Estonia vs Bulgaria Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Nov 2026

Estonia vs Bulgaria Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Estonia To Win @ +108

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The standout bet can be found on the Full-Time Result market where Estonia are currently priced at +108. We think they can overcome Bulgaria and this looks a value play.

This Estonia vs Bulgaria betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Estonia vs Bulgaria Preview

Estonia go head-to-head with Bulgaria at A Le Coq Arena, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Monday 16 November.

Estonia got the win in their last game. It was away from home where Luxembourg were beaten 1-0 at Stade de Luxembourg in Nations League C. The Blueshirts had 46% possession and recorded five shots on target, with a 43rd minute winner from Maksim Paskotsi proving the difference.

Bulgaria lost when last in action. At Hristo Botev, Plovdiv, they were turned over 5-0 to Iceland in Nations League C. Atanas Ribarski's team were 52% in the possession stakes and managed two shots on goal.

H2H: Goalless Draw in Most Recent Head-to-Head

The last head-to-head saw away team Estonia draw 0-0 with Bulgaria at Hristo Botev, Plovdiv.

Nations League C		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Estonia	5	2	3	0	3	1	2	3:1	9
3	Bulgaria	5	1	1	3	3	10	-7	3:10	4

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts. Estonia have had 41.1% possession and 2.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 17.0 attempts, while being awarded 5.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Maksim Paskotsi has found the net 2 times, with Rasmus Peetson, Robi Saarma, Mattias Kaeit and Rauno Sappinen scoring 1 each. The top assist makers are Rocco Shein, Rasmus Peetson and Kevor Palumets, all of whom have 1 on the board.

Bulgaria have 2 victories, 7 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 0.6 goals from 8.1 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 40.3% possession, 3.2 corners in their favour and 6.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.6 goals from 14.9 attempts and 6.0 shots on goal.

Kristiyan Balov is the leading scorer along with five others, with 1 goals on the board each. Emil Tsenov, Georgi Rusev and Dimitar Velkovski have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Main Match Prediction

We’re going for a straight pick on Estonia as we think they’re the likely winners of this Nations League contest. We think the hosts can achieve some kind of victory, with odds of +108 currently available.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):

• Bulgaria have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Bulgaria have lost 7 of their last 10 games.

It’s always a case of checking out the latest Nations League team news to make expert football predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 48.1% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Want to back Estonia at bigger odds than the Full-Time Result market? Consider Double Result where you can back them at a juicier price to lead at the break and at the final whistle.

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Estonia To Win @ +108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 14, 18:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Estonia 1 - 0 Bulgaria

One bet that has caught our eye is Estonia to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +375 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Markus Poom To Score +340

Markus Poom (Estonia) can be backed at +340 to find the net. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Markus Poom Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -122

It has now been four consecutive Bulgaria away games where the 8.5 Total Corners line has been covered, while we’ve seen four of the last five Estonia matches have the same outcome. The number of corners could be bigger than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -122.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Estonia

Total

8.80 2.90 5.90

Home

8.00 2.40 5.60

Away

11.00 2.60 8.40

Bulgaria

Total

9.30 3.20 6.10

Home

7.40 3.20 4.20

Away

10.50 2.70 7.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-122

Under 8.5

-118

Estonia Corners

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-114

Bulgaria Corners

Over 3.5

-123

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-161

X

+525

2

+150

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Estonia vs Bulgaria Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Estonia are the +108 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 48% chance of winning this Nations League encounter according to the latest betting odds. Bulgaria are the underdogs at +275 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

Estonia are -139 at -0.25 on the Asian Handicap and this gives you a half stake refund in the event of a draw. However, you get a full payout on your wager if they manage to beat Bulgaria.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. A different wager could be betting BTTS No where you can land -159 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.

The leading football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Nations League match, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+108

X

+215

2

+275

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

-102

2

+350

Double Chance

1X

-435

12

-333

X2

-152

Draw No Bet

1

-227

2

+150

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-139

2 Hcp +0.25

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-208

Over 2.5

+155

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+108

No

-159

Karel Mustmaa (Estonia)

First

-

Anytime

+165

Mattias Männilaan (Estonia)

First

-

Anytime

+170

Atanas Iliev (Bulgaria)

First

-

Anytime

+310

Markus Poom (Estonia)

First

-

Anytime

+340

Lukas Petkov (Bulgaria)

First

-

Anytime

+340

Georgi Rusev (Bulgaria)

First

-

Anytime

+380

Kevor Palumets (Estonia)

First

-

Anytime

+390

Patrik Kristal (Estonia)

First

-

Anytime

+420

Rocco Robert Shein (Estonia)

First

-

Anytime

+450

Mattias Käit (Estonia)

First

-

Anytime

+460

Asen Chandarov (Bulgaria)

First

-

Anytime

+480

Andrian Kraev (Bulgaria)

First

-

Anytime

+500

Rasmus Peetson (Estonia)

First

-

Anytime

+525

Marin Petkov (Bulgaria)

First

-

Anytime

+550

Erko Tougjas (Estonia)

First

-

Anytime

+600

Joseph Saliste (Estonia)

First

-

Anytime

+650

Kristiyan Balov (Bulgaria)

First

-

Anytime

+700

Dimitar Velkovski (Bulgaria)

First

-

Anytime

+850

Karol Mets (Estonia)

First

-

Anytime

+850

Michael Schjønning-Larsen (Estonia)

First

-

Anytime

+900

Maksim Paskotsi (Estonia)

First

-

Anytime

+950

Emil Tsenov (Bulgaria)

First

-

Anytime

+1000

Ilia Gruev (Bulgaria)

First

-

Anytime

+1000

Ivan Turitsov (Bulgaria)

First

-

Anytime

+1050

Hristiyan Petrov (Bulgaria)

First

-

Anytime

+1100

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Estonia Stats

Bulgaria Stats

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.60 goals scored and 2.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 2.90 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 6.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 corners awarded and 7.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 41.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 41.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 40.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 44.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches

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