Casa Pia vs Porto Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Sep 2026
Casa Pia vs Porto Predictions
We feel confident about Porto’s chances. Wagering the away team against Casa Pia at -1.75 on the Asian Handicap could be the best bet to have. There’s an eye-catching price of -116, with the stake split between -1.5 and -2.0.
Continue below for our full Casa Pia vs Porto betting breakdown, where you can read the complete analysis of our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Casa Pia vs Porto Preview
Casa Pia welcome Porto to Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Saturday 12 September.
Casa Pia faced Vitória de Guimarães away when last in action. It was a 0-0 draw at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. Filipe Coelho's side recorded just 26% possession and had three shots on target.
Porto made it five consecutive wins after a 2-1 home success over Moreirense at Estadio do Dragao. The Dragons boasted 70% possession and had nine shots on goal, with Jan Bednarek and William Gomes both on target.
On Tuesday night, Porto were defeated 2-0 at home to Manchester City in the Champions League.
H2H: 6 Victories for Porto in Previous 8 Head-to-Head Games
The last head-to-head saw Casa Pia claim a 2-1 home win over Porto at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. There have been six Porto victories, one Casa Pia win and one draw in the past 8 H2H meetings.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 11:1 | 15 |
| 18 |  Casa Pia |
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 0:11 | 1 |
1 win, 7 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.3 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts. Casa Pia have had 42.2% possession, 322.7 passes and 4.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.3 corners.
Gaizka Larrazabal has managed 2 goals, while Cassiano has 1. Dailon Rocha Livramento and Joao Marques have been top assistors on 1, with goalkeeper Patrick Sequeira keeping one clean sheet.
Porto have won 9 and lost 1, averaging 6.0 shots on goal, 14.5 attempts and 1.8 goals. Francesco Farioli's team average 56.5% possession, 454.0 passes, 7.0 corners taken and 3.4 corners against them, while 0.5 goals have been conceded from 9.2 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal.
Gabriel Veiga is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Deniz Gul on 3, with Jan Bednarek and two others bagging 2. Pepe and Gabriel Veiga are the top assist makers on 3, with Diogo Costa recording 7 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Casa Pia predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): André Gomes (GK), Andres Geraldes, Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira Kaly, David Sousa, Pedro Rosas, Selvi Clua Oya, Lawrence Ofori, Kevin Prieto, Joao Rego, Benjamin Pauwels, Alassana Jatta.
Porto predicted lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Alberto Costa, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Francisco Moura, In-beom Hwang, Pablo Rosario, Gabriel Veiga, William Gomes, Andre Silva, Pepê.
Main Match Prediction
A sizeable victory could go the way of Porto and that’s why we’re taking them at -1.75 on the Asian Handicap betting. We like the attractive -116 odds for this Primeira Liga encounter.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key Primeira Liga stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.8% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
Those wanting an alternative to Asian Handicap can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on Porto and their performance.
Give your betting journey a head start. Explore the latest welcome offers and free bets in our easy-to-follow guide.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
3
Porto
We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Porto to win 3-0. The odds of +450 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.
Player Prop Picks
William Santos Gomes (Porto) has scored in his past two Primeira Liga games. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +190.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
It has now been five consecutive Casa Pia home games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered. We think the teams might end up being short on this front, with odds of -143 on offer when it comes to this Total Corners selection.
Casa Pia
Porto
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Try out our same-game multi picks which include Porto with the -1.75 Asian Handicap, more than two goals and William Santos Gomes (Porto) to be on the scoresheet.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Casa Pia vs Porto Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With an estimated 83% chance of winning, the bookies are taking few chances with their -500 betting odds about Porto triumphing in this Primeira Liga clash. At +1050, Casa Pia are regarded as having a far lower probability of winning.
There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Casa Pia are +850 here and the draw is +155, with Porto on offer at -167.
Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. If you’re anticipating that one team or more will draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is chalked up at -208.
No matter what Primeira Liga match is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the leading football betting sites.
You will find André Silva at +240 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get -106 that he finds the net at anytime.
Stats: Primeira Liga matches only
Casa Pia are winless over their previous eight games at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Filipe Coelho's side have racked up four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
Porto have racked up seven wins, two defeats and one draw in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
When the teams previously met at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Casa Pia defeated Porto 2-1. In the previous 3 H2H games at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, we have seen two Porto victories and one Casa Pia win.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia Home Stats |
2-4-4 | 2.40 | 0.80 | 1.60 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 5 | |
| Porto Away Stats |
7-1-2 | 2.80 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Primeira Liga: 02/02 2026 Casa Pia 2 Porto 1
- Primeira Liga: 24/08 2025 Porto 4 Casa Pia 0
- Primeira Liga: 12/04 2025 Casa Pia 0 Porto 1
- Primeira Liga: 02/12 2024 Porto 2 Casa Pia 0
- Primeira Liga: 21/04 2024 Casa Pia 1 Porto 2
- Primeira Liga: 09/12 2023 Porto 3 Casa Pia 1
- Primeira Liga: 14/05 2023 Porto 2 Casa Pia 1
- Primeira Liga: 07/01 2023 Casa Pia 0 Porto 0
Casa Pia League Stats
Porto League Stats
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 42.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 37.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
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Casa Pia vs Porto Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Casa Pia vs Porto team news before wagering. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with up-to-date injury news.
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Porto Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Porto Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Casa Pia Lineups
Previous Porto Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Casa Pia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Filipe Coelho
Porto Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Benfica | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18:3 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 11 |
| 5 | Arouca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 6 | Estrela | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 8 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Marítimo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Viseu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 11 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 12 | Vitória | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Moreirense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Alverca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
| 17 | Estoril | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0:11 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Santa Clara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Estrela | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 7 | Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 8 | Vitória | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 9 | Marítimo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 11 | Braga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 12 | Alverca | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 13 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 15 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Viseu | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |
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