2. Matteo Ruggeri has the most assists with 3, while goalkeepers Juan Musso and Jan Oblak have recorded 3 clean sheets between them.

Sociedad have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.8 goals from 12.5 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 54.5% possession, 502.8 passes, 6.4 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 12.9 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.

Mikel Oyarzabal got 4 goals, Orri Oskarsson notched 3, while Luka Sucic and two other players scored 2. Goncalo Guedes and Ander Barrenetxea are top assists providers with 2, while Alex Remiro has recorded 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Juan Musso (GK), Nahuel Molina, Marc Pubill, Robin Le Normand, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Marcos Llorente, Koke, Ademola Lookman, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.

Real Sociedad confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Unai Marrero (GK), Jon Aramburu, Jon Martin, Duje Caleta-Car, Sergio Gomez, Benat Turrientes, Carlos Soler, Ander Barrenetxea, Luka Sucic, Goncalo Guedes, Mikel Oyarzabal.

Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

The stats suggest that we’ll see both teams finding the net, with the Copa del Rey final set to feature goals. We find the odds of -130 attractive when it comes to the BTTS Yes option.

A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key Copa del Rey stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad Copa del Rey & league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Atléti games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 straight Atléti games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Sociedad games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Sociedad games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight Sociedad games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 games between these teams.

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 56.5% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re looking for bigger odds about BTTS Yes, then why not combine this selection with some of the other available betting markets in a Bet Builder.

Don’t miss the chance to claim free bets using our exclusive betting promo codes —check our bonus guide before placing your bets.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -130 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 16, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 1 - 1 Sociedad

An exciting wager could be the final to end in a 1-1 draw after 90 minutes at odds of +550. A correct score bet provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gonçalo Guedes Over 1.5 Shots -105

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad) has covered the 1.5 shots total in eight of his past ten matches. He certainly looks capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -105 are currently on offer.

Latest Gonçalo Guedes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+1100

Shots

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

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Carlos Soler to Score +700

Carlos Soler (Sociedad) has registered two goals in his past nine matches. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +700.

Latest Carlos Soler Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+575

First

+1500

Shots

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Atlético Madrid are the -120 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 55% chance of winning the Copa del Rey final according to the latest betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +320 about Real Sociedad.

There are two Asian Handicap options and they are Atléti -0.5 at -120 or alternatively Sociedad +0.5. Either go for the favourites to win or opt for the latter and get the draw on your side at -102.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -172.

The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Copa del Rey matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-120

X

+270

2

+320

Half-Time Result

1

+132

X

+135

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-370

X2

-109

Draw No Bet

1

-286

2

+188

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-120

2 Hcp +0.5

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+115

Over 2.5

-149

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+123

You will find favourite Alexander Sørloth at +255 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get -125 that he finds the net any time.

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

-125

Anytime

+255

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

-105

Anytime

+290

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

First

+190

Anytime

+550

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Sociedad)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

First

+380

Anytime

+1100

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

First

+380

Anytime

+1100

Jon Karrikaburu (Sociedad)

First

+380

Anytime

+1100

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+430

Anytime

+1200

Takefusa Kubo (Sociedad)

First

+440

Anytime

+1200

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+460

Anytime

+1300

Brais Méndez (Sociedad)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Yangel Herrera (Sociedad)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Arsen Zakharyan (Sociedad)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Robin Le Normand (Atléti)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Sociedad)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Brais Méndez (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Takefusa Kubo (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Jon Karrikaburu (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Yangel Herrera (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Arsen Zakharyan (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa del Rey and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Atlético Madrid Stats

Real Sociedad Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 6.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.11 corners awarded and 4.56 corners against in the last 9 away matches
• An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.67 corners awarded in the last 9 away matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 9 away matches

Possession

• An average of 51.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 52.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 54.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 53.89% possession in the last 9 away matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 9 away matches

Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Atléti vs Sociedad team news before betting. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Copa del Rey lineups and the latest on injuries.

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