Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Mar 2026

Coppa Italia Betting Preview: Lazio vs Atalanta

Serie A teams Lazio and Atalanta meet in the first leg of this Coppa Italia semi-final at Stadio Olimpico, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Wednesday 4 March.

We think the odds of -141 are really attractive when it comes to betting Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. It’s anticipated that Lazio and Atalanta could play out a low-scoring contest.

Lazio were defeated in their last game. Away from home in Serie A, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Torino at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. The Rome side had the majority of the ball enjoying 56% possession and three shots on target.

Atalanta suffered a Serie A defeat in their previous game. A 2-1 scoreline occurred on the road at Stadio Mapei against Sassuolo. La Dea enjoyed a mind-boggling 76% of possession and managed seven shots on goal, with Yunus Musah on the scoresheet.

In their last Coppa Italia games, Lazio won away to Bologna on penalties (1-1 AET), with Atalanta winning 3-0 at home to Juventus.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-0 Serie A away victory for Atalanta at Stadio Olimpico when last facing Lazio. The previous 10 H2H games have included four draws coupled with three victories apiece.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Atalanta	28	12	10	6	39	26	13	39:26	46
10	Lazio	28	9	10	9	28	28	0	28:28	37

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 11.1 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal. Lazio have had 51.6% possession and 4.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 14.5 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal, while earning 3.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Pedro Rodriguez has found the net 3 times, Danilo Cataldi 2, with Tijjani Noslin and two other players on 1. Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Danilo Cataldi and Daniel Maldini have the most assists with 1, while goalie Ivan Provedel has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Atalanta have won 7, lost 1 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.9 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 14.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 51.2% possession, 5.2 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.5 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts.

Nikola Krstovic has top scored with 5, followed by Mario Pasalic and Gianluca Scamacca on 3 and 2. Lorenzo Bernasconi has clocked up 3 assists, with Marco Carnesecchi keeping 6 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Lazio confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Ivan Provedel (GK), Adam Marusic, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Nuno Tavares, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Danilo Cataldi, Kenneth Taylor, Gustav Isaksen, Daniel Maldini, Mattia Zaccagni.

Atalanta confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Marco Carnesecchi (GK), Giorgio Scalvini, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac, Davide Zappacosta, Marten de Roon, Mario Pasalic, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Lazar Samardzic, Nicola Zalewski, Nikola Krstovic.

Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips

Take in the full Lazio vs Atalanta betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to sharp corners advice, player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

There’s every chance that we’ll see a low goal count for this Coppa Italia showdown. For this reason, we’ll take the odds of -141 about Under 2.5, with the two teams unlikely to deliver a combined three goals or more.

The latest injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

Key Lazio vs Atalanta Coppa Italia & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Lazio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Lazio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Lazio games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Atalanta games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Atalanta games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 58.5% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Bigger odds can be secured by going for an alternative wager where Under 2.5 Goals is combined with BTTS No. This means you need at least one team to draw a blank for the bet to land.

Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -141 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 2, 22:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lazio 0 - 1 Atalanta

Atalanta can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +540 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikola Krstovic Over 2.5 Shots +108

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta) has covered the 2.5 shots total in back-to-back games away from home. Out of the prop bets currently on offer, we’re opting for the +108 when it comes to this Player Shots wager.

Latest Nikola Krstovic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+600

Shots

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-

---

Gianluca Scamacca To Score +220

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta) can be wagered to be on the scoresheet at +220. Using all evidence, we are happy to back him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Gianluca Scamacca Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+525

Shots

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Lazio Over 4.5 Corners +110

Lazio have had over 4.5 corners in three straight matches, while Atalanta have had an average of 6.20 corners against them in their previous 5 away games. We think it’s achievable that Lazio will cover the Team Corners line and odds of +110 can be landed.

Coppa Italia & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Lazio

Total

8.00 4.10 3.90

Home

8.30 5.40 2.90

Away

7.60 3.50 4.10

Atalanta

Total

10.50 5.20 5.30

Home

10.60 5.90 4.70

Away

10.70 5.30 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

-102

Lazio Corners

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-154

Atalanta Corners

Over 4.5

-104

Under 4.5

-130

Most Corners

1

+112

X

+600

2

-106

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Lazio vs Atalanta Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

If you’re looking to wager Lazio to secure victory in the Coppa Italia, then the bookmakers have chalked them up at +220. Atalanta are on offer at betting odds of +138 and the draw is +205.

For those wanting some insurance backing Atalanta, taking the -0.25 Asian Handicap option means a half stake return if it’s a draw. There’s -100 that they manage to beat Lazio on this market.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -132 about Both Teams to Score No.

The best football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to Coppa Italia matches.

Full-Time Result

1

+220

X

+205

2

+138

Half-Time Result

1

+275

X

+105

2

+205

Double Chance

1X

-179

12

-270

X2

-294

Draw No Bet

1

+114

2

-161

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-125

2 Hcp -0.25

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-182

Over 2.5

+140

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-132

Gianluca Scamacca can be backed to find the net anytime at +250, with +525 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

First

+250

Anytime

+525

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Giacomo Raspadori (Atalanta)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Petar Ratkov (Lazio)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Pedro Rodríguez Ledesma (Lazio)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Tijjani Noslin (Lazio)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Kenneth Taylor (Lazio)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Daniel Maldini (Lazio)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Mitchel Bakker (Atalanta)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Atalanta)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Marten de Roon (Atalanta)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Giorgio Scalvini (Atalanta)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Lorenzo Bernasconi (Atalanta)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Kenneth Taylor (Lazio)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Noslin (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Rodríguez Ledesma (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Petar Ratkov (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Daniel Maldini (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Mitchel Bakker (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Marten de Roon (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Giorgio Scalvini (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+116

Under 0.5

-

Latest Coppa Italia and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Lazio Stats

Atalanta Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 2.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 51.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 48.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 51.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Lazio vs Atalanta Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Lazio vs Atalanta team news before betting. We’ll update you with the confirmed Coppa Italia lineups and the latest injury reports.

Top Football Pages