Iceland vs Estonia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Sep 2026
Iceland vs Estonia Predictions
Iceland and Estonia could score a few goals between them and we’re keen to back the -137 when it comes to Over 2.5. This can be wagered with confidence on the Total Goals market and we’re expecting a payout.
We analyse several betting angles in our Iceland vs Estonia betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Iceland vs Estonia Preview
Iceland host Estonia at Laugardalsvoellur, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Saturday 26 September.
Iceland were beaten in their last game. Away from home at Polish Army, Ukraine claimed a 2-0 win in the World Cup qualifier. Iceland enjoyed 49% possession and had three shots on target.
Estonia lost on the road in their previous game. Norway won 4-1 at Ullevaal in the World Cup qualifier. Jurgen Henn's team had just 32% possession and totalled three shots on goal, while Robi Saarma found the net.
| Nations League C | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Iceland |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 |  Estonia |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
Iceland have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts. Arnar Gunnlaugsson's men have averaged 50.3% possession and 3.5 corners per match, conceding 2.0 goals and 5.2 corners from 5.8 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts.
Albert Gudmundsson leads the way with 4 goals, with Isak Bergmann Johannesson and Orri Oskarsson getting 3 apiece. Leading assistors have been Isak Bergmann Johannesson and Albert Gudmundsson with 3, while goalkeeper Elias Olafsson has 2 clean sheets.
Estonia have 1 victory, 7 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.3 shots on goal, 5.1 attempts and 0.8 goals. The Blueshirts average 42.7% possession, 2.4 corners awarded and 7.5 corners against, while 2.2 goals have been conceded from 17.8 attempts and 7.6 shots on goal.
Mattias Kaeit is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Rauno Sappinen on 2, with Robi Saarma and two others bagging 1. Kevor Palumets has managed to clock up 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Iceland confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Hakon Rafn Valdimarsson (GK), Victor Palsson, Stefan Thordarson, Daniel Gretarsson, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Jon Thorsteinsson, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Isak Bergmann Johannesson, Albert Gudmundsson, Andri Gudjohnsen, Orri Oskarsson.
Estonia confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Karl Hein (GK), Maksim Paskotsi, Maerten Kuusk, Karol Mets, Rasmus Peetson, Michael Schjoenning-Larsen, Kevor Palumets, Markus Poom, Mattias Kaeit, Mihkel Ainsalu, Karel Mustmaa.
Main Match Prediction
This upcoming clash could see Over 2.5 Goals and we’re happy to go for this Nations League pick. There is definitely value backing this selection at -137, with three goals or more looking likely.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
We’re always monitoring the Nations League team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.
The best betting sites make it a 57.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
Over 2.5 Goals backers in search of larger odds could consider the Result & Total Goals market. This involves getting a bigger price if you’re correctly able to predict a team to win.
Our quick-access guide helps you unlock the best betting offers, generous promos, and the freshest free bets today.
Correct Score Prediction
3
-
0
Estonia
We’re taking a chance on Iceland to achieve a 3-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +510 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Albert Gudmundsson (Iceland) has racked up three goals in his past four games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +175 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Iceland have failed to cover the 6.5 corners line in six straight home games. We’re expecting Iceland to fall short of the mark, with odds of -159 on offer when it comes to this Team Corners selection.
Iceland
Estonia
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is compiled of the following: at least three goals to be registered, Iceland on the Asian Handicap at -1.5 merged with Iceland Under 6.5 corners.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Iceland vs Estonia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest betting odds suggest that Iceland are convincing -357 favourites to claim a victory and that means a 78% probability of coming out on top in this Nations League encounter. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, the underdogs Estonia are trading at +950.
The Asian Handicap can be a good value alternative to Full-Time Result betting. Iceland -1.5 are available to back at -132 and that means you need them to beat Estonia by two or more goals.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. The Both Teams to Score No bet is -159 and it’s ideal if you think at least one side will not score during the ninety minutes.
There’s lots to like about the top football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Nations League match. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.
You will find Orri Steinn Óskarsson at +260 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +102 that he finds the net at anytime.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Iceland Stats
Estonia Stats
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 2.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 corners awarded and 7.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 corners awarded and 10.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 10 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
Iceland vs Estonia Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Iceland vs Estonia without reviewing the latest team news. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed UEFA Nations League lineups and the latest injury reports.
Iceland Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Estonia Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2
Iceland Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Estonia Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2
Iceland Substitutes
- 1Runar Alex Runarsson
- 2Logi Tomasson
- 5I. S. Thorvaldsson
- 6A. Fannar Baldursson
- 10Gylfi Sigurdsson
- 13Anton Ari Einarsson
- 14B. A. Willumsson
- 15K. Mani Ingason
- 17Aron Gunnarsson
- 18Mikael Anderson
- 21Arnor Sigurdsson
- 23Hoerdur Magnusson
Estonia Substitutes
- 5Erko Tougjas
- 7Robi Saarma
- 8Markus Soomets
- 12Matvei Igonen
- 13Joseph Saliste
- 14Patrik Kristal
- 15M. Skvortsov
- 16Joonas Tamm
- 17Martin Miller
- 21Mattias Maennilaan
- 22Karl Andre Vallner
- 23Frank Liivak
Previous Iceland Lineups
Previous Estonia Lineups
Iceland Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Arnar Gunnlaugsson
Estonia Player Stats & Squad
UEFA Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:2 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:16 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 3 |
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