Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Apr 2026

Europa Conference League Betting Preview: Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace

Italian Serie A team Fiorentina host Premier League club Crystal Palace in the second leg of this Europa Conference League quarter-final at Stadio Artemio Franchi, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 16 April. Palace won the first leg 3-0.

We’re more than happy with the odds of -123 when it comes to betting Under 2.5 Goals, with the Total Goals market affording us this price. Fiorentina and Crystal Palace might not net too many between them.

Fiorentina landed a home win on Monday night, overcoming Lazio by a 1-0 scoreline at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Serie A. La Viola ended up with just 34% possession and had two shots on target, with Robin Gosens netting the winner in the 28th minute.

Crystal Palace claimed a 2-1 Premier League home win over Newcastle United at Selhurst Park at the weekend. The South London team managed five shots on goal and had 42% possession, while Jean-Philippe Mateta netted twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Palace beat Fiorentina 3-0 at home in the first leg. Palace enjoyed 51% possession and had four shots on target to two, with Jean-Philippe Mateta, Tyrick Mitchell and Ismaila Sarr finding the net at at Selhurst Park.

Europa Conference League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	11	6	5	11:6	10
15	Fiorentina	6	3	0	3	8	5	3	8:5	9

View Full Table

Fiorentina have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. The Florence club have averaged 50.8% possession, 451.4 passes and 4.4 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.4 goals from 4.7 shots on goal, 12.7 attempts and 4.1 corners.

Nicolo Fagioli, Cher Ndour, Roberto Piccoli and Albert Gudmundsson are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Jack Harrison, Albert Gudmundsson and Rolando Mandragora are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie David de Gea managing 3 clean sheets.

Palace have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.2 shots on goal, 13.6 attempts and 1.5 goals. Oliver Glasner's side average 58.7% possession, 505.5 passes, 4.8 corners taken and 3.1 corners against them, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 8.5 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.

Ismaila Sarr is the leading goalscorer with 6, Jean-Philippe Mateta has 3, with Maxence Lacroix and Evann Guessand getting 2. Adam Wharton has been the top assist maker on 3, with Dean Henderson and Walter Benitez collectively notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop picks to corners guidance, a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -123 when it comes to Under 2.5 Goals. We don’t think this Europa Conference League quarter-final will be a goalfest.

A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key Europa Conference League stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Europa Conference League & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Fiorentina games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Fiorentina games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Fiorentina games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Palace games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Palace games.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 55.2% prospect of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Those in search of a bigger price might consider combining the Under 2.5 Goals pick with a particular team to win. This is available through the Result & Total Goals market.

Stop! Before you bet, grab a top welcome bonus. Check out our guide for the latest betting offers available now.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -123 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 14, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Fiorentina 1 - 1 Crystal Palace

Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +450. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ismaïla Sarr to Score +250

Ismaïla Sarr (Palace) has scored six goals in his past five games on the road. There are odds of +250 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Ismaïla Sarr Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+600

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Fiorentina Under 5.5 Corners -108

The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by Fiorentina in their past five games, with the corner count against Crystal Palace going under 5.5 in their last five matches. We think that Fiorentina will come up short and this Team Corners bet can be backed at -108.

Europa Conference League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Fiorentina

Total

8.50 4.40 4.10

Home

10.10 6.50 3.60

Away

7.70 2.80 4.90

Crystal Palace

Total

7.90 4.80 3.10

Home

8.40 5.20 3.20

Away

9.50 5.20 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-110

Fiorentina Corners

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-106

Crystal Palace Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-112

Most Corners

1

-233

X

+700

2

+225

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have priced up the Full-Time Result odds and Fiorentina are +150 to come out on top, while Crystal Palace are +175. The draw is available at +235 if you expect the clash to finish level.

There’s the chance to back Fiorentina at +115 if you want to take them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s a full payout if they beat Palace but also half stake returned if the scoreline ends level.

If you’re wagering on Total Goals, the market is far from clear over whether Unders or Overs happens. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -141 on the Both Teams to Score market.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Europa Conference League matches. You simply need to visit the best betting apps and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

+150

X

+235

2

+175

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+117

2

+230

Double Chance

1X

-244

12

-333

X2

-204

Draw No Bet

1

-132

2

-109

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+115

2 Hcp +0.25

-143

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-123

Over 2.5

-105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-141

No

+104

Jean-Philippe Mateta is the market leader at +450 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace)

First

+175

Anytime

+450

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+180

Anytime

+450

Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Ismaïla Sarr (Crystal Palace)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Manor Solomon (Fiorentina)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Brennan Johnson (Crystal Palace)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Eddie Nketiah (Crystal Palace)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Evann Guessand (Crystal Palace)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Jack Harrison (Fiorentina)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Giovanni Fabbian (Fiorentina)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Fabiano Parisi (Fiorentina)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Daniel Muñoz (Crystal Palace)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Daichi Kamada (Crystal Palace)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Fiorentina Stats

Crystal Palace Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 50.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 53.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 58.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 53.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Fiorentina vs Palace team news before placing your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Europa Conference League lineups plus current injury reports.

Top Football Pages