Luxembourg vs Iceland Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Sep 2026

Luxembourg vs Iceland Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Luxembourg Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -128

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The way forward could be to back Luxembourg with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -128 against Iceland. This means our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, which allows us to land a return with a draw.

This Luxembourg vs Iceland betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Luxembourg vs Iceland Preview

Luxembourg go head-to-head with Iceland at Stade de Luxembourg, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 29 September.

Luxembourg won their last game 2-1. This was a Nations League C road win against Bulgaria at Hristo Botev, Plovdiv. The Red Lions had 53% of possession and six shots on target, with Leandro Barreiro and Vincent Thill scoring one goal apiece.

Iceland drew their previous game which was at home in Nations League C. The action at Laugardalsvoellur ended 1-1 against Estonia. Arnar Gunnlaugsson's side had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 61% possession and nine shots on goal, while Andri Gudjohnsen was on the scoresheet.

H2H: 1-1 Draw in Last Head-to-Head Battle

Luxembourg were the visitors to Iceland when the teams last met, playing out a 1-1 Euro 2028 draw at Laugardalsvoellur.

Nations League C		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Luxembourg	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	2:1	3
3	Iceland	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1:1	1

View Full Table

Luxembourg have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts. Jeff Strasser's team have averaged 49.1% possession and 2.6 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.6 goals from 4.7 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Top scorer Vincent Thill has found the net 3 times, with Leandro Barreiro, Danel Sinani, Tomas Cruz and Mathias Olesen getting 1 goals each. Danel Sinani is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeeper Anthony Moris keeping 2 clean sheets.

Iceland have won 2, lost 6 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.7 goals from 9.6 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. They average 51.5% possession, 4.0 corners in their favour and 4.8 corners against, while conceding 2.1 goals from 12.6 attempts and 6.0 shots on goal.

Albert Gudmundsson got 4 goals, Andri Gudjohnsen notched 3, while Victor Palsson and two other players scored 2. Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Isak Bergmann Johannesson and Albert Gudmundsson have clocked up 3 assists, with Elias Olafsson keeping 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Main Match Prediction

Luxembourg look a good bet in this Nations League clash and we can back them at -128 with a +0.25 goal start. The latest stats suggest that the home team can avoid defeat and potentially triumph.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Luxembourg in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Iceland in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Iceland in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Iceland in 2 consecutive games.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Nations League form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 56.2% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you’re hunting for bigger odds and feel confident your pick is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Before placing your next bet, explore our trusted bonus guide featuring top free bets and generous sign-up offers.

Luxembourg Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -128 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 27, 20:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Luxembourg 1 - 0 Iceland

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Luxembourg to win by a 1-0 scoreline. At odds of +600, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Danel Sinani To Score +250

Danel Sinani (Luxembourg) is available at +250 to be on the scoresheet. It’s worth a gamble on him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Danel Sinani Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+550

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -137

All of the past four Iceland matches have seen the 8.5 Total Corners line covered, with the same thing happening in the previous two Luxembourg games. We think it’s achievable that the sides will cover the Total Corners line and there are odds of -137 available.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Luxembourg

Total

7.30 2.60 4.70

Home

7.90 3.80 4.10

Away

7.40 2.60 4.80

Iceland

Total

8.80 4.00 4.80

Home

8.30 4.80 3.50

Away

9.50 3.30 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-137

Under 8.5

-105

Luxembourg Corners

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+108

Iceland Corners

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-127

Most Corners

1

+123

X

+600

2

-119

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Luxembourg vs Iceland Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Iceland are forecasted to have a 43% chance of triumphing in this Nations League encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being +130. If you want to back the outsider, Luxembourg are available at +210.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Draw No Bet market, with Iceland available at -167 for those who want insurance on their bet. The same applies to opponents Luxembourg at +114.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -130.

The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Nations League games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.

Full-Time Result

1

+210

X

+225

2

+130

Half-Time Result

1

+260

X

+114

2

+188

Double Chance

1X

-185

12

-345

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+114

2

-167

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-128

2 Hcp -0.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-139

Over 2.5

+105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-130

No

-111

Orri Steinn Óskarsson is priced at +430 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +190 to find the net anytime.

Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Iceland)

First

+430

Anytime

+190

Brynjolfur Andersen Willumsson (Iceland)

First

+525

Anytime

+235

Danel Sinani (Luxembourg)

First

+550

Anytime

+250

Albert Gudmundsson (Iceland)

First

-

Anytime

+255

Andri Gudjohnsen (Iceland)

First

+650

Anytime

+295

Arnór Sigurdsson (Iceland)

First

+650

Anytime

+295

Aiman Dardari (Luxembourg)

First

+650

Anytime

+300

Hamza Kadamani (Luxembourg)

First

+700

Anytime

+310

Kristall Mani Ingason (Iceland)

First

+650

Anytime

+310

Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson (Iceland)

First

+700

Anytime

+340

Hákon Haraldsson (Iceland)

First

+750

Anytime

+340

Gylfi Sigurdsson (Iceland)

First

+750

Anytime

+350

Enzo dos Santos (Luxembourg)

First

+750

Anytime

+360

Olivier Thill (Luxembourg)

First

+850

Anytime

+380

Mikael Anderson (Iceland)

First

+850

Anytime

+390

Sebastien Thill (Luxembourg)

First

+850

Anytime

+400

Stefán Thórdarson (Iceland)

First

+900

Anytime

+440

Vincent Thill (Luxembourg)

First

+950

Anytime

+440

Mikael Egill Ellertsson (Iceland)

First

+1000

Anytime

+450

Leandro Barreiro (Luxembourg)

First

+1100

Anytime

+525

Isak Bergmann Johannesson (Iceland)

First

+1300

Anytime

+650

Tomas Cruz (Luxembourg)

First

+1600

Anytime

+800

Dirk Carlson (Luxembourg)

First

+1600

Anytime

+850

Eldin Dzogovic (Luxembourg)

First

-

Anytime

+1200

Laurent Jans (Luxembourg)

First

-

Anytime

+1200

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Luxembourg Stats

Iceland Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 2.60 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 6.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 49.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 53.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 51.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 44.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Luxembourg vs Iceland Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Luxembourg vs Iceland, check the team news first. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for UEFA Nations League along with up-to-date injury news.

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