Ceuta vs Málaga Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Ceuta vs Málaga

Ceuta host Málaga at Estadio Alfonso Murube, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Saturday 16 May.

Málaga are available at -147 to land a Full-Time Result victory and we think this price represents value. We’re anticipating that the visitors will claim a win against Ceuta and a payout could be on the cards.

In the last Ceuta game, they played out a 1-1 draw at home to Castellón at Estadio Alfonso Murube. Jose Juan Romero's team recorded 50% possession and managed four shots on target, with Marcos Fernandez being the goalscorer.

Málaga claimed a home win in their previous La Liga 2 match. A 2-1 triumph against Sporting Gijón at Estadio La Rosaleda made it back-to-back league victories. The Andalusia outfit racked up seven shots on goal and boasted 66% possession, with Chupe and Joaquin Munoz both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Málaga overcame Ceuta at home when the teams last played. It was a 2-1 scoreline at Estadio La Rosaleda.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Málaga	39	19	9	11	68	50	18	68:50	66
11	Ceuta	39	15	10	14	47	59	-12	47:59	55

View Full Table

Ceuta have 2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 7.1 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal. Caballas have averaged 51.6% possession and 2.9 corners per game, conceding 1.6 goals and 5.2 corners from 12.3 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.

Top scorer Marcos Fernandez has found the net 5 times, Konrad de la Fuente 2, with Aboubacar Bassinga and Manuel Sanchez both scoring 1. Kuki Zalazar, Anuar and Jose Campana have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Málaga have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 12.5 attempts, 5.8 shots on goal and 2.4 goals. Juan Funes' side average 53.1% possession, 4.8 corners in their favour and 4.5 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

Chupe has scored 8 goals, followed by Adrian Nino on 5 and Joaquin Munoz with 3. Joaquin Munoz has managed to clock up 4 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Ceuta predicted lineup (4-3-3): Guillermo Vallejo (GK), Albert Caparrós, Carlos Hernández Alarcón, Yann Bodiger, Diego González, Marino Illescas, Youness Lachhab, Rubén Díez, Jose Luis Kuki Zalazar, Marcos Fernández, Konrad de la Fuente.

Málaga predicted lineup (4-4-2): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Francisco Javier Montero, Einar Galilea, Rafita, David Larrubia, Izan Merino, Darko Brasanac, Joaquín Muñoz, Adrián Niño, Eneko Jauregi.

Ceuta vs Málaga Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Ceuta vs Málaga tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, a corners recommendation, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Match Prediction

We’ll confidently go for Málaga when it comes to winning this La Liga 2 encounter. This looks a value proposition at -147 which means we are able to bank a nice return if the visitors are able to triumph.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the La Liga 2 team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Ceuta vs Málaga league stats:

• Málaga have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Málaga have won 12 of their last 20 games.
• Málaga have won 2 consecutive games.

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 59.5% chance of landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

The Match Result & Total market provides both the chance to bet on Málaga to win and also combine this selection with a forecast for how many goals will be scored.

Your next bet could start with a welcome bonus. Explore our expert guide to the newest sign-up and betting offers.

Our Match Prediction

Málaga To Win @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 14, 16:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Ceuta 1 - 3 Málaga

Málaga are available at +750 when it comes to them winning 3-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: David Larrubia to Score +285

David Larrubia (Málaga) has racked up three goals in his past nine La Liga 2 games on the road. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +285.

Latest David Larrubia Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+285

First

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -130

There has been two straight Ceuta home matches where 8.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 9.60 corners in the previous ten Málaga away games. There’s an opportunity to go over the Total Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -130 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Ceuta

Total

8.10 2.90 5.20

Home

9.50 4.20 5.30

Away

8.70 3.10 5.60

Málaga

Total

9.30 4.80 4.50

Home

8.70 4.50 4.20

Away

9.60 4.10 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

-106

Ceuta Corners

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-118

Málaga Corners

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

-100

Most Corners

1

+170

X

+600

2

-167

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Ceuta vs Málaga Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 60% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Málaga are favourites to prosper in this La Liga 2 encounter and they’re available at -147 with the bookies. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Ceuta are trading at +350.

Málaga -0.75 are -120 against Ceuta on the Asian Handicap. If the favourites win by a goal, you win with half your stake and get the rest refunded. If they win by two or more, you get a full payout.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -167 on the BTTS market.

If you’re betting on La Liga 2 matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+350

X

+275

2

-147

Half-Time Result

1

+350

X

+133

2

+120

Double Chance

1X

-100

12

-455

X2

-625

Draw No Bet

1

+225

2

-357

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-119

2 Hcp -0.75

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+108

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+112

The First Goalscorer favourite is Carlos Ruiz Rubio at +340. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

First

+130

Anytime

+340

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

First

+185

Anytime

+480

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

Marcos Fernández (Ceuta)

First

+210

Anytime

+550

David Larrubia (Málaga)

First

+285

Anytime

+700

Kialy Abdoul Kone (Ceuta)

First

+285

Anytime

+750

Ignacio Schor (Ceuta)

First

+295

Anytime

+700

Haitam Abaida (Málaga)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga)

First

+335

Anytime

+850

Kuki Zalazar (Ceuta)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Ramón Enríquez (Málaga)

First

+440

Anytime

+1050

Youness Lachhab (Ceuta)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Anuar Tuhami (Ceuta)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Izan Merino (Málaga)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Luismi Sánchez Benítez (Málaga)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Carlos Puga (Málaga)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Carlos Redru (Ceuta)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Darko Brasanac (Málaga)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Yann Bodiger (Ceuta)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Einar Galilea (Málaga)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Victor Garcia Marin (Málaga)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Dani Sánchez (Málaga)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Jokin Gabilondo (Málaga)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Yago Cantero (Ceuta)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ceuta have avoided defeat in their last four matches at Estadio Alfonso Murube. Jose Juan Romero's team have clocked up five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Málaga have collected five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 2.00 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Ceuta Home Stats		5-3-2	2.60	1.40	1.20	7	3	7	3
Málaga Away Stats		5-2-3	3.40	2.00	1.40	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Ceuta vs Málaga Lineups & Team News

The Ceuta vs Málaga team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for La Liga 2, along with current injury news.

Ceuta Team Page Málaga Team Page

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