Incheon United vs Gwangju Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026
K League 1 Betting Preview: Incheon United vs Gwangju
Incheon United welcome Gwangju to Sungui Arena Park, with kick-off set for 06:00 on Saturday 16 May.
Incheon should be able to beat Gwangju by two goals or more. We’ll back them -1 at -105, meaning money back if the favourites claim a one goal victory, although we think the margin should be bigger.
Incheon United were defeated last time out. Sungui Arena Park saw them beaten at home to Pohang Steelers by a 1-0 scoreline. United had 53% possession and seven shots on target.
Gwangju have suffered five straight away defeats. They lost 1-0 in their previous game at home to FC Seoul at Gwangju World Cup Stadium. Jeong-Kyu Lee's side didn’t see much of the ball with just 24% possession and one shot on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Gwangju claimed victory in the previous meeting between these teams. A 3-2 home win was registered against Incheon at Gwangju World Cup Stadium. The past 10 H2H games have featured four triumphs for Incheon, two for Gwangju and four draws.
| K League 1 | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Incheon United |
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 21:17 | 21 |
| 12 | Gwangju |
15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 7:37 | 7 |
Incheon have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 6.0 attempts. Jong-Hwan Yoon's team have averaged 49.3% possession and 4.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.8 goals from 3.7 shots on goal, 7.6 attempts and 4.1 corners.
Stefan Mugosa is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Morgan Ferrier has 3 and Dong-Ryul Lee 2. The leading assistor is Myeong-Ju Lee with 2.
Gwangju have 9 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 2.5 shots on goal, 5.2 attempts and 0.3 goals. The Griffins average 42.5% possession, 2.7 corners taken and 4.0 corners against them, while 3.0 goals have been conceded from 10.9 attempts and 5.7 shots on goal.
Min-Seo Moon has scored 2 goals, while Chang-Moo Sin has 1. Holmbert Aron Fridjonsson has managed to clock up 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Incheon United confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Dong-Heon Kim (GK), Myung-Soon Kim, Gun-Hee Kim, Juan Ibiza, Ju-Yong Lee, Dong-Ryul Lee, Myeong-Ju Lee, Jae-Min Seo, Gerso Fernandes, Morgan Ferrier, Chung-Yong Lee.
Gwangju confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Dong-Hwa Kim (GK), Seung-Un Ha, Yong-Hyuk Kim, Sang-Ki Min, Seong-Yun Kwon, Min-Gi Lee, Se-Jong Joo, Min-Seo Moon, Ji-Hoon Jeong, Hyeok-Joo An, Holmbert Aron Fridjonsson.
Incheon United vs Gwangju Prediction & Betting Tips
Discover our expert Incheon United vs Gwangju betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion, corners market outlook and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.
Match Prediction
The best Asian Handicap bet could be Incheon -1 at -105, especially if you think that they can win handsomely. We are expecting the favourites to dominate when it comes to this K League 1 encounter.
Sportsgambler.com boast K League 1 expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.
Key Incheon United vs Gwangju league stats:
According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 51.3% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
There’s often the option to sell goals and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying goals will give you a less-risky bet but shorter odds.
Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
There are betting odds of +410 that Incheon land a 2-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.
Corners Prediction
The 8.5 Total Corners line has been covered in two consecutive Gwangju matches, with the last five Incheon United games averaging 9.20 corners. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to covering the Total Corners line, with odds of -141 available.
Incheon
Gwangju
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Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder always adds excitement and the picks are Incheon United with an Asian Handicap of -1, no more than two goals to be registered accompanied by over 8.5 corners to be awarded.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Incheon United vs Gwangju Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Incheon United are available at -217 to come away with a triumph in this K League 1 clash, meaning a 68% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Gwangju are the +540 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
The Half-Time Result market means that your bet will always be settled at the interval. Incheon are -103, while Gwangju are alternatively priced at +525 and the draw is +114.
A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. If you anticipate that a minimum of one side can manage a clean sheet, you might want to take the -185 about Both Teams to Score No.
It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every K League 1 match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Stats: K League 1 matches only
Incheon have recorded five losses and two wins in the previous 7 home games, scoring an average of 0.86 goals per match and conceding 1.43.
Gwangju are on a five game losing streak on the road. Jeong-Kyu Lee's side have clocked up seven losses, two draws and one win in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.30 goals per match and conceding 2.20.
Incheon beat Gwangju 1-0 when they last met at Sungui Arena Park. The past 6 H2H meetings at Sungui Arena Park have featured three draws, two wins for Incheon and just one for Gwangju.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Incheon United Home Stats |
2-0-5 | 2.29 | 0.86 | 1.43 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | |
Gwangju Away Stats |
1-2-7 | 2.50 | 0.30 | 2.20 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- K League 1: 07/03 2026 Gwangju 3 Incheon 2
- K League 1: 27/10 2024 Incheon 1 Gwangju 0
- K League 1: 14/07 2024 Gwangju 0 Incheon 2
- K League 1: 25/05 2024 Incheon 1 Gwangju 1
- K League 1: 03/04 2024 Gwangju 2 Incheon 3
- K League 1: 28/10 2023 Gwangju 0 Incheon 2
- K League 1: 18/08 2023 Incheon 2 Gwangju 2
- K League 1: 20/05 2023 Incheon 1 Gwangju 1
- K League 1: 18/03 2023 Gwangju 5 Incheon 0
- K League 1: 04/12 2021 Gwangju 1 Incheon 1
Incheon United League Stats
Gwangju League Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 7 home matches
- 9 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded in the previous 7 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.29 goals per game in the previous 7 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 7 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 7 home matches
- An average of 0.30 goals scored and 3.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.30 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.86 corners awarded and 3.71 corners against in the last 7 home matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.57 corners awarded in the last 7 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 2 of the last 7 home matches
- An average of 2.70 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.29% possession in the last 7 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 7 home matches
- An average of 42.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Incheon United this season are Stefan Mugosa (7), Morgan Ferrier (3), Dong-Ryul Lee (2)
- Top Assistors for Incheon United this season are Myeong-Ju Lee (2), Myung-Soon Kim (2), Dong-Ryul Lee (1)
Incheon United vs Gwangju Lineups & Team News
Make sure to look over the Incheon vs Gwangju team news before betting. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the K League 1 and the newest injury information.
Incheon United Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Gwangju Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Incheon United Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Gwangju Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Incheon United Substitutes
- 3Sang-Ki Lee
- 13Seung-Gu Choi
- 14Min-Gyu Baek
- 17Seong-Min Kim
- 19Ho-Min Park
- 23Chi-In Jung
- 25Tae-Wook Jeong
- 31Sang-Hyeon Lee
- 77Seung-Ho Park
Gwangju Substitutes
- 1Kyeong-Min Kim
- 6Young-Kyu Ahn
- 14Je-Ho Yu
- 25Yun-Ho Kim
- 26Bae-Hyeon Gong
- 27Jin-Ho Kim
- 28Seong-Hyun Park
- 42Hui-Su Kang
- 99Yong-Jun Hong
Previous Incheon United Lineups
Previous Gwangju Lineups
Incheon United Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jong-Hwan Yoon
Gwangju Player Stats & Squad
K League 1 Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27:12 | 32 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22:20 | 26 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Gangwon | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19:10 | 24 |
| 5 | Pohang Steelers | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Incheon United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:17 | 21 |
| 7 | Anyang | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Jeju | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 11:15 | 17 |
| 10 | Daejeon Citizen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Gwangju | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7:37 | 7 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeonbuk | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:8 | 15 |
| 2 | Gangwon | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Ulsan HD | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 4 | Pohang Steelers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4:5 | 11 |
| 5 | FC Seoul | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Incheon United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Jeju | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 8 | Anyang | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Gwangju | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | 5 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:12 | 4 |
| 12 | Daejeon Citizen | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
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