France vs Sweden Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Jun 2026
France vs Sweden Predictions
France and Sweden are both attack-minded sides, so three or more goals look likely in this knockout clash. That makes Over 2.5 our preferred selection on the Total Goals market at odds of -204.
Read our complete France vs Sweden betting preview for the full analysis behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
France vs Sweden Preview
France face Sweden in the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 at New York/New Jersey Stadium (MetLife Stadium), with kick-off set for 17:00 on Tuesday 30 June.
New York/New Jersey Stadium is an open-air venue where mostly cloudy skies and a temperature of 31°C (88°F) are expected at kick-off.
France enjoyed a perfect group-stage campaign, winning all three matches with a 10-2 goal difference. Les Bleus beat Senegal 3-1 in their opener before recording a 3-0 victory over Iraq.
They then rounded off the group stage with a 4-1 win against Norway at Gillette Stadium. France enjoyed 57% possession and registered nine shots on target against a Norwegian side that rested 10 players, with Ousmane Dembele scoring a hat-trick and Desire Doue also getting on the scoresheet.
Sweden finished third in Group F behind the Netherlands and Japan, collecting four points with a 7-7 goal difference. They opened with a 5-1 victory over Tunisia before suffering a 5-1 defeat to the Netherlands.
Graham Potter's side then played out a 1-1 draw against Japan at Dallas Stadium. Sweden had 48% possession and recorded five shots on target, with Anthony Elanga finding the net.
France Claimed 4-2 Win in Most Recent H2H
France have had the better of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, recording six wins compared to Sweden’s two, while two matches ended in draws.
Their most recent encounter came in the UEFA Nations League in 2020, when France claimed a 4-2 home victory over Sweden at Stade de France.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sweden |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 1 | France |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 10:2 | 9 |
France have 9 wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.8 goals from 7.5 shots on goal and 19.2 attempts. Didier Deschamps' side have averaged 61.9% possession, 608.0 passes and 6.2 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.6 goals from 1.9 shots on goal, 6.1 attempts and 2.6 corners.
Top scorer Kylian Mbappe has found the net 10 times, with Ousmane Dembele and Michael Olise getting 4 and 3 respectively. Kylian Mbappe is the leading assists maker with 6, while goalie Mike Maignan has 5 clean sheets.
Sweden have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 4.3 shots on goal, 11.1 attempts and 1.5 goals. The Blue and Yellow average 49.1% possession, 437.6 passes, 5.2 corners taken and 4.5 corners against them, while 2.0 goals have been conceded from 10.8 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.
Viktor Gyoekeres has scored 5 goals, followed by Anthony Elanga on 3 and Yasin Ayari with 2. Alexander Isak has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.
Confirmed Lineups
France confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan (GK), Jules Kounde, Dayot Upamecano, William Saliba, Lucas Digne, Aurelien Tchouameni, Adrien Rabiot, Ousmane Dembele, Michael Olise, Bradley Barcola, Kylian Mbappe.
Sweden confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Daniel Svensson, Gustaf Lagerbielke, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Anthony Elanga, Lucas Bergvall, Yasin Ayari, Elliot Stroud, Viktor Gyoekeres, Alexander Isak.
Main Match Prediction
The latest stats, xG data and the way these teams set up all point towards a high-scoring contest. France boast world-class attacking talent in Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele, while Sweden carry a major threat on the counter through Alexander Isak, Viktor Gyokeres and Anthony Elanga.
Sweden have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine matches and know they have to score to have any chance of advancing to the next round. We are siding with Over 2.5 Goals at -204, with this Round of 32 clash expected to produce plenty of action.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Our World Cup experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.
According to the latest odds, there’s a 67.1% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 70-75%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
If you’re anticipating plenty of goals, you can secure a larger price by wagering Over 3.5 Goals, with bettors requiring at least four to be scored by the full-time whistle in order to bag a return.
Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.
Correct Score Prediction
France can be backed to win 3-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +700 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.
Player Prop Picks
Alexander Isak (Sweden) has registered at least one shot on goal in three straight games. Out of the prop bets currently on offer, we’re opting for the -118 when it comes to this Shots on Target wager.
Désiré Doué (France) can be wagered to score at +165. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past two matches, France have not covered the 5.5 corners line, while the last three Sweden games have involved them conceding under 5.5 corners. Let’s go along with this betting trend and back France to go under the Team Corners line at odds of +104.
France
Sweden
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve compiled a bet builder that includes three or more goals in total, France on the Asian Handicap at -1.75 and France to have under 5.5 corners.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
France vs Sweden Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers take few chances with their latest odds of -385 for France winning which suggests that Les Bleus have a 79% chance in this World Cup encounter. Sweden are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +1000.
France -1.75 on the Asian Handicap at -114 would mean a full payout if they are able to beat Sweden by 3+ goals. A two-goal victory means half your stake wins and the other half is refunded.
If you’re anticipating a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -141 on the BTTS market.
World Cup games are always really well covered at the top betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.
Favourite Kylian Mbappé is priced at +245 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of -189.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
France Stats
Sweden Stats
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 2.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 2.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 61.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
France vs Sweden Lineups & Team News
The latest France vs Sweden team news could impact your bets — review it first. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups and the latest on injuries.
France Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Sweden Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
France Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Sweden Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
France Substitutes
- 1Brice Samba
- 2Malo Gusto
- 6Manu Kone
- 9Marcus Thuram
- 13N'Golo Kante
- 15Ibrahima Konate
- 18Warren Zaire-Emery
- 19Theo Hernandez
- 20Desire Doue
- 21Lucas Hernandez
- 22Jean-Philippe Mateta
- 23Robin Risser
- 24Rayan Cherki
- 25Maghnes Akliouche
- 26Maxence Lacroix
Sweden Substitutes
- 6Herman Johansson
- 10Benjamin Nygren
- 12Viktor Johansson
- 13Ken Sema
- 14Hjalmar Ekdal
- 15Carl Starfelt
- 16Jesper Karlstroem
- 19Mattias Svanberg
- 20Eric Smith
- 21A. Bernhardsson
- 22Besfort Zeneli
- 23Kristoffer Nordfeldt
- 25Gustaf Nilsson
- 26Taha Abdi Ali
Previous France Lineups
Previous Sweden Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
France Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Didier Deschamps
Sweden Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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