Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Apr 2026
Europa Conference League Betting Preview: Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace
Italian Serie A team Fiorentina host Premier League club Crystal Palace in the second leg of this Europa Conference League quarter-final at Stadio Artemio Franchi, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 16 April. Palace won the first leg 3-0.
We’re more than happy with the odds of -123 when it comes to betting Under 2.5 Goals, with the Total Goals market affording us this price. Fiorentina and Crystal Palace might not net too many between them.
Fiorentina landed a home win on Monday night, overcoming Lazio by a 1-0 scoreline at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Serie A. La Viola ended up with just 34% possession and had two shots on target, with Robin Gosens netting the winner in the 28th minute.
Crystal Palace claimed a 2-1 Premier League home win over Newcastle United at Selhurst Park at the weekend. The South London team managed five shots on goal and had 42% possession, while Jean-Philippe Mateta netted twice.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Palace beat Fiorentina 3-0 at home in the first leg. Palace enjoyed 51% possession and had four shots on target to two, with Jean-Philippe Mateta, Tyrick Mitchell and Ismaila Sarr finding the net at at Selhurst Park.
| Europa Conference League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |  Crystal Palace |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
Fiorentina have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. The Florence club have averaged 50.8% possession, 451.4 passes and 4.4 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.4 goals from 4.7 shots on goal, 12.7 attempts and 4.1 corners.
Nicolo Fagioli, Cher Ndour, Roberto Piccoli and Albert Gudmundsson are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Jack Harrison, Albert Gudmundsson and Rolando Mandragora are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie David de Gea managing 3 clean sheets.
Palace have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.2 shots on goal, 13.6 attempts and 1.5 goals. Oliver Glasner's side average 58.7% possession, 505.5 passes, 4.8 corners taken and 3.1 corners against them, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 8.5 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.
Ismaila Sarr is the leading goalscorer with 6, Jean-Philippe Mateta has 3, with Maxence Lacroix and Evann Guessand getting 2. Adam Wharton has been the top assist maker on 3, with Dean Henderson and Walter Benitez collectively notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips
Our expert Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop picks to corners guidance, a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -123 when it comes to Under 2.5 Goals. We don’t think this Europa Conference League quarter-final will be a goalfest.
A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key Europa Conference League stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.
Key Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Europa Conference League & league stats:
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 55.2% prospect of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
Those in search of a bigger price might consider combining the Under 2.5 Goals pick with a particular team to win. This is available through the Result & Total Goals market.
Stop! Before you bet, grab a top welcome bonus. Check out our guide for the latest betting offers available now.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Crystal Palace
Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +480. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Ismaïla Sarr (Palace) has managed an average of 4.4 shots in his past five away games. We recommend backing the +123 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager hopefully providing a return.
Cher Ndour (Fiorentina) has registered two goals in his past five games on home soil. There are odds of +430 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by Fiorentina in their past five games, with the corner count against Crystal Palace going under 5.5 in their last five matches. We think that Fiorentina will come up short and this Team Corners bet can be backed at -108.
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi selections include no more than two goals to be registered, a draw to be the outcome and also Ismaïla Sarr (Palace) to score at any time.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Crystal Palace are the +125 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 44% chance of triumphing in this Europa Conference League encounter according to the latest odds. The market suggests that Fiorentina are least likely to win at +220.
There’s the chance to back Palace at -106 if you want to take them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s a full payout if they beat Fiorentina but also half stake returned if the scoreline ends level.
Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -127 on the Both Teams to Score market.
It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Europa Conference League matches. You simply need to visit the best betting apps and select from the various football options that are presented.
Jean-Philippe Mateta is the market leader at +400 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Fiorentina Stats
Crystal Palace Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Lineups & Team News
Stay informed and review the Fiorentina vs Palace team news before placing your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Europa Conference League lineups plus current injury reports.
Previous Fiorentina Lineups
Previous Crystal Palace Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Fiorentina Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Paolo Vanoli
Crystal Palace Player Stats & Squad
Europa Conference League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rakow | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | AEK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Sh. Donetsk | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Mainz 05 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 8 | Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 12 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Lech | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 12 | Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 13 | NK Celje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 16 | Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 19 | FC Noah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 20 | Drita | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 8 |
| 21 | KuPS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 22 | KF Shkendija | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 23 | Zrinjski Mostar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 24 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 25 | U Craiova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 26 | Lincoln Red Imps | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Dynamo Kiev | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 28 | Legia | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 32 | Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 33 | Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 34 | Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | 2 |
| 35 | Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | 2 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Rakow | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 4 | AEK | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Zrinjski Mostar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sparta Prague | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Lech | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Larnaca | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 | Rijeka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 12 | NK Celje | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 13 | KF Shkendija | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 7 |
| 15 | Lincoln Red Imps | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 16 | Dynamo Kiev | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 19 | FC Noah | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 20 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 22 | Breidablik | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 23 | KuPS | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 24 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 25 | Sh. Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 26 | Sigma Olomouc | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 27 | U Craiova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 28 | Drita | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 29 | Legia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 30 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 32 | Hamrun Spartans | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 33 | Hacken | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 34 | Aberdeen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 35 | Shelbourne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | 1 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | 0 |
Serie A Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 36 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 85:31 | 85 |
| 2 | Napoli | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 54:36 | 70 |
| 3 | Juventus | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 59:30 | 68 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 50:32 | 67 |
| 5 | Roma | 36 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 55:31 | 67 |
| 6 | Como | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 60:28 | 65 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 50:34 | 58 |
| 8 | Bologna | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 45:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Lazio | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 39:37 | 51 |
| 10 | Udinese | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 45:46 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 44:46 | 49 |
| 12 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 41:59 | 44 |
| 13 | Parma | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 27:45 | 42 |
| 14 | Genoa | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 40:48 | 41 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:49 | 38 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 36:51 | 37 |
| 17 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 24:48 | 32 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 30:53 | 31 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24:58 | 20 |
| 20 | Pisa | 36 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 25:66 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 49:15 | 44 |
| 2 | Napoli | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 32:18 | 40 |
| 3 | Roma | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 31:10 | 39 |
| 4 | Juventus | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 35:14 | 37 |
| 5 | Como | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 34:15 | 33 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:14 | 33 |
| 7 | AC Milan | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 24:19 | 32 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 23:23 | 29 |
| 9 | Lazio | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:24 | 27 |
| 10 | Torino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Udinese | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:20 | 23 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20:22 | 22 |
| 13 | Genoa | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:24 | 22 |
| 14 | Bologna | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:20 | 21 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 16 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15:25 | 18 |
| 17 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:24 | 17 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17:25 | 16 |
| 19 | Pisa | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9:23 | 10 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12:26 | 8 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 68:26 | 79 |
| 2 | Man City | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 75:32 | 77 |
| 3 | Man United | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 63:48 | 65 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 60:48 | 59 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 50:46 | 59 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 56:52 | 55 |
| 7 | Brighton | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 52:42 | 53 |
| 8 | Brentford | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 52:49 | 51 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 55:49 | 49 |
| 10 | Everton | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 46:46 | 49 |
| 11 | Fulham | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 44:50 | 48 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 37:46 | 48 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 46 |
| 14 | Leeds | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 48:53 | 44 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 38:47 | 44 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 45:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 46:55 | 38 |
| 18 | West Ham | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 42:62 | 36 |
| 19 | Burnley | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37:73 | 21 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 25:66 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 44:12 | 45 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 40:11 | 44 |
| 3 | Man United | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36:22 | 39 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 33:19 | 35 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28:20 | 35 |
| 6 | Brighton | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 30:17 | 33 |
| 7 | Fulham | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 28:20 | 32 |
| 8 | Brentford | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 31:19 | 31 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 28:19 | 30 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 23:19 | 30 |
| 11 | Leeds | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28:21 | 29 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 33:29 | 29 |
| 13 | Everton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25:24 | 23 |
| 14 | Chelsea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 23 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 18:21 | 21 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 17 | West Ham | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:30 | 19 |
| 18 | Wolverhampton | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18:33 | 13 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 21:31 | 12 |
| 20 | Burnley | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17:28 | 12 |
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