Greece vs Netherlands Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Oct 2026
Greece vs Netherlands Predictions
The price for Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market is -125 and we think that these odds are especially attractive. We anticipate that Greece and Netherlands can combine to good effect and it’s therefore a value wager.
We analyse several betting angles in our Greece vs Netherlands betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Greece vs Netherlands Preview
Greece square off against Netherlands at Toumba Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Thursday 1 October.
Greece won last time out by a 1-0 Nations League scoreline. It was on their travels against Germany at WWK Arena. Ivan Jovanovic's side recorded just 24% possession and had one shot on target, with Dimitrios Kourbelis netting the winner in the 74th minute.
Netherlands got the win in their previous game. A 2-1 Nations League triumph occurred away from home at Stadion Rajko Mitic when playing Serbia. The Oranje enjoyed 67% possession and managed eight shots on goal, with Mexx Meerdink scoring twice.
H2H: Teams’ Previous Meet Saw 1-0 Netherlands Win
The most recent head-to-head saw Netherlands land a 1-0 Euro 2028 away victory over Greece at Allwyn Arena.
| Nations League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Greece |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Netherlands |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. Greece have had 52.2% possession and 5.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.7 corners.
Christos Tzolis leads the way with 5 goals, Konstantinos Karetsas has 3, with Dimitrios Kourbelis and Anastasios Bakasetas scoring 2. Leading assistor is Vangelis Pavlidis with 4, while goalkeepers Konstantinos Tzolakis and Odysseas Vlachodimos have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets.
Netherlands have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 2.9 goals from 6.4 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 60.2% possession, 6.0 corners taken and 3.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts.
The top scorers have been Cody Gakpo on 8, followed by Brian Brobbey and Memphis Depay with 3. Denzel Dumfries, Memphis Depay and Cody Gakpo have had 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Bart Verbruggen has 3 clean sheets to his name.
Main Match Prediction
We are backing Over 2.5 Goals at -125, with this Nations League game set to be a high-scoring affair. We think the odds are attractive when it comes to at least three goals being scored.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Our Nations League experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.
The best betting apps make it a 55.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
Bettors looking for bigger odds can place a Result & Total Goals bet that includes Over 2.5 Goals. You require at least three goals to be scored along with predicting the team that wins.
Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
2
Netherlands
Netherlands are available at +600 when it comes to them winning 2-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.
Player Prop Picks
Crysencio Summerville (Netherlands) has had at least one shot on goal in his past two matches. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Shots on Target, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -127.
Cody Gakpo (Netherlands) has managed eight goals in his past ten games. It’s worth a play on the +180 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In the past six away games, it has been Netherlands with the most corners. Netherlands should be capable of having the most corners and the odds of -137 look value.
Greece
Netherlands
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Take a same-game multi that incorporates three or more goals to be registered, Netherlands to claim a victory accompanied by Crysencio Summerville (Netherlands) to end up with one or more shots on target.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Greece vs Netherlands Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Netherlands are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Nations League encounter. The +108 for them coming out on top suggests a 48% probability based on their latest betting odds. Greece are the outsiders at +240 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.
For those wanting some insurance backing Netherlands, taking the -0.25 Asian Handicap option means a half stake return if it’s a draw. There’s -128 that they manage to beat Greece on this market.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -167.
The top football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the Nations League games.
There is +140 available that Mexx Meerdink finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +380.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Greece Stats
Netherlands Stats
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 3.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 2.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Greece vs Netherlands Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Greece vs Netherlands team news before betting. Expect the predicted and confirmed Nations League lineups along with timely injury updates.
Previous Greece Lineups
Previous Netherlands Lineups
Greece Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Ivan Jovanovic
Netherlands Player Stats & Squad
Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Turkey | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greece | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Serbia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 2 | England | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Croatia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Norway | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Denmark | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
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