Wales vs Norway Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Oct 2026
Wales vs Norway Predictions
We’re going for Wales on the Asian Handicap +1 at -104 and feel confident that the underdogs can win or draw when clashing with Norway. However, a one-goal defeat would see our stake refunded.
Read our complete Wales vs Norway betting preview for the full analysis behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Wales vs Norway Preview
Wales take on Norway at Cardiff City Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Thursday 1 October.
Wales were beaten in their last game. On their travels, they suffered a 2-0 Nations League loss against Denmark at Parken. The Dragons had 41% possession and recorded three shots on target.
Norway were defeated in their previous game, being beaten at home to Portugal by a 2-1 Nations League scoreline at Ullevaal. Staale Solbakken's team boasted 59% possession and recorded six shots on goal, with Erling Haaland on the scoresheet.
| Nations League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Norway |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Wales |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0:3 | 0 |
Wales have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.1 goals from 11.0 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal. Craig Bellamy's side have averaged 61.4% possession and 6.5 corners per game, conceding 1.8 goals and 4.2 corners from 10.4 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.
Top goalscorer Harry Wilson has found the net 5 times, with Daniel James, David Brooks, Nathan Broadhead and Brennan Johnson scoring 2 each. Sorba Thomas has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Karl Darlow has 3 clean sheets.
Norway have won 7 and lost 3, with an average of 2.5 goals from 12.9 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 54.3% possession, 513.7 passes, 5.0 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 13.0 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Erling Haaland on 14, followed by Antonio Nusa and Alexander Soerloth with 2. Martin Oedegaard has been the top assist maker with 6 in the last 10 games.
Main Match Prediction
We’re backing Wales +1 for this Nations League game at -104. We will see a nice return from this bet if the underdogs manage to win or draw and we think they are more than capable of a positive result.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Nations League injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.
According to the odds, there’s a 51% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
In a mission to bag bigger odds, there’s the possibility to move the line. There are lots of choices when taking this option, so you can make the selection that you like best.
Fuel your next bet with the hottest betting offers, welcome promos, and free bets featured in our straightforward bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Norway
There’s the option to bet on the two teams to play out a 1-1 draw. Odds of +600 are on offer and this is a correct score wager that should provide plenty of entertainment.
Player Prop Picks
Erling Haaland (Norway) has totalled over 2.5 shots on goal in his past two matches. The numbers imply that he can succeed with our Overs bet and we’re delighted to take the +140 available.
Harry Wilson (Wales) can be backed to score at +300. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Norway have had under 5.5 corners in five consecutive away matches, with Wales conceding under 5.5 corners in the previous eight home games. There is value when it comes to going under the Norway Team Corners line and this is available at -147.
Wales
Norway
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you fancy a same-game multi, then why not take Wales with the +1 Asian Handicap, both teams scoring along with Norway to record under 5.5 corners.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Wales vs Norway Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have Norway at -208 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 68% likely to win this Nations League encounter according to the latest betting odds. Wales are the underdogs at +510 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.
The Half-Time Result market means that your bet will always be settled at the interval. Norway are -106, while Wales are alternatively priced at +425 and the draw is +160.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -156.
Customers love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Nations League match. The recommended football betting sites ensure that bettors always have plenty of options.
Favourite Erling Haaland is +235 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Wales Stats
Norway Stats
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 10 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 61.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 61.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Wales vs Norway Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Wales vs Norway team news before betting. Expect the predicted and confirmed Nations League lineups along with timely injury updates.
Previous Wales Lineups
Previous Norway Lineups
Wales Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Craig Bellamy
Norway Player Stats & Squad
Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Turkey | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greece | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Serbia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 2 | England | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Croatia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Norway | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Denmark | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
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