Burgos vs Almería Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 May 2026

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Burgos vs Almería

Burgos host Almería at Estadio El Plantio, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Saturday 9 May.

If you agree with our verdict that Burgos are going to beat Almería, consider backing them at -147 on the Asian Handicap 0.0. There’s money back if the game finishes level.

Burgos played out a 0-0 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Reale Arena against Real Sociedad B. Luis Ramis' team recorded one shot on target and had 51% possession.

Almería beat Mirandés in their previous game, making it three consecutive wins. It was a 4-2 home triumph at UD Almeria Stadium. The Andalusia club boasted 60% possession and recorded three shots on goal, while Leo Baptistao, Juan Gutierrez (own goal), Fernando Medrano (own goal) and Jon Morcillo were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Burgos have won the last two head-to-heads against Almería. Travelling to UD Almeria Stadium, a 2-1 win was achieved following a 3-1 home victory at Estadio El Plantio. The past 5 meetings between these teams have seen three Almería wins and two Burgos triumphs.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Almería	38	21	7	10	78	58	20	78:58	70
7	Burgos	38	17	11	10	44	33	11	44:33	62

View Full Table

5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 6.4 attempts. Burgos have had 45.6% possession and 2.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.7 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts, while being awarded 5.1 corners.

Top goalscorer is Curro Sanchez on 4 goals, while Fer Nino and David Gonzalez have both bagged 2. Curro Sanchez is the leading assists maker with 3.

Almería have won 7 and lost 3, with an average of 2.5 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts. Rubi's side have averaged 51.5% possession, 3.7 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.8 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Sergio Arribas has scored 9, followed by Adrian Embarba on 4 and Leo Baptistao with 3. Alex Munoz has managed to clock up 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Burgos predicted lineup (4-4-2): Ander Cantero Armendariz (GK), Aitor Buñuel, Sergio Gonzalez, Grego Sierra, Florian Miguel, David González, Iván Morante, Miguel Angel Atienza, Iñigo Córdoba, Fernando Niño, Curro.

Almería predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Andres Fernandez (GK), Marcos Luna, Rodrigo Ely, Federico Bonini, Álex Muñoz, Dion Lopy, Stefan Dzodic, Leo Baptistao, Sergio Arribas, Adrián Embarba, Miguel de la Fuente.

Burgos vs Almería Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Burgos vs Almería betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

We think Burgos are a good bet at 0.0 on the Asian Handicap for this La Liga 2 game. This selection makes appeal at odds of -147, with a win expected for the home team.

The first step involves analysing the form and also getting an idea of the injury situation before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of consulting the latest La Liga 2 stats and seeing if they can inform our opinion.

Key Burgos vs Almería league stats:

• The 0.0 line has been covered by Burgos in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The 0.0 line has been covered by Burgos in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Almería in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Almería in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The 0.0 line has been covered by Burgos in 2 consecutive games against Almería.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 59.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Those wanting an alternative to Asian Handicap can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on Burgos and their performance.

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Our Match Prediction

Burgos Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 7, 16:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Burgos 1 - 0 Almería

An exciting bet could be a 1-0 victory in favor of Burgos at odds of +510. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Fer Niño To Score +210

Fer Niño (Burgos) is available to be among the goals at +210. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Fer Niño Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+450

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Almería Under 4.5 Corners -147

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Almería in their past three away games, with the corner count against Burgos going under 4.5 in their last three home matches. The Almería Team Corners line looks too high and we’re content to go under this number at odds of -147.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Burgos

Total

7.90 2.80 5.10

Home

8.50 3.80 4.70

Away

7.70 2.80 4.90

Almería

Total

8.60 3.70 4.90

Home

8.60 4.40 4.20

Away

8.90 3.80 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-141

Burgos Corners

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-122

Almería Corners

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-112

X

+600

2

+115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Burgos vs Almería Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have chalked up the draw at +210 on the 1x2 betting, with Burgos available to bet at odds of +138. Almería are +188 to claim victory in this La Liga 2 encounter.

It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +108. Alternatively, Burgos can be backed at +200 and Almería are on offer at +250.

For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -130.

The best football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the La Liga 2 matches.

Full-Time Result

1

+138

X

+210

2

+188

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+108

2

+250

Double Chance

1X

-286

12

-333

X2

-204

Draw No Bet

1

-147

2

+102

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-100

2 Hcp +0.25

-143

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+106

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-130

No

-115

Sergio Arribas is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +450. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +195.

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

First

+195

Anytime

+450

Fer Niño (Burgos)

First

+210

Anytime

+450

Curro Sanchez (Burgos)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

David González Ballesteros (Burgos)

First

+285

Anytime

+600

Adri Embarba (Almería)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Miguel De La Fuente (Almería)

First

+325

Anytime

+700

Iñigo Córdoba (Burgos)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Ibrahima Koné (Almería)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Jon Morcillo (Almería)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

First

+375

Anytime

+800

Kevin Appin (Burgos)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Patrick Soko (Almería)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Marcelo Expósito Jiménez (Burgos)

First

+460

Anytime

+1000

Nicolás Melamed (Almería)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Pablo Galdames (Burgos)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Ivan Morante (Burgos)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Iddrisu Baba (Almería)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Florian Miguel (Burgos)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Miguel Atienza (Burgos)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Grego Sierra (Burgos)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Sergio González (Burgos)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Brais Martínez (Burgos)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Rodrigo Ely (Almería)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Burgos haven’t lost any of their past ten games at Estadio El Plantio. Luis Ramis' team have recorded six victories and four draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 0.50.

Almería have clocked up five losses, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.90.

The past meeting at Estadio El Plantio saw Burgos defeat Almería 3-1.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Burgos Home Stats		6-4-0	2.00	1.50	0.50	2	8	5	5
Almería Away Stats		3-2-5	3.30	1.40	1.90	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Burgos vs Almería Lineups & Team News

The Burgos vs Almería team news could change everything — review it before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Burgos Team Page Almería Team Page

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