Belgium vs Italy Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Nov 2026
Belgium vs Italy Predictions
We think there’s a good angle when it comes to Over 2.5 for the clash between Belgium and Italy. Our opinion is that the Total Goals market affords great value and we will snap up the -156 on offer.
Read our in-depth Belgium vs Italy betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Belgium vs Italy Preview
Belgium welcome Italy to Koning Boudewijnstadion, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 15 November.
Belgium triumphed in their last game which was away from home in the Nations League. Turkey were beaten 2-1 at Gursel Aksel Stadium. Mark van Bommel's men had 49% possession and six shots on target, with Kevin De Bruyne and Charles De Ketelaere scoring one goal apiece.
Italy won their previous game which was at home. It was a 3-1 Nations League victory against France at San Siro. Gli Azzurri were restricted to just 35% possession and had five shots on goal, with Francesco Pio Esposito finding the net twice and Davide Frattesi bagging one.
H2H: 2-0 Win for Belgium in Last Head-to-Head Clash
Belgium won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 2-0 away triumph when facing Italy at Stadio Olimpico. In the past 5 H2H meetings, we have seen three Italy wins, one Belgium victory and one draw.
| Nations League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Italy |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 3 |  Belgium |
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8:6 | 9 |
Belgium have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.1 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 16.4 attempts. The Red Devils have averaged 47.3% possession, 475.6 passes and 3.9 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.2 goals from 5.5 shots on goal, 14.6 attempts and 4.3 corners.
Kevin De Bruyne, Charles De Ketelaere and Romelu Lukaku lead the way with 4 goals, while Dodi Lukebakio has scored 2. Charles De Ketelaere, Hans Vanaken and Leandro Trossard are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Thibaut Courtois managing one clean sheet.
Italy have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 2.1 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 16.0 attempts. Roberto Mancini's side have averaged 49.0% possession, 493.1 passes, 5.6 corners taken and 5.1 corners against, while conceding 1.5 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 14.2 attempts.
Francesco Pio Esposito is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, while Davide Frattesi, Alessandro Bastoni, Moise Kean and Gianluca Mancini have 2. Federico Dimarco has been the top assist maker on 4, with Gianluigi Donnarumma and Guglielmo Vicario collectively notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Main Match Prediction
The odds for Over 2.5 Goals is -156 and we think that this price looks really appealing. The two teams should combine to cover the line in this Nations League encounter and it’s a value wager.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Our Nations League experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.
The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 61% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
There are alternatives to this pick including Over 3.5 Goals where bettors can get a bigger price. You need at least four to be bagged in order to trigger a pay out with this wager.
Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Italy
Belgium are available at +700 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Antonio Vergara (Italy) can be backed at +106 to have one or more shots on goal. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.
Romelu Lukaku (Belgium) has found the net in his past two home games. We’re content to land the +128 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Italy have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in six straight matches, while the previous 10 Belgium home games have seen them concede an average of 3.10 corners. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -161 for this Italy Team Corners bet.
Belgium
Italy
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a same-game multi and our picks are three or more goals to be scored, Belgium to win combined with Antonio Vergara (Italy) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.
Belgium vs Italy Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a roughly 49% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their +105 betting odds for Belgium winning this Nations League clash. Italy are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +220.
Belgium are -128 at -0.25 on the Asian Handicap and this gives you a half stake refund in the event of a draw. However, you get a full payout on your wager if they manage to beat Italy.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -179 on the Both Teams to Score market.
The top football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Nations League matches. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Belgium Stats
Italy Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Belgium vs Italy Lineups & Team News
Previous Belgium Lineups
Previous Italy Lineups
Belgium Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Mark van Bommel
Italy Player Stats & Squad
Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Italy | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 2 | France | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Belgium | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Turkey | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Greece | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:10 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Serbia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | 15 |
| 2 | England | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Croatia | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:16 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
Norway
Wales
Predictions
14:45 - Sat 14 Nov
UEFA Nations League
Portugal
Denmark
Predictions
14:45 - Sun 15 Nov
UEFA Nations League
Spain
England
Predictions
14:45 - Sun 15 Nov
UEFA Nations League
France
Turkey
Predictions
14:45 - Sun 15 Nov
UEFA Nations League
Croatia
Czech Republic
Predictions
Oklahoma City Thunder
LA Clippers
Predictions
22:30 - Fri 13 Nov
NCAAB
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Cal Baptist
Predictions
03:30 - Sat 14 Nov
NBL
Melbourne United
SEM Phoenix
Predictions
05:00 - Sat 14 Nov
BSL
Petkim Spor
Turk Telekom
Predictions
05:30 - Sat 14 Nov
NBL
Perth Wildcats
Illawarra Hawks
Predictions
07:30 - Sat 14 Nov
League Two
Exeter
Cheltenham
Predictions
Where to Bet on Football Games
Where to Trade Football Games
Availability varies by jurisdiction. Some platforms featured may not be accessible in your location. Please check the relevant review page for details.
Top Football Pages
- Football Predictions
- Football Lineups
- Football Injuries
- Football Fixtures
- Football Standings
- Football Transfer News
- Football Live Streaming
- Football Betting Sites
- Football Betting Explained
- FIFA World Cup Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Predictions
- Premier League Predictions
- La Liga Predictions
- Serie A Predictions
- Bundesliga Predictions