Kilmarnock vs Hearts Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Sep 2026
Kilmarnock vs Hearts Predictions
We think that Hearts will have the upper hand against Kilmarnock and we like the price of -147 on the Full-Time Result market. The odds make plenty of appeal and we’re expecting this bet to land.
Our Kilmarnock vs Hearts betting coverage includes detailed reasoning for the main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Kilmarnock vs Hearts Preview
Kilmarnock meet Hearts at Rugby Park, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Saturday 19 September.
Kilmarnock have lost their last three home games. Most recently, they won on the road when beating Hibernian 1-0 at Easter Road. Killie managed seven shots on target and had 40% possession, with George Stanger striking late in the first half.
Hearts lost their previous game. Away from home, they suffered a 2-1 defeat against Falkirk at Falkirk Stadium. The Edinburgh club recorded 59% possession and had four shots on goal, with James Wilson finding the net.
H2H: Teams’ Previous Meet Saw 1-0 Killie Win
The scoreline was 1-0 for home side Kilmarnock when they last faced Hearts, with the encounter taking place at Rugby Park. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we’ve seen four Hearts victories, three Kilmarnock wins and three draws.
| Scottish Premiership | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hearts |
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 5:14 | 4 |
5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts. Killie have had 44.6% possession and 4.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.6 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 15.4 attempts, while being awarded 5.8 corners.
Top goalscorer Joe Hugill has found the net 6 times, Findlay Curtis 4, with George Stanger and two other players on 1. Tom Lowery and Greg Kiltie are the top assists makers with 3.
Hearts have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.0 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 51.3% possession, 6.2 corners taken and 4.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.
Lawrence Shankland and James Wilson have scored 3, followed by Claudio Braga with 2. Joshua McPake has had 4 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Kilmarnock predicted lineup (4-4-2): Max Stryjek (GK), MJ Kamson-Kamara, Cathal McCarthy, George Stanger, Michael Schjönning-Larsen, Erik Ring, Tom Lowery, Bailey Rice, Greg Kiltie, Tyreece John-Jules, Joe Hugill.
Hearts predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Beau Reus (GK), Jordi Altena, Jamie McCart, Stuart Findlay, Harry Milne, Yan Dhanda, Laurent Mendy, Calvin Miller, Claudio Braga, Josh McPake, James Wilson.
Main Match Prediction
We think Hearts stand a strong chance of victory when they compete in this Premiership game, with our pick providing lots of value. Secure the odds of -147 that the visitors are able to get the job done.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Premiership team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.
If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 59.5% likelihood of our pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
If you want to boost the price for Hearts to win on the Full-Time Result market, you might contemplate the Bet Builder option and combine this selection with other possible outcomes.
Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Hearts to win 2-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +650 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Player Prop Picks
Tom Lowery (Kilmarnock) can be wagered to record a minimum of one shot on goal at +220. He looks like an attractive wager on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop bet selection.
James Wilson (Hearts) has scored three goals in his past five Premiership matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +210 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average of 8.20 corners for Hearts in their past five matches, while Kilmarnock have let the opposition average 7.20 corners in the previous five games. The Hearts Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -135.
Kilmarnock
Hearts
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
There’s everything to like about this same-game multi including Hearts to come out on top, No on the BTTS market along with Hearts to have over 5.5 corners.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Kilmarnock vs Hearts Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a roughly 60% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their -147 betting odds for Hearts winning this Premiership clash. Kilmarnock are the outsiders at +330 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.
There’s -116 when it comes to Hearts -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Kilmarnock lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.
There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -189.
It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Premiership game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.
There is +155 available that Cláudio Braga finds the net, while he is available at +450 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
Stats: Last 10 Scottish Premiership matches only.
It’s now been three straight Kilmarnock defeats at Rugby Park. Killie have recorded five victories, four defeats and one draw in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
Hearts have six defeats, two victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
The last Rugby Park meeting saw Kilmarnock beat Hearts 1-0. The past 10 H2H meetings at Rugby Park have seen each team land four wins and there’s been two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kilmarnock Home Stats |
5-1-4 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 1.90 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | |
Hearts Away Stats |
2-2-6 | 3.10 | 1.30 | 1.80 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Scottish Premiership: 14/03 2026 Kilmarnock 1 Hearts 0
- Scottish Premiership: 03/12 2025 Hearts 1 Kilmarnock 1
- Scottish Premiership: 18/10 2025 Kilmarnock 0 Hearts 3
- Scottish Premiership: 18/05 2025 Kilmarnock 0 Hearts 1
- Scottish Premiership: 25/01 2025 Hearts 3 Kilmarnock 2
- Scottish Premiership: 15/12 2024 Kilmarnock 1 Hearts 0
- Scottish Premiership: 30/10 2024 Hearts 1 Kilmarnock 2
- Scottish Premiership: 27/04 2024 Kilmarnock 0 Hearts 0
- Scottish Premiership: 30/03 2024 Hearts 1 Kilmarnock 1
- Scottish Premiership: 02/12 2023 Kilmarnock 0 Hearts 1
Kilmarnock League Stats
Hearts League Stats
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 44.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Kilmarnock this season are George Stanger (1), Greg Kiltie (1), Joe Hugill (1)
- Top Assistors for Kilmarnock this season are Tom Lowery (2)
Kilmarnock vs Hearts Lineups & Team News
Before making your bets, take a look at the Kilmarnock vs Hearts team news. Expect the predicted and confirmed Premiership lineups along with timely injury updates.
Kilmarnock Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Hearts Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Kilmarnock Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Hearts Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Kilmarnock Lineups
Previous Hearts Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Kilmarnock Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Neil McCann
Hearts Player Stats & Squad
Premiership Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Hearts | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 6 | Dundee FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 9 | Hibernian | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 11 | Dundee United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:14 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Celtic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 3 | St Johnstone | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Rangers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Falkirk | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 11 | Hibernian | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
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