Casa Pia vs Tondela Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 May 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Casa Pia vs Tondela

Third-from-bottom Casa Pia square off against second-from-bottom Tondela at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 3 May.

Tondela +0.5 look like the value wager and the numbers back this up. Take the away team at -182 on the Asian Handicap for their Primeira Liga encounter, with this being a confident selection on this side.

Casa Pia lost on the road in their last Primeira Liga game, making it back-to-back league defeats. Gil Vicente won 2-1 at Municipal de Barcelos. The Geese had 44% possession and totalled two shots on target, while Cassiano registered the goal.

Tondela had a 2-2 draw at Estadio Jose Alvalade in their previous game. This was away to Sporting CP. Goncalo Feio's team had just 36% possession and recorded two shots on goal, while Salvador Blopa (own goal) and Cicero found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Casa Pia won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 2-1 away victory was recorded against Tondela at Estadio Joao Cardoso.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	31:57	30
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	27:55	28

View Full Table

1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. Casa Pia have had 35.7% possession, 265.9 passes and 4.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 6.3 corners.

Top scorer is Cassiano on 4 goals, while Rafael Brito has racked up 2 and Joao Marques 1. Jeremy Livolant has the most assists with 2, while goalie Patrick Sequeira has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Tondela have 1 victory, 4 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 0.9 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. The Gold and Green have averaged 48.2% possession, 376.4 passes, 5.0 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts.

Bebeto has scored 2 goals, followed by Cicero, Rony Lopes, Joe Hodge and Rodrigo Conceicao on 1. Hugo Felix, Joe Hodge and Brayan Medina have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Bernardo Fontes has 2 clean sheets.

Confirmed Lineups

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Joao Goulart, Andre Geraldes, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Iyad Mohamed, Rafael Brito, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Joao Marques.

Tondela confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bernardo Fontes (GK), Tiago Manso, Joao Silva, Christian Marques, Rodrigo Conceicao, Cicero, Juan Rodriguez, Pedro Henryque, Hugo Felix, Makan Aiko, Rony Lopes.

Casa Pia vs Tondela Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Casa Pia vs Tondela betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Tondela on the Asian Handicap in this Primeira Liga clash, with odds of -182 on offer that the away team win with a +0.5 goal start. We’re optimistic that they will stay close to their opponents.

Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest Primeira Liga stats.

Key Casa Pia vs Tondela league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Tondela in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Tondela in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Casa Pia in 9 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Casa Pia in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Casa Pia in 15 of their last 18 games at home.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 64.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

There are several alternatives to the Asian Handicap and we particularly like the Winning Margin market. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.

Our Match Prediction

Tondela Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -182 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 1, 16:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Casa Pia 0 - 1 Tondela

A 1-0 win in favor of Tondela is available at odds of +575. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sphephelo Sithole To Score +900

Sphephelo Sithole (Tondela) can be backed at +900 to find the net. We’ll take a chance with this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Sphephelo Sithole Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+900

First

+1900

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Casa Pia Under 5.5 Corners -156

The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by Casa Pia in their past nine home games. For Team Corners, we’re expecting Casa Pia to fall short and you can land odds of -156.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Casa Pia

Total

10.40 4.10 6.30

Home

9.40 2.50 6.90

Away

11.70 4.90 6.80

Tondela

Total

10.30 5.00 5.30

Home

11.10 4.80 6.30

Away

9.10 3.80 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-122

Under 9.5

-119

Casa Pia Corners

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-156

Tondela Corners

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-159

Most Corners

1

-147

X

+650

2

+148

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Casa Pia vs Tondela Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have betting odds of +135 for Casa Pia to triumph in this Primeira Liga clash, with Tondela trading at a price of +200 if you think they’ll win, while the draw is chalked up at +210.

There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back Casa Pia at -154 with a safety net or alternatively opt for Tondela at +108.

The Total Goals market is a great option and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now. For the Both Teams to Score betting option, it’s up in the air odds-wise as to whether Yes or No will be the end result.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Primeira Liga matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+135

X

+210

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+106

2

+260

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-333

X2

-200

Draw No Bet

1

-154

2

+108

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

+128

2 Hcp +0.5

-182

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-164

Over 2.5

+115

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-118

No

-120

Jeremy Livolant is the market leader at +525 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Jeremy Livolant (Casa Pia)

First

+525

Anytime

+245

Cassiano Dias Moreira (Casa Pia)

First

+525

Anytime

+245

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos (Tondela)

First

+550

Anytime

+255

Kelian Nsona (Casa Pia)

First

+550

Anytime

+260

Kevin Prieto (Casa Pia)

First

+575

Anytime

+270

Xander Severina (Casa Pia)

First

+575

Anytime

+275

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+600

Anytime

+300

Korede Osundina (Casa Pia)

First

+600

Anytime

+300

Dailon Rocha Livramento (Casa Pia)

First

+650

Anytime

+300

Jordan Siebatcheu (Tondela)

First

+650

Anytime

+310

Arjen Van der Heide (Tondela)

First

+700

Anytime

+335

Kiki Silva (Casa Pia)

First

+750

Anytime

+350

Makan Aïko (Tondela)

First

+750

Anytime

+370

João Marques (Casa Pia)

First

+850

Anytime

+420

Tiago Morais (Casa Pia)

First

+950

Anytime

+450

Xabier Huarte Armendáriz (Tondela)

First

+1000

Anytime

+475

Rafael Alexandre de Sousa Gancho de Brito (Casa Pia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+550

Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia)

First

+1400

Anytime

+650

Joe Hodge (Tondela)

First

+1600

Anytime

+800

Iyad Mohamed (Casa Pia)

First

+1700

Anytime

+800

Tiago Manso (Tondela)

First

+1800

Anytime

+850

Abdu Conté (Casa Pia)

First

+1800

Anytime

+850

João Afonso (Tondela)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

Sphephelo Sithole (Tondela)

First

+1900

Anytime

+900

Lawrence Ofori (Casa Pia)

First

+2000

Anytime

+950

André Geraldes (Casa Pia)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Emmanuel Maviram (Tondela)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Sebastián Perez (Casa Pia)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1100

João Goulart (Casa Pia)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1150

Stats: Primeira Liga matches only
Casa Pia haven’t triumphed in four straight games at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Geese have recorded six draws, two wins and two losses in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Tondela are winless over their previous three games on their travels. They have five defeats, three draws and two wins in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 2.00.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Casa Pia Home Stats		2-6-2	2.30	1.10	1.20	3	7	6	4
Tondela Away Stats		2-3-5	3.00	1.00	2.00	6	4	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Casa Pia vs Tondela Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Casa Pia vs Tondela team news before placing your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with the latest injury news.

Casa Pia Team Page Tondela Team Page

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