Grêmio vs Athletico Paranaense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Oct 2026
Grêmio vs Athletico Paranaense Predictions
Athletico Paranaense look a nice wager to topple Grêmio and we can take them at -147 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.
Dive into our Grêmio vs Athletico Paranaense betting breakdown for the complete analysis of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Grêmio vs Athletico Paranaense Preview
Grêmio clash with Athletico Paranaense, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Thursday 29 October.
Grêmio won their last game 1-0. This was a road victory against Coritiba. Renato Gaucho's side had most of the ball recording 58% possession and six shots on target, with Martin Braithwaite bagging a late winning goal.
Athletico Paranaense played Vitória away from home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw. The Hurricane were restricted to just 39% possession, with Jamerson (own goal) finding the net.
H2H: Goalless Draw in Most Recent Head-to-Head
Grêmio haven’t lost to Athletico in their past three games, with their last clash ending 0-0. The past 10 H2H meetings have included five victories for Grêmio, four wins for Athletico and a single draw.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Athletico PR |
32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 17 | Grêmio |
32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35:44 | 34 |
Grêmio have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. The Porto Alegre club have averaged 49.8% possession and 4.7 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.4 goals from 6.3 shots on goal, 19.6 attempts and 6.4 corners.
Gustavo Martins is the top goalscorer with 3, Cristian Pavon has 2, with Martin Braithwaite and two other players on 1. Francis Amuzu, Wallace and Tete are the leading assists makers with 1.
Athletico have won 3, lost 2 and drawn 5, with an average of 6.2 shots on goal, 16.2 attempts and 2.0 goals. Odair Hellmann's team average 47.7% possession, 6.7 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 16.5 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal.
Kevin Viveros has scored 7 goals, followed by Leozinho, Luiz Gustavo, Kerwin Vargas and Joao Cruz on 2. Gilberto Junior and Kerwin Vargas have had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Grêmio predicted lineup (3-4-3): Weverton (GK), Gustavo Martins, Fabian Balbuena, Wallace, João Pedro, Erick Noriega, Mathías Villasanti, Marlon, Cristian Pavón, Carlos Vinícius, Francis Amuzu.
Athletico Paranaense predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Mycael (GK), Bruno Baldini, Juan Felipe Aguirre, Lucas Esquivel, Gilberto Junior, Juan Portilla, Luiz Gustavo, Stiven Mendoza, Leozinho, João Cruz, Kevin Viveros.
Main Match Prediction
If you echo our view that Athletico Paranaense can swerve defeat in this Série A encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at -147. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Série A experts sometimes take a data-led approach.
The top betting apps make it a 59.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
If you’re looking to move the line, then you have a dual option of either buying or selling goals. It’s a case of assuming a position based on your view and attitude to risk.
Claim bonuses and free bets before placing a wager. Our in-depth guide shows you the best current betting offers.
Correct Score Prediction
Let’s go for Athletico to win 1-0, a bet which is available at +600. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio) can be backed to cover the shots on goal line at +108. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.
Leozinho (Athletico PR) has registered three goals in his past eight Série A matches on the road. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +310.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Athletico Paranaense in their past five games, while the previous 5 Grêmio matches have seen them concede an average of 7.00 corners. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Athletico Team Corners line being covered, with odds of -132 available.
Grêmio
Athletico
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up different selections in the following bet builder: Athletico Paranaense on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, No on the Both Teams to Score market together with Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio) to cover the 1.5 Shots on Target line.
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
Grêmio vs Athletico Paranaense Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The 1x2 odds are available for this Série A encounter and you can secure +150 that Grêmio are victorious and +175 that Athletico Paranaense get the job done. Those wanting to wager the draw with the bookmakers can secure +230.
If you fancy Grêmio but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -128. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Athletico at -109 on the Draw No Bet market.
When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. BTTS Yes is on offer at -130 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.
When it comes to every Série A game, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the top football betting sites.
Those interested in Kevin Viveros to find the net anytime can get +140, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +360.
- Série A: 03/05 2026 Athletico PR 0 Grêmio 0
- Série A: 04/08 2024 Athletico PR 0 Grêmio 2
- Série A: 18/04 2024 Grêmio 2 Athletico PR 0
- Série A: 19/10 2023 Grêmio 1 Athletico PR 2
- Série A: 27/05 2023 Athletico PR 1 Grêmio 2
- Série A: 26/09 2021 Athletico PR 4 Grêmio 2
- Série A: 13/06 2021 Grêmio 0 Athletico PR 1
- Série A: 21/02 2021 Grêmio 1 Athletico PR 0
- Série A: 25/10 2020 Athletico PR 1 Grêmio 2
- Série A: 28/11 2019 Athletico PR 2 Grêmio 0
Grêmio League Stats
Athletico Paranaense League Stats
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 6.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 6.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 47.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Grêmio this season are Carlos Vinicius (11), Cristian Pavon (3), Gustavo Martins (3)
- Top Assistors for Grêmio this season are Cristian Pavon (4), Francis Amuzu (4), Gustavo Martins (3)
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Grêmio vs Athletico Paranaense Lineups & Team News
Grêmio Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Athletico Paranaense Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Grêmio Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Athletico Paranaense Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Previous Grêmio Lineups
Previous Athletico Paranaense Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Grêmio Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Renato Gaucho
Athletico Paranaense Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | 69 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletico PR | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | 51 |
| 6 | Atlético MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | 46 |
| 9 | São Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | 43 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitória | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | 35 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | 21 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 32:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 30:10 | 39 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 29:16 | 36 |
| 4 | Atlético MG | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 35 |
| 5 | São Paulo | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25:13 | 33 |
| 6 | Athletico PR | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 27:15 | 32 |
| 7 | Vitória | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 32 |
| 8 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27:16 | 31 |
| 9 | Bahia | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:17 | 27 |
| 10 | Vasco da Gama | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | 27 |
| 12 | Grêmio | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25:21 | 26 |
| 13 | Bragantino | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:17 | 24 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26:22 | 24 |
| 15 | Santos | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 16 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 17 | Coritiba | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | 20 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 19 | Remo | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 20:21 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 21:34 | 14 |
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