Bahia vs Palmeiras Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Apr 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Bahia vs Palmeiras

Bahia square off against Brazilian Série leaders Palmeiras at the Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Sunday 5 April.

We’ll split our stake by backing Bahia +0.25 at odds of -152 for this Asian Handicap wager. It means we have a return if they draw but a nice payout should the home team claim a victory against Palmeiras.

The last league game involving Bahia saw them triumph 3-0. They made it back-to-back Série A home victories when beating Athletico Paranaense. The Salvador club enjoyed 52% possession and six shots on target, with Everaldo scoring two goals and Luciano Juba registering the other.

Palmeiras have won four on the bounce after recently recording a 2-1 home win against Grêmio. Abel Ferreira's side racked up four shots on goal and boasted 65% possession, with Marlon Freitas finding the net twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Bahia have claimed victories in the last two clashes against Palmeiras. A 1-0 home success was preceded by a 1-0 away win. We’ve seen five Palmeiras wins, three Bahia victories and two draws for the past 10 matches involving these teams.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Palmeiras	16	10	5	1	26	13	13	26:13	35
7	Bahia	15	6	5	4	21	19	2	21:19	23

View Full Table

Bahia have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts. The Squad of Steel have averaged 52.0% possession and 5.3 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.9 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 9.6 attempts and 4.6 corners.

Luciano Juba leads the way with 4 goals, Everaldo has 3, with Willian Jose and Jean Lucas scoring 2. Jean Lucas and Everton Ribeiro have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Palmeiras have 8 victories, 1 defeat and 1 draw, with an average of 5.0 shots on goal, 9.7 attempts and 2.2 goals. The São Paulo outfit average 48.4% possession, 4.9 corners taken and 6.9 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 8.7 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Jose Lopez is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, while Allan and Vitor Roque both have 3. Andreas Pereira is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 8.

Confirmed Lineups

Bahia confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Leo Vieira (GK), Nicolas Acevedo, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba, Everton Ribeiro, Caio Alexandre, Jean Lucas, Cristian Olivera, Everaldo, Erick Pulga.

Palmeiras confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Carlos Miguel (GK), Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Arthur Gabriel, Marlon Freitas, Andreas Pereira, Allan, Mauricio, Jhon Arias, Jose Lopez.

Bahia vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips

Gear up for Bahia vs Palmeiras with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

When Bahia line up for this Série A game, we will back them at -152 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Série A form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Bahia vs Palmeiras league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Bahia in 6 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Bahia in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Bahia in 18 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Bahia in 2 consecutive games against Palmeiras.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 60.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Bahia to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

Top up your wagering strategy by unlocking the top betting offers including free bets, promos, and sign-up deals.

Our Match Prediction

Bahia Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -152 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 4, 01:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 1 - 0 Palmeiras

The Squad of Steel can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +650 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Luciano Juba to Score +800

Luciano Juba (Bahia) has racked up three goals in his past five Série A home matches. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +800 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Luciano Juba Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+2000

Shots

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Bahia Over 4.5 Corners -137

Bahia have been awarded an average of 7.10 corners in the past 10 home matches, while the corner count against Palmeiras has been more than 4.5 in the previous nine away games. We recommend backing the -137 that Bahia are able to cover the line, with this Team Corners bet landing a handsome potential return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bahia

Total

9.90 5.30 4.60

Home

10.40 7.10 3.30

Away

10.90 4.40 6.50

Palmeiras

Total

11.80 4.90 6.90

Home

11.20 6.50 4.70

Away

12.50 4.40 8.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-102

Under 10.5

-139

Bahia Corners

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-147

Palmeiras Corners

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-123

Most Corners

1

-128

X

+650

2

+130

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bahia vs Palmeiras Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have betting odds of +160 for Bahia to triumph in this Série A clash, with Palmeiras trading at a price of +180 if you think they’ll win, while the draw is chalked up at +210.

If you fancy Bahia but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -130. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Palmeiras at -109 on the Draw No Bet market.

If you want to back how many goals will be scored, you can get similar odds on Over or Under 2.5 Goals. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -156.

The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Série A games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.

Full-Time Result

1

+160

X

+210

2

+180

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

+120

2

+225

Double Chance

1X

-244

12

-286

X2

-213

Draw No Bet

1

-130

2

-109

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+120

2 Hcp +0.25

-149

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-115

Over 2.5

-111

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-156

No

+112

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira is the market leader at +475 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+180

Anytime

+475

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+190

Anytime

+525

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

First

+210

Anytime

+550

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

First

+340

Anytime

+900

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (Palmeiras)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Luciano Juba (Bahia)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-159

Under 2.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Luciano Juba (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-

Bahia vs Palmeiras Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Bahia vs Palmeiras team news before betting. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and the latest injury reports.

Bahia Team Page Palmeiras Team Page

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