Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Mar 2026
Serie A Betting Preview: Fiorentina vs Inter Milan
Fiorentina welcome Italian Serie A leaders Inter Milan to Stadio Artemio Franchi, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 22 March.
If you concur with our viewpoint that Inter can beat Fiorentina, there is the opportunity to land a price of -172 that this happens. We think that the odds stand out on the Full-Time Result market.
Fiorentina won their last Serie A game 4-1. This was an away victory at Stadio Giovanni Zini against Cremonese. The Florence side had 52% possession and recorded six shots on target, with Fabiano Parisi, Roberto Piccoli, Dodo and Albert Gudmundsson bagging a goal.
Three days ago, Fiorentina advanced to the Europa Conference League quarter-finals after beating Polish Ekstraklasa side Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 away (4-2 on aggregate).
Inter Milan hosted Atalanta at Giuseppe Meazza in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw. I Nerazzurri recorded 58% possession and had three shots on goal, with Francesco Pio Esposito on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Inter have claimed back-to-back wins over Fiorentina, with both home victories coming at Giuseppe Meazza by scorelines of 3-0 and 2-1. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we have seen seven Inter victories, two Fiorentina wins and one draw.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan |
35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82 | 31 | 51 | 82:31 | 82 |
| 16 | Fiorentina |
35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38:49 | 37 |
4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 14.2 attempts. Fiorentina have had 52.5% possession, 459.6 passes and 5.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.0 corners.
Top goalscorer Moise Kean has found the net 3 times, with Roberto Piccoli and Manor Solomon scoring 2 each. Leading assistor is Albert Gudmundsson with 3, while goalie David de Gea has recorded 2 clean sheets.
Inter have 8 victories, 1 defeat and 1 draw, with an average of 2.3 goals from 6.5 shots on goal and 19.0 attempts. Cristian Chivu's team have averaged 63.4% possession, 584.1 passes, 6.7 corners taken and 2.5 corners against, while conceding 0.6 goals from 2.4 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts.
The top scorers have been Francesco Pio Esposito and Lautaro Martinez on 4, with Piotr Zielinski getting 3. Federico Dimarco has clocked up 8 assists, with Yann Sommer keeping 6 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Fiorentina confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): David de Gea (GK), Dodo, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri, Robin Gosens, Nicolo Fagioli, Fabiano Parisi, Marco Brescianini, Cher Ndour, Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.
Inter Milan confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Yann Sommer (GK), Yann Aurel Bisseck, Manuel Akanji, Carlos Augusto, Denzel Dumfries, Nicolo Barella, Hakan Calhanoglu, Piotr Zielinski, Federico Dimarco, Francesco Pio Esposito, Marcus Thuram.
Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Prediction & Betting Tips
Take on Fiorentina vs Inter Milan with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.
Match Prediction
Inter look like a quality wager and we’re expecting them to land the honours. There is a price of -172 that they win this Serie A encounter and this selection looks like value.
Our team of experts monitor the current Serie A injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.
Key Fiorentina vs Inter Milan league stats:
The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 63.3% chance of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
If you want to back Inter to oblige at a larger price, why not contemplate a wager on the Double Result? You require them to be in front at the interval and the final whistle.
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Correct Score Prediction
I Nerazzurri are available at +650 when it comes to them winning 2-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.
Player Prop Picks
Fabiano Parisi (Fiorentina) has recorded one or more shots in five consecutive Serie A games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -152 are now available.
Piotr Zielinski (Inter) has netted three goals in his past ten Serie A matches. It’s worth a play on the +310 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Fiorentina in six straight home games. The Fiorentina Team Corners line looks too low and we’re happy to go over this number at odds of -106.
Fiorentina
Inter
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a bet builder and the legs include Inter on the 1x2, one or both teams not scoring merged with Fabiano Parisi (Fiorentina) to have one shot or more.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Inter Milan at -167 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 63% chance of winning this Serie A clash based on the betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Fiorentina are available at +420.
There’s the chance to wager Inter at +102 on the Asian Handicap -1 market. This means a refund if they only win by one, although a 2+ goal victory over Fiorentina would see a full payout.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. BTTS Yes is on offer at -143 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.
Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Serie A games, with the best football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.
Lautaro Martínez can be backed to find the net anytime at +125, with +340 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
Fiorentina have four wins, three draws and three losses in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
Inter have nine wins and one defeat in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 0.30.
When the teams previously met at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Fiorentina defeated Inter 3-0. Inter have won four of the previous 7 H2H games at Stadio Artemio Franchi, with Fiorentina getting one victory along with two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fiorentina Home Stats |
4-3-3 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
Inter Milan Away Stats |
9-0-1 | 2.20 | 1.90 | 0.30 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 8 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Serie A: 29/10 2025 Inter 3 Fiorentina 0
- Serie A: 10/02 2025 Inter 2 Fiorentina 1
- Serie A: 06/02 2025 Fiorentina 3 Inter 0
- Serie A: 28/01 2024 Fiorentina 0 Inter 1
- Serie A: 03/09 2023 Inter 4 Fiorentina 0
- Coppa Italia: 24/05 2023 Fiorentina 1 Inter 2
- Serie A: 01/04 2023 Inter 0 Fiorentina 1
- Serie A: 22/10 2022 Fiorentina 3 Inter 4
- Serie A: 19/03 2022 Inter 1 Fiorentina 1
- Serie A: 21/09 2021 Fiorentina 1 Inter 3
Fiorentina League Stats
Inter Milan League Stats
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 2.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 2.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 10 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 63.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 64.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Fiorentina this season are Moise Kean (8), Rolando Mandragora (6), Albert Gudmundsson (5)
- Top Assistors for Fiorentina this season are Albert Gudmundsson (4), Nicolo Fagioli (3), Dodo (2)
Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Lineups & Team News
Stay informed and review the Fiorentina vs Inter team news before placing your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A along with the latest injury news.
Fiorentina Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Inter Milan Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Fiorentina Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Inter Milan Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Fiorentina Substitutes
- 3Daniele Rugani
- 15Pietro Comuzzo
- 17Jack Harrison
- 22Jacopo Fazzini
- 50Pietro Leonardelli
- 53Oliver Christensen
- 60Eddy Kouadio
- 62Luis Balbo
- 80Giovanni Fabbian
- 91Roberto Piccoli
Inter Milan Substitutes
- 6Stefan de Vrij
- 8Petar Sucic
- 11Luis Henrique
- 12Raffaele Di Gennaro
- 13Josep Martinez
- 14Ange-Yoan Bonny
- 15Francesco Acerbi
- 16Davide Frattesi
- 17Andy Diouf
- 36Matteo Darmian
- 47Matteo Spinacce
- 49Yvan Kouadio Maye
Previous Fiorentina Lineups
Previous Inter Milan Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Fiorentina Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Paolo Vanoli
Inter Milan Player Stats & Squad
Serie A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82:31 | 82 |
| 2 | Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52:33 | 70 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 35 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 48:29 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 58:30 | 65 |
| 5 | Roma | 35 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 52:29 | 64 |
| 6 | Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:28 | 62 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 47:32 | 55 |
| 8 | Lazio | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 39:34 | 51 |
| 9 | Bologna | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42:41 | 49 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 43:44 | 49 |
| 11 | Udinese | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 12 | Parma | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 25:42 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 39:58 | 41 |
| 14 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 40:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 38:49 | 37 |
| 17 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24:47 | 32 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27:53 | 28 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24:57 | 20 |
| 20 | Pisa | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25:63 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 49:15 | 44 |
| 2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Roma | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 31:10 | 39 |
| 4 | Juventus | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 35:14 | 37 |
| 5 | Como | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 34:15 | 33 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:14 | 33 |
| 7 | AC Milan | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 22:16 | 32 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 23:23 | 29 |
| 9 | Lazio | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:21 | 27 |
| 10 | Torino | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 23:26 | 24 |
| 11 | Udinese | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:20 | 23 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:20 | 22 |
| 13 | Genoa | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:24 | 22 |
| 14 | Bologna | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:20 | 21 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 16 | Parma | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 13:22 | 18 |
| 17 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12:23 | 17 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 14:25 | 13 |
| 19 | Pisa | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9:23 | 10 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12:25 | 8 |
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