Burgos vs Almería Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 May 2026

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Burgos vs Almería

Seventh-placed Burgos host third-placed Almería at Estadio El Plantio, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Saturday 9 May.

If you agree with our verdict that Burgos are going to beat Almería, consider backing them at -147 on the Asian Handicap 0.0. There’s money back if the game finishes level.

Burgos played out a 0-0 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Reale Arena against Real Sociedad B. Luis Ramis' team recorded one shot on target and had 51% possession.

Almería beat Mirandés in their previous game, making it three consecutive wins. It was a 4-2 home triumph at UD Almeria Stadium. The Andalusia club boasted 60% possession and recorded three shots on goal, while Leo Baptistao, Juan Gutierrez (own goal), Fernando Medrano (own goal) and Jon Morcillo were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Burgos have won the last two head-to-heads against Almería. Travelling to UD Almeria Stadium, a 2-1 win was achieved following a 3-1 home victory at Estadio El Plantio. The past 5 meetings between these teams have seen three Almería wins and two Burgos triumphs.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Almería	42	22	8	12	81	63	18	81:63	74
7	Burgos	42	20	12	10	48	33	15	48:33	72

View Full Table

5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 6.4 attempts. Burgos have had 45.6% possession and 2.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.7 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts, while being awarded 5.1 corners.

Top goalscorer is Curro Sanchez on 4 goals, while Fer Nino and David Gonzalez have both bagged 2. Curro Sanchez is the leading assists maker with 3.

Almería have won 7 and lost 3, with an average of 2.5 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts. Rubi's side have averaged 51.5% possession, 3.7 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.8 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Sergio Arribas has scored 9, followed by Adrian Embarba on 4 and Leo Baptistao with 3. Alex Munoz has managed to clock up 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Burgos confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Ander Cantero (GK), Alex Lizancos, Sergio Gonzalez, Grego Sierra, Florian Miguel, Victor Mollejo, Ivan Morante, Miguel Atienza, Inigo Cordoba, Fer Nino, Curro Sanchez.

Almería confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Andres Fernandez (GK), Marcos Luna, Rodrigo Ely, Federico Bonini, Alex Munoz, Dion Lopy, Stefan Dzodic, Leo Baptistao, Sergio Arribas, Adrian Embarba, Miguel de la Fuente.

Burgos vs Almería Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Burgos vs Almería betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

We think Burgos are a good bet at 0.0 on the Asian Handicap for this La Liga 2 game. This selection makes appeal at odds of -147, with a win expected for the home team.

The first step involves analysing the form and also getting an idea of the injury situation before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of consulting the latest La Liga 2 stats and seeing if they can inform our opinion.

Key Burgos vs Almería league stats:

• The 0.0 line has been covered by Burgos in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The 0.0 line has been covered by Burgos in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Almería in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Almería in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The 0.0 line has been covered by Burgos in 2 consecutive games against Almería.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 59.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Those wanting an alternative to Asian Handicap can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on Burgos and their performance.

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Our Match Prediction

Burgos Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -147 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 7, 16:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Burgos 1 - 0 Almería

An exciting bet could be a 1-0 victory in favor of Burgos at odds of +550. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Fer Niño To Score +210

Fer Niño (Burgos) is available to be among the goals at +210. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Fer Niño Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+215

First

+480

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Almería Under 4.5 Corners -147

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Almería in their past three away games, with the corner count against Burgos going under 4.5 in their last three home matches. The Almería Team Corners line looks too high and we’re content to go under this number at odds of -147.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Burgos

Total

7.90 2.80 5.10

Home

8.50 3.80 4.70

Away

7.70 2.80 4.90

Almería

Total

8.60 3.70 4.90

Home

8.60 4.40 4.20

Away

8.90 3.80 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-130

Burgos Corners

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-128

Almería Corners

Over 4.5

-119

Under 4.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-100

X

+600

2

+102

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Burgos vs Almería Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have chalked up the draw at +220 on the 1x2 betting, with Burgos available to bet at odds of +155. Almería are +163 to claim victory in this La Liga 2 encounter.

It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +114. Alternatively, Burgos can be backed at +210 and Almería are on offer at +220.

For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -143.

The best football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the La Liga 2 matches.

Full-Time Result

1

+155

X

+220

2

+163

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

+114

2

+220

Double Chance

1X

-244

12

-345

X2

-233

Draw No Bet

1

-122

2

-115

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+115

2 Hcp +0.25

-161

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-132

Over 2.5

-109

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

-103

Sergio Arribas is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +380. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +150.

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

First

+380

Anytime

+150

Fer Niño (Burgos)

First

+480

Anytime

+215

Curro Sanchez (Burgos)

First

+600

Anytime

+270

David González Ballesteros (Burgos)

First

+650

Anytime

+280

Miguel De La Fuente (Almería)

First

+650

Anytime

+290

Adri Embarba (Almería)

First

+700

Anytime

+295

Ibrahima Koné (Almería)

First

+750

Anytime

+320

Jon Morcillo (Almería)

First

+700

Anytime

+330

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

First

+750

Anytime

+330

Iñigo Córdoba (Burgos)

First

+750

Anytime

+340

Patrick Soko (Almería)

First

+850

Anytime

+350

Kevin Appin (Burgos)

First

+800

Anytime

+375

Marcelo Expósito Jiménez (Burgos)

First

+1000

Anytime

+430

Nicolás Melamed (Almería)

First

+1050

Anytime

+480

Pablo Galdames (Burgos)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Ivan Morante (Burgos)

First

+1500

Anytime

+700

Iddrisu Baba (Almería)

First

+1500

Anytime

+700

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Florian Miguel (Burgos)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Miguel Atienza (Burgos)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

Grego Sierra (Burgos)

First

+1900

Anytime

+900

Sergio González (Burgos)

First

+2000

Anytime

+950

Nélson Monte (Almería)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Brais Martínez (Burgos)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1100

Rodrigo Ely (Almería)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1150

Stats: La Liga 2 matches only
Burgos haven’t lost any of their past ten games at Estadio El Plantio. Blanquinegros have recorded six victories and four draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 0.50.

Almería have clocked up five losses, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.90.

The past meeting at Estadio El Plantio saw Burgos defeat Almería 3-1.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Burgos Home Stats		6-4-0	2.00	1.50	0.50	2	8	5	5
Almería Away Stats		3-2-5	3.30	1.40	1.90	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Burgos vs Almería Lineups & Team News

The Burgos vs Almería team news could change everything — review it before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Burgos Team Page Almería Team Page

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