Cruz Azul vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Sep 2026
Cruz Azul vs Toluca Predictions
Cruz Azul look capable of beating Toluca and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back the home team at -139 with a +0.25 goal start, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5 which means a return if they avoid defeat.
Dive into our Cruz Azul vs Toluca betting breakdown for the complete analysis of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Cruz Azul vs Toluca Preview
Cruz Azul take on Toluca at Estadio Banorte, with kick-off set for 18:50 on Saturday 26 September.
Cruz Azul have secured back-to-back Liga MX home wins. Their last league game was on the road and a 1-0 defeat occurred against Monterrey at Estadio BBVA. La Máquina Celeste had 53% possession and managed four shots on target.
Deportivo Toluca have enjoyed back-to-back Liga MX away wins. Their previous league game was a 3-2 home loss against Santos Laguna at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Antonio Mohamed's team recorded eight shots on goal and had 45% possession, with Federico Vinas and Paulinho both on target.
H2H: Teams’ Last Head-to-Head Saw 3-1 Cruz Azul Win
Cruz Azul are unbeaten when it comes to the past six meetings against Toluca. In their last clash, visitors Cruz Azul secured a 3-1 victory at Dignity Health Sports Park. The previous 10 H2H matches have included four wins for Cruz Azul, three victories for Toluca along with three draws.
| Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Toluca |
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 20:9 | 19 |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul |
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 16:15 | 15 |
6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 1.8 goals from 15.0 attempts and 6.8 shots on goal. Cruz Azul have had 48.9% possession and 5.8 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 11.8 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.2 corners.
Top scorers are Jeremy Marquez and Nicolas Ibanez on 3 goals, while Jose Paradela has racked up 2. Carlos Rodriguez has recorded the most assists with 5.
Deportivo Toluca have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 5.8 shots on goal, 16.2 attempts and 2.0 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 57.6% possession, 5.8 corners taken and 5.2 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 11.7 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.
Federico Vinas has top scored with 4, while Paulinho, Alexis Vega and Helinho are next on 2. Helinho and Alexis Vega have both managed 2 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Cruz Azul predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Andrés Gudiño (GK), Jesús Orozco, Willer Ditta, Gonzalo Piovi, Alan Mozo, Carlos Rodriguez, Agustín Palavecino, Omar Campos, Luka Romero, José Antonio Paradela, Nicolás Ibáñez.
Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Diego Barbosa, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Brian García, Edher Segura, Nicolas Castro, Jorge Díaz Price, Jesús Angulo, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Paulinho.
Main Match Prediction
Cruz Azul +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at odds of -139. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this Liga MX clash and we’re optimistic that they can land a win.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the Liga MX odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration when making football predictions.
The betting apps are estimating that there is a 58.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
There’s the option to move the line for your pick and this enables bettors to get larger prices. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Toluca
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +800 and it involves Cruz Azul winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Player Prop Picks
Luka Romero (Cruz Azul) is available to have one or more shots on goal at +140. He looks like a value bet on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop pick.
José Paradela (Cruz Azul) has registered two goals in his past five Liga MX games. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +320.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 10.5 Total Corners line has been covered in four consecutive Cruz Azul home matches, while the same outcome has happened in four straight Toluca away games. We think that there’s a strong case for this outcome and we’ll bet the Total Corners line to be covered which is on offer at odds of -116.
Cruz Azul
Toluca
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder always adds excitement and the picks are Cruz Azul on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, two or less goals along with Luka Romero (Cruz Azul) to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
Cruz Azul vs Toluca Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The draw is available at +240 if you believe that this Liga MX clash will finish level, with Deportivo Toluca at +138 and Cruz Azul chalked up at +170 with the bookmakers to secure a win of their own.
The Draw No Bet market simplifies things as it offers two options and money back if the game finishes level. Toluca are -141, while Cruz Azul are alternatively priced at -105.
Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -204.
The best football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Liga MX matches, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.
Those interested in favourite João Paulo Paulinho to find the net first can get +430, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +150.
Stats: Last 10 Liga MX matches only.
Cruz Azul have clocked up five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
Toluca have not tasted an away defeat in four straight matches. Antonio Mohamed's team have clocked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
In the last meeting at Estadio Banorte, Cruz Azul defeated Toluca by a 1-0 scoreline. It’s been three Cruz Azul wins, two draws and two Toluca victories in the past 7 H2H meetings at Estadio Banorte.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul Home Stats |
5-3-2 | 3.00 | 1.70 | 1.30 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
| Toluca Away Stats |
4-2-4 | 2.60 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Supercopa de la Liga MX: 26/07 2026 Toluca 1 Cruz Azul 3
- Liga MX: 08/02 2026 Toluca 1 Cruz Azul 1
- Liga MX: 24/08 2025 Cruz Azul 1 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 20/04 2025 Toluca 2 Cruz Azul 2
- Liga MX: 21/07 2024 Cruz Azul 1 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 28/04 2024 Toluca 0 Cruz Azul 1
- Liga MX: 09/07 2023 Cruz Azul 0 Toluca 2
- Liga MX: 12/02 2023 Toluca 3 Cruz Azul 1
- Liga MX: 15/08 2022 Cruz Azul 2 Toluca 3
- Liga MX: 21/02 2022 Toluca 1 Cruz Azul 4
Cruz Azul League Stats
Toluca League Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 48.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 57.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Cruz Azul this season are Jeremy Marquez (3), Nicolas Ibanez (3), Gabriel Fernandez (2)
- Top Assistors for Cruz Azul this season are Carlos Rodriguez (5), Jose Paradela (4), Luka Romero (2)
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Cruz Azul vs Toluca Lineups & Team News
The latest Cruz Azul vs Toluca team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX together with updated injury news.
Cruz Azul Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Cruz Azul Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Cruz Azul Lineups
Previous Toluca Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Cruz Azul Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Joel Huiqui
Toluca Player Stats & Squad
Liga MX Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Guadalajara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:8 | 18 |
| 3 | América | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Querétaro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 6 | León | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Tijuana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 8 | Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Atlas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 12 |
| 12 | Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 13 | San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Atlante | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 16 | Tigres | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Juárez | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:23 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tijuana | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | América | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Guadalajara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 6 | León | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 9 | Tigres | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 10 | Puebla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 11 | Pumas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 12 | San Luis | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Querétaro | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 16 | Atlante | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Juárez | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 18 | Pachuca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 2 |
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