Casa Pia vs Tondela Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 May 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Casa Pia vs Tondela
Casa Pia square off against Tondela at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 3 May.
Tondela +0.5 look like the value wager and the numbers back this up. Take the away team at -182 on the Asian Handicap for their Primeira Liga encounter, with this being a confident selection on this side.
Casa Pia lost on the road in their last Primeira Liga game, making it back-to-back league defeats. Gil Vicente won 2-1 at Municipal de Barcelos. The Geese had 44% possession and totalled two shots on target, while Cassiano registered the goal.
Tondela had a 2-2 draw at Estadio Jose Alvalade in their previous game. This was away to Sporting CP. Goncalo Feio's team had just 36% possession and recorded two shots on goal, while Salvador Blopa (own goal) and Cicero found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Casa Pia won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 2-1 away victory was recorded against Tondela at Estadio Joao Cardoso.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 29:55 | 26 |
| 17 |  Tondela |
31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 23:52 | 22 |
1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. Casa Pia have had 35.7% possession, 265.9 passes and 4.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 6.3 corners.
Top scorer is Cassiano on 4 goals, while Rafael Brito has racked up 2 and Joao Marques 1. Jeremy Livolant has the most assists with 2, while goalie Patrick Sequeira has recorded 2 clean sheets.
Tondela have 1 victory, 4 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 0.9 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. The Gold and Green have averaged 48.2% possession, 376.4 passes, 5.0 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts.
Bebeto has scored 2 goals, followed by Cicero, Rony Lopes, Joe Hodge and Rodrigo Conceicao on 1. Hugo Felix, Joe Hodge and Brayan Medina have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Bernardo Fontes has 2 clean sheets.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), João Goulart, Andres Geraldes, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Iyad Mohamed, Rafael Brito, Pedro Rosas, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Joao Marques.
Tondela predicted lineup (4-3-3): Bernardo (GK), Tiago Manso, João Silva, Christian Marques, Rodrigo Conceicao, Helder Tavares, Sphephelo Sithole, Juan Rodríguez, Pedro Maranhão, Rony Lopes, Moudjatovic.
Casa Pia vs Tondela Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Casa Pia vs Tondela betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’ll back Tondela on the Asian Handicap in this Primeira Liga clash, with odds of -182 on offer that the away team win with a +0.5 goal start. We’re optimistic that they will stay close to their opponents.
Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest Primeira Liga stats.
Key Casa Pia vs Tondela league stats:
The betting apps are estimating that there is a 64.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
There are several alternatives to the Asian Handicap and we particularly like the Winning Margin market. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.
Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
1
Tondela
A 1-0 win in favor of Tondela is available at odds of +575. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Player Prop Picks
Sphephelo Sithole (Tondela) can be backed at +900 to find the net. We’ll take a chance with this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by Casa Pia in their past nine home games. For Team Corners, we’re expecting Casa Pia to fall short and you can land odds of -156.
Casa Pia
Tondela
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for Tondela to cover the +0.5 Asian Handicap, both teams to score No merged with Casa Pia to finish with under 5.5 corners.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Casa Pia vs Tondela Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have betting odds of +135 for Casa Pia to triumph in this Primeira Liga clash, with Tondela trading at a price of +200 if you think they’ll win, while the draw is chalked up at +210.
There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back Casa Pia at -154 with a safety net or alternatively opt for Tondela at +108.
The Total Goals market is a great option and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now. For the Both Teams to Score betting option, it’s up in the air odds-wise as to whether Yes or No will be the end result.
Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Primeira Liga matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.
Jeremy Livolant is the market leader at +525 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Casa Pia haven’t triumphed in four straight games at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Geese have recorded six draws, two wins and two losses in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Tondela are winless over their previous three games on their travels. Goncalo Feio's team have five defeats, three draws and two wins in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 2.00.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia Home Stats |
2-6-2 | 2.30 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 4 | |
| Tondela Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Casa Pia League Stats
Tondela League Stats
- 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 2 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 6.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 corners awarded and 6.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 35.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 35.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 40.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Casa Pia this season are Cassiano (6), Gaizka Larrazabal (3), Jeremy Livolant (3)
- Top Assistors for Casa Pia this season are Jeremy Livolant (8), Gaizka Larrazabal (4), Abdu Conte (2)
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Casa Pia vs Tondela Lineups & Team News
Stay informed and review the Casa Pia vs Tondela team news before placing your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with the latest injury news.
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Tondela Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Tondela Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Casa Pia Lineups
Previous Tondela Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Casa Pia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alvaro Pacheco
Tondela Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitória | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | 22 |
| 18 | AVS | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | 14 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 31:6 | 39 |
| 2 | Benfica | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 39:11 | 38 |
| 3 | Sporting | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 43:10 | 35 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27:14 | 30 |
| 5 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 31:15 | 28 |
| 6 | Vitória | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26:18 | 28 |
| 7 | Famalicão | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24:10 | 27 |
| 8 | Alverca | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 25 |
| 9 | Estoril | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 28:23 | 23 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | 23 |
| 11 | Arouca | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 15:17 | 20 |
| 13 | Nacional | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 14 | Estrela | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:25 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 11:21 | 10 |
| 18 | AVS | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12:26 | 9 |
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