Bahia vs Fluminense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Feb 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Bahia vs Fluminense

Bahia square off against Fluminense, with kick-off set for 17:00 on Thursday 5 February.

We’re more than happy with the odds of -143 when it comes to betting Under 2.5 Goals, with the Total Goals market affording us this price. Bahia and Fluminense might not net too many between them.

Going with our Total Goals prediction? Make sure you’ve got the latest BetMGM promo code, then check out our in-depth site review before getting involved.

Bahia won their last game 2-1. This was an away victory against Corinthians. The Squad of Steel recorded six shots on target and had 41% possession, while Jean Lucas and Willian Jose scored one goal each.

Fluminense claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-1 victory occurred against Grêmio. Luis Zubeldia's side were 51% in the possession stakes and had six shots on goal, with Nonato and Luciano Acosta on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fluminense have beaten Bahia 2-0 and 2-0 in their last two encounters, with both being home clashes. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we have seen five Fluminense victories, four Bahia wins and one draw.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Fluminense	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	3:2	4
6	Bahia	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	3:2	4

View Full Table

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts. Bahia have had 54.8% possession and 5.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.9 corners.

Willian Jose is the top goalscorer with 5, Tiago Carvalho has 2, with Jean Lucas and two other players on 1. Ademir Santos is the leading assists maker on 4.

Fluminense have 7 victories, 1 defeat and 2 draws, with an average of 1.6 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 49.6% possession, 3.9 corners awarded and 5.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.5 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts.

Kevin Serna is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Nonato, Luciano Acosta, Yeferson Soteldo and Agustin Canobbio have 2. Kevin Serna has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.

Confirmed Lineups

Bahia confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Gilberto Junior, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba, Everton Ribeiro, Nicolas Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Ademir Santos, Willian Jose, Erick Pulga.

Fluminense confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Fabio (GK), Samuel Xavier, Jemmes, Juan Freytes, Rene, Nonato, Martinelli, Agustin Canobbio, Luciano Acosta, Kevin Serna, John Kennedy.

Bahia vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips

We bring you the complete Bahia vs Fluminense betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, key corners pick, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Our research tells us that odds of -143 about Under 2.5 Goals looks like a solid wager for this Série A clash. This bet has a strong chance of landing a return according to the numbers.

Our job is to consult the latest Série A team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.

Key Bahia vs Fluminense league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Bahia games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Bahia games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Bahia games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Fluminense games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Fluminense games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 58.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There are bigger odds on the cards if you combine the Under 2.5 Goals selection on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. BTTS No is the other pick that you can include here.

Before you place your next wager, browse our guide for top betting offers including the latest free bets and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -143 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (23:07, 03 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 1 - 1 Fluminense

There are odds of +440 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Agustín Canobbio to Score +525

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense) has racked up two goals in his past four Série A games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +525 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Agustín Canobbio Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+480

First

+1100

Shots

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Bahia To Have Most Corners -161

Bahia have had a higher corner count in seven consecutive home games. Bahia can win the Corner Match Bet and there’s an appealing -161 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bahia

Total

10.70 5.80 4.90

Home

8.90 6.10 2.80

Away

10.20 4.20 6.00

Fluminense

Total

9.00 3.90 5.10

Home

8.30 4.90 3.40

Away

9.30 4.00 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

-105

Bahia Corners

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-123

Fluminense Corners

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+114

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+650

2

+175

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bahia vs Fluminense Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Série A clash, Bahia are the +107 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 48% chance of winning. The market suggests that Fluminense are least likely to win at +265.

A win for Bahia would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get -128 that they overcome Fluminense going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -130 on the BTTS market.

The best football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Série A game and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+107

X

+225

2

+265

Half-Time Result

1

+165

X

+117

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-385

12

-333

X2

-143

Draw No Bet

1

-217

2

+150

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-128

2 Hcp +0.25

+102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-135

Over 2.5

+105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-130

No

-109

There is +190 available that Willian José finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +400.

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+190

Anytime

+400

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Jefferson Savarino (Fluminense)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Lezcano, Rubén (PRY) (Fluminense)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Nonato (Fluminense)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Lezcano, Rubén (PRY) (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

Jefferson Savarino (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Nonato (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Bahia vs Fluminense Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Bahia vs Fluminense team news before you bet. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A and the newest injury information.

Bahia Team Page Fluminense Team Page

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