Bayern Munich vs PSG Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 May 2026

Champions League Semi-Final Betting Preview: Bayern Munich vs PSG

Bayern Munich host PSG in the second leg of this UEFA Champions League semi-final at Allianz Arena, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 6 May. PSG won the first leg 5-4.

The standout bet can be found in the Full-Time Result market, where Bayern Munich are currently priced at -154. Bayern boast a perfect home record in the Champions League this season, winning six from six, and they have also won the last two meetings with PSG at Allianz Arena.

Considering their strong home form, head-to-head edge, underlying xG data and the fact they must win this tie, we expect Bayern to overcome PSG, making this a value play.

Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich were held to a 3-3 draw at home by Heidenheim at Allianz Arena on Saturday. The Bavarians had an impressive 75% of possession and managed seven shots on target, with Leon Goretzka getting two goals and Michael Olise scoring the other.

Ligue 1 leaders Paris Saint-Germain played out a 2-2 draw at home to Lorient at Parc des Princes on Saturday night. Luis Enrique's team racked up six shots on goal and boasted 69% possession, with Ibrahim Mbaye and Warren Zaire-Emery on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In a thrilling first leg, PSG secured a 5-4 home win at Parc des Princes. Bayern Munich enjoyed 55% possession and edged shots on target 7-5, with Harry Kane, Michael Olise, Dayot Upamecano and Luis Diaz all scoring. For PSG, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Ousmane Dembele both struck twice, while Joao Neves added the other.

The past 8 matches between the teams have seen Bayern win six times and PSG rack up two victories.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Bayern Munich	8	7	0	1	22	8	14	22:8	21
11	PSG	8	4	2	2	21	11	10	21:11	14

View Full Table

Bayern have 8 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, averaging 3.7 goals from 20.9 attempts and 7.9 shots on goal. Vincent Kompany's side have averaged 66.7% possession, 670.7 passes and 8.3 corners per game, conceding 2.0 goals and 3.6 corners from 12.6 attempts and 5.9 shots on goal.

Top scorer is Harry Kane on 8 goals, while Michael Olise has racked up 6 and Luis Diaz 4. Konrad Laimer is the top assists maker on 4, with goalkeepers Jonas Urbig and Manuel Neuer managing 2 clean sheets between them.

PSG have won 8, lost 1 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.8 goals from 6.7 shots on goal and 15.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 65.2% possession, 657.8 passes, 5.6 corners taken and 4.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has top scored with 7 goals, while Ousmane Dembele and Desire Doue are next on 6 and 3. Desire Doue, Ousmane Dembele and Achraf Hakimi have all made 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Matvey Safonov has 6 clean sheets.

Confirmed Lineups

Bayern Munich confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer (GK), Konrad Laimer, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Josip Stanisic, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Michael Olise, Jamal Musiala, Luis Diaz, Harry Kane.

PSG confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matvey Safonov (GK), Warren Zaire-Emery, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes, Joao Neves, Vitinha, Fabian Ruiz, Desire Doue, Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.

Bayern Munich vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Bayern Munich vs PSG betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our corners angle, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Match Prediction

Bayern Munich look like a spot of value at -154 when it comes to the latest betting. They should be able to deliver a victory in this Champions League semi-final based on the information available and we’re feeling confident.

Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest Champions League team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.

Key Bayern Munich vs PSG Champions League & league stats:

• Bayern have won 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• Bayern have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Bayern have won all 6 Champions League home games this season
• Bayern have won 6 of their last 8 games against PSG.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 60.6% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you think Bayern will win and keep a clean sheet, there is the opportunity to back them to win + Both Teams to Score No at a bigger price than the Full-Time Result selection.

Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.

Our Match Prediction

Bayern To Win @ -154 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 4, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bayern 3 - 1 PSG

You can secure odds of +950 that the Bavarians are able to land a 3-1 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Michael Olise Over 3.5 Shots -102

Michael Olise (Bayern) has covered the 3.5 shots total in five consecutive games on home soil. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -102.

Latest Michael Olise Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+130

First

+500

Shots

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-

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Harry Kane to Score -167

Harry Kane (Bayern) has been among the goals in seven of his past eight matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of -167 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Harry Kane Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-159

First

+290

Shots

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners -115

All of the past four Bayern Munich home matches have seen the 10.5 Total Corners line covered, with an average of 12.20 corners in the previous five PSG games. We’re content to wager the -115 for the teams to cover the Total Corners line as this looks appealing.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bayern

Total

11.90 8.30 3.60

Home

11.10 8.70 2.40

Away

9.30 5.50 3.80

PSG

Total

10.10 5.60 4.50

Home

9.50 6.30 3.20

Away

9.90 5.70 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-139

Under 10.5

-103

Bayern Corners

Over 6.5

-132

Under 6.5

-108

PSG Corners

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

-108

Most Corners

1

-333

X

+800

2

+290

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bayern Munich vs PSG Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Bayern Munich at -175 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 64% chance of winning this Champions League semi-final based on the betting odds. Paris Saint-Germain are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +330.

Bayern winning by one goal means that the Asian Handicap -1 selection would get a full refund. However, you would get paid out at -111 if they manage to beat PSG by two or more.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -385 on the Both Teams to Score market.

For those wagering on Champions League matches, it’s all about heading to the best football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

-175

X

+440

2

+330

Half-Time Result

1

+107

X

+195

2

+280

Double Chance

1X

-476

12

-667

X2

+132

Draw No Bet

1

-345

2

+225

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-111

2 Hcp +1

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+370

Over 2.5

-526

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-385

No

+270

Favourite Harry Kane is now available at +290 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Harry Kane (Bayern)

First

-159

Anytime

+290

Luis Díaz (Bayern)

First

+105

Anytime

+420

Ousmane Dembélé (PSG)

First

+123

Anytime

+475

Michael Olise (Bayern)

First

+130

Anytime

+500

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG)

First

+150

Anytime

+575

Raphaël Guerreiro (Bayern)

First

+160

Anytime

+600

Jamal Musiala (Bayern)

First

+205

Anytime

+750

Lennart Karl (Bayern)

First

+205

Anytime

+800

Bradley Barcola (PSG)

First

+230

Anytime

+850

Désiré Doué (PSG)

First

+240

Anytime

+950

Senny Mayulu (PSG)

First

+400

Anytime

+1600

Leon Goretzka (Bayern)

First

+400

Anytime

+1500

Kang-In Lee (PSG)

First

+400

Anytime

+1400

Nuno Mendes (PSG)

First

+450

Anytime

+1700

Joao Neves (PSG)

First

+500

Anytime

+1800

Joshua Kimmich (Bayern)

First

+550

Anytime

+2000

Fabián Ruiz (PSG)

First

+575

Anytime

+2000

Vitinha (PSG)

First

+575

Anytime

+2000

Aleksandar Pavlovic (Bayern)

First

+600

Anytime

+2200

Alphonso Davies (Bayern)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

Jonathan Tah (Bayern)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

Josip Stanisic (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Konrad Laimer (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Harry Kane (Bayern)

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-

Michael Olise (Bayern)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-

Luis Díaz (Bayern)

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-

Ousmane Dembélé (PSG)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

Raphaël Guerreiro (Bayern)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Jamal Musiala (Bayern)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Lennart Karl (Bayern)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Bradley Barcola (PSG)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Désiré Doué (PSG)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Senny Mayulu (PSG)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Kang-In Lee (PSG)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Aleksandar Pavlovic (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Josip Stanisic (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Jonathan Tah (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-

Alphonso Davies (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

Leon Goretzka (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Vitinha (PSG)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Fabián Ruiz (PSG)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Joshua Kimmich (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Joao Neves (PSG)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Nuno Mendes (PSG)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Konrad Laimer (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Bayern Munich Stats

PSG Stats

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 3.70 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 5.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 10 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 8.30 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.70 corners awarded and 2.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 11.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 10 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 66.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 65.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 65.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 66.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches

Bayern Munich vs PSG Lineups & Team News

The latest Bayern vs PSG team news could impact your bets — review it first. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups and the latest injury reports.

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