Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2026

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Lithuania Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -123

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

The best plan could involve backing Lithuania with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -123 when clashing with Azerbaijan. Our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, allowing us to land a return in the event of a draw.

Explore our full Azerbaijan vs Lithuania betting preview, which features the complete write-up for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score pick, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Preview

Azerbaijan welcome Lithuania to Neftci Arena, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 4 October.

Azerbaijan had a 0-0 Nations League draw in their last game. This was at home to Liechtenstein at Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium. Aykhan Abbasov's team recorded a whopping 74% of possession and had five shots on target.

H2H: 1-1 Draw When Teams Last Clashed

We saw Azerbaijan draw 1-1 away to Lithuania at Dariaus Ir Gireno Stadium when the teams last went head-to-head.

Nations League D		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Lithuania	2	1	1	0	3	1	2	3:1	4
2	Azerbaijan	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	1:1	2

View Full Table

6 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.4 goals from 2.2 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts. Azerbaijan have had 41.0% possession and 3.1 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 2.3 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts, while being awarded 5.6 corners.

The three top scorers are Mahir Emreli, Renat Dadashov and Emin Makhmudov, with these players all scoring 1 goals. Rahman Dashdamirov is the leading assists maker on 1.

Lithuania have 1 victory, 5 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 0.9 goals from 7.9 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 46.2% possession, 2.8 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 10.7 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Gvidas Gineitis got 3 goals, Armandas Kucys notched 2, while Lukas Michelbrink and two other players scored 1. Gvidas Gineitis is top assists provider with 2, while Edvinas Gertmonas has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Main Match Prediction

If you echo our view that Lithuania can swerve defeat in this Nations League encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at -123. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Lithuania in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Azerbaijan in 15 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Azerbaijan in 18 of their last 20 games.

The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest Nations League team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 55.2% prospect of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Want to back Lithuania to cover the line at bigger odds? Get more juice by taking the Bet Builder route where different legs can be combined to good effect.

Ready to wager? Discover top betting deals and find the most valuable sportsbook promo codes in our trusted bonus guide filled with perks.

Lithuania Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -123 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 2, 15:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Azerbaijan 0 - 1 Lithuania

We’re taking a chance on Lithuania to achieve a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +510 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Corners Prediction

Under 8.5 Corners -141

All of the past four Lithuania away matches has seen the 8.5 Total Corners line not covered, with two  consecutive Azerbaijan games having the same outcome. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line is too high, go for odds of -141 that the teams go under.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Azerbaijan

Total

8.70 3.10 5.60

Home

11.20 4.30 6.90

Away

8.40 2.90 5.50

Lithuania

Total

7.50 2.80 4.70

Home

8.10 3.10 5.00

Away

7.50 3.00 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-139

Azerbaijan Corners

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-147

Lithuania Corners

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-118

Most Corners

1

-149

X

+440

2

+115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Azerbaijan at +128 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 44% chance of winning this Nations League clash based on the betting odds. Lithuania are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +240.

If you fancy Azerbaijan but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -185. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Lithuania at +125 on the Draw No Bet market.

For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. If you think at least one side will keep a clean sheet, then Both Teams to Score No is -161.

The best betting apps always do a great job when it comes to Nations League matches. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.

Full-Time Result

1

+128

X

+195

2

+240

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

-106

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-385

12

-294

X2

-182

Draw No Bet

1

-185

2

+125

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-116

2 Hcp +0.25

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-222

Over 2.5

+165

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+112

No

-161

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Azerbaijan Stats

Lithuania Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.40 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 5.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 6.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 2.80 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 7.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 41.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 44.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 46.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 50.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Azerbaijan vs Lithuania team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Nations League together with updated injury news.

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages